2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion

[Eskimo Joe]

Watch box out to our north, $20 says it's going to be multiple watches.

[high risk]

5 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said:

I like that implies we will get upstream storms, so at the very least we should get a nice rainy/thundery evening from whatever remnants can make it our way. Sort of similar to our last setup and getting the MCS from WV. 

      Sort of.  That day involved some local storms that initiated followed by the main band along the forcing arriving from the northwest during the evening hours.   This looks to be a line forming just to our northwest during the early/mid afternoon and rolling through at dinner time before making a quick exit.   There is some curvature in the hodographs, so the tornado threat is definitely non-zero, although the forcing may result in a more linear structure.

       The box will go up for northern sections first, because there is good cam agreement on an initial wave of storms for northeast MD/PA/NJ earlier this afternoon.

[high risk]

7 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Watch box out to our north, $20 says it's going to be multiple watches.

    You're not exactly going out on a limb with that prediction....  

[Eskimo Joe]

1 minute ago, high risk said:

    You're not exactly going out on a limb with that prediction....  

I only make the sure bets. Vegas can't have all the fun.