Eskimo Joe Posted July 21 Share Posted July 21 We're going to waste an anamolous trough and solid surface instability due to some leftover clouds. You can't make this stuff up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted July 21 Share Posted July 21 About to rain at my house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex95 Posted July 21 Share Posted July 21 22 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: 4,700 SBCAPE on the 18z sounding, but the convective temp is 88 degrees. With this thick cirrus shield in place at peak heating, I doubt we get enough sunshine to reach this. Perhaps south of US 50 and the eastern shore, as @wxmeddleralluded to works out, but this is shaping up to be an ugly bust here in the metros. Ugh. What a waste of awesome CAPE if it can't be realized. I do not like the mid-level anvil precip to our W. How often do sig storms fire when that is already in place? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted July 21 Share Posted July 21 28 minutes ago, vortex95 said: Yes, I do not like to see a big cluster of storms S of an area of interest. It seems more often than not, that means the area to the N is ripped out! I don't like seeing that east-west line to our south at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 21 Author Share Posted July 21 Yeah all that junk to the north and west is killer. It's a huge blob of sub-severe rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted July 21 Share Posted July 21 4 minutes ago, high risk said: I don't like seeing that east-west line to our south at all. We're in a dead zone for sure. I've given up on severe for today. I'd be happy sitting on my porch watching a steady rain. Unfortunately that doesn't look great either. I'm so tired of boring weather. I'd be happy if my roof got ripped off by a tornado at this point. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 21 Author Share Posted July 21 Honestly at this point if that precip blog survives the mountains maybe we can just get a few hours of soaking rain... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 21 Share Posted July 21 There is a storm to my NW and another to my SE in DE. Hearing the thunder, from both? Not going to produce anything here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted July 21 Share Posted July 21 10 minutes ago, Kmlwx said: Yeah all that junk to the north and west is killer. It's a huge blob of sub-severe rain Some of us are just happy for the rain 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toolsheds Posted July 21 Share Posted July 21 2 minutes ago, mappy said: Some of us are just happy for the rain i just had insurance cover a new roof and don't want any wind :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 21 Share Posted July 21 Headed to Merriweather. Might not even rain much there lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 21 Share Posted July 21 4 minutes ago, mappy said: Some of us are just happy for the rain But this is the severe storm thread where people root for damaging winds, hail, a spin up tornado or 2.. as long as its not in their yards. I like general gusty storms with heavy rain and T&L and the chance to get a photo of a shelf cloud. Probably have at least 10 in my 'collection'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted July 21 Share Posted July 21 That’s a MEAN tornado on the OH/WV border. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 21 Author Share Posted July 21 3 minutes ago, AmericanWxFreak said: That’s a MEAN tornado on the OH/WV border. . Good lord yes it is. Certainly for this part of the country. "large and extremely dangerous tornado" text on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted July 21 Share Posted July 21 The radar west of Philly is what our radar was supposed to look like now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted July 21 Share Posted July 21 1 minute ago, high risk said: The radar west of Philly is what our radar was supposed to look like now Se pa always the bullseye Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 21 Share Posted July 21 Storm entering Garrett County in about 30 minutes just got TWd... big rotation SW of Morgantown 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 21 Author Share Posted July 21 I mean - my rational side says that all the junk around is going to lessen our threat substantially - but the Morgantown cell plus that one entering WV from OH does have me intrigued as those are heading in our general direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted July 21 Share Posted July 21 I rarely check in during the summer months, but here I am for the bust of the year.  Hopefully, everyone is enjoying summer regardless of severe or no severe. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 21 Author Share Posted July 21 The other thing to consider is that cell @yoda mentioned is in an area and continuing ito areas that the blob of precip has been impacting...so if it holds/intensifies it could be a good indicator for downstream. My only concern is that by the time that stuff shifts closer, we will be well beyond peak heating. We will have to rely on better forcing to continue the threat. Though....it does remain QUITE soupy out there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 21 Share Posted July 21 17 minutes ago, AmericanWxFreak said: That’s a MEAN tornado on the OH/WV border. I'm honestly surprised that SPC hasn't upgraded that area to a tornado watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 21 Share Posted July 21 3 minutes ago, Kmlwx said: The other thing to consider is that cell @yoda mentioned is in an area and continuing ito areas that the blob of precip has been impacting...so if it holds/intensifies it could be a good indicator for downstream. My only concern is that by the time that stuff shifts closer, we will be well beyond peak heating. We will have to rely on better forcing to continue the threat. Though....it does remain QUITE soupy out there. If we are at the coping stage, at least the atmosphere isn't "worked over" by the time the later round gets here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 21 Share Posted July 21 That storm to my NW seems to be expanding south/turning right. Could be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NVAwx Posted July 21 Share Posted July 21 Just now, MN Transplant said: If we are at the coping stage, at least the atmosphere isn't "worked over" by the time the later round gets here. And TWO tornado warned storms angled at us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 21 Share Posted July 21 Garrett County severe warned with tornado possible tag Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 21 Share Posted July 21 Two SVR warnings now SE of DC. Throwing off a little gust front to the north, so we'll see if anything can happen with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted July 21 Share Posted July 21 Explosion of activity in southern FDK cty . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Ramjet Posted July 21 Share Posted July 21 Radar is really starting to blossom over my house now. Very heavy rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted July 21 Share Posted July 21 Bust 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 21 Share Posted July 21 18 minutes ago, CAPE said: That storm to my NW seems to be expanding south/turning right. Could be interesting. Literally right on the southern edge. Raining pretty hard though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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