2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion

[Eskimo Joe]

We're going to waste an anamolous trough and solid surface instability due to some leftover clouds. You can't make this stuff up.

[mappy]

About to rain at my house. 

[vortex95]

22 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

4,700 SBCAPE on the 18z sounding, but the convective temp is 88 degrees. With this thick cirrus shield in place at peak heating, I doubt we get enough sunshine to reach this. Perhaps south of US 50 and the eastern shore, as @wxmeddleralluded to works out, but this is shaping up to be an ugly bust here in the metros.

Ugh.  What a waste of awesome CAPE if it can't be realized.

I do not like the mid-level anvil precip to our W.  How often do sig storms fire when that is already in place?
 

[high risk]

28 minutes ago, vortex95 said:

Yes, I do not like to see a big cluster of storms S of an area of interest.  It seems more often than not, that means the area to the N is ripped out!

    I don't like seeing that east-west line to our south at all.

[Kmlwx]

Yeah all that junk to the north and west is killer. It's a huge blob of sub-severe rain  

[dailylurker]

4 minutes ago, high risk said:

    I don't like seeing that east-west line to our south at all.

We're in a dead zone for sure. I've given up on severe for today. I'd be happy sitting on my porch watching a steady rain. Unfortunately that doesn't look great either. I'm so tired of boring weather. I'd be happy if my roof got ripped off by a tornado at this point. 

[Kmlwx]

Honestly at this point if that precip blog survives the mountains maybe we can just get a few hours of soaking rain...

[CAPE]

There is a storm to my NW and another to my SE in DE. Hearing the thunder, from both? Not going to produce anything here.

[mappy]

10 minutes ago, Kmlwx said:

Yeah all that junk to the north and west is killer. It's a huge blob of sub-severe rain  

Some of us are just happy for the rain

[toolsheds]

2 minutes ago, mappy said:

Some of us are just happy for the rain

i just had insurance cover a new roof and don't want any wind :-)  

[canderson]

Headed to Merriweather. Might not even rain much there lol 

[CAPE]

4 minutes ago, mappy said:

Some of us are just happy for the rain

But this is the severe storm thread where people root for damaging winds, hail, a spin up tornado or 2.. as long as its not in their yards. 

I like general gusty storms with heavy rain and T&L and the chance to get a photo of a shelf cloud. Probably have at least 10 in my 'collection'.

[AmericanWxFreak]

That’s a MEAN tornado on the OH/WV border.


.

[Kmlwx]

3 minutes ago, AmericanWxFreak said:

That’s a MEAN tornado on the OH/WV border.


.

Good lord yes it is. Certainly for this part of the country. "large and extremely dangerous tornado" text on it. 

[high risk]

The radar west of Philly is what our radar was supposed to look like now 

[TSSN+]

1 minute ago, high risk said:

The radar west of Philly is what our radar was supposed to look like now 

Se pa always the bullseye 

[yoda]

Storm entering Garrett County in about 30 minutes just got TWd... big rotation SW of Morgantown

[Kmlwx]

I mean - my rational side says that all the junk around is going to lessen our threat substantially - but the Morgantown cell plus that one entering WV from OH does have me intrigued as those are heading in our general direction. 

[Scraff]

I rarely check in during the summer months, but here I am for the bust of the year.  Hopefully, everyone is enjoying summer regardless of severe or no severe. 

[Kmlwx]

The other thing to consider is that cell @yoda mentioned is in an area and continuing ito areas that the blob of precip has been impacting...so if it holds/intensifies it could be a good indicator for downstream. My only concern is that by the time that stuff shifts closer, we will be well beyond peak heating. We will have to rely on better forcing to continue the threat. Though....it does remain QUITE soupy out there. 

[Eskimo Joe]

17 minutes ago, AmericanWxFreak said:

That’s a MEAN tornado on the OH/WV border.

I'm honestly surprised that SPC hasn't upgraded that area to a tornado watch.

[MN Transplant]

3 minutes ago, Kmlwx said:

The other thing to consider is that cell @yoda mentioned is in an area and continuing ito areas that the blob of precip has been impacting...so if it holds/intensifies it could be a good indicator for downstream. My only concern is that by the time that stuff shifts closer, we will be well beyond peak heating. We will have to rely on better forcing to continue the threat. Though....it does remain QUITE soupy out there. 

If we are at the coping stage, at least the atmosphere isn't "worked over" by the time the later round gets here.

[CAPE]

That storm to my NW seems to be expanding south/turning right. Could be interesting.

[NVAwx]

Just now, MN Transplant said:

If we are at the coping stage, at least the atmosphere isn't "worked over" by the time the later round gets here.

And TWO tornado warned storms angled at us. 

[yoda]

Garrett County severe warned with tornado possible tag

[MN Transplant]

Two SVR warnings now SE of DC.  Throwing off a little gust front to the north, so we'll see if anything can happen with that.

[AmericanWxFreak]

Explosion of activity in southern FDK cty


.

[Roger Ramjet]

Radar is really starting to blossom over my house now. Very heavy rain.

[H2O]

Bust 

[CAPE]

18 minutes ago, CAPE said:

That storm to my NW seems to be expanding south/turning right. Could be interesting.

Literally right on the southern edge. Raining pretty hard though.