March Madness

[CoastalWx]

If this came 8 hours earlier SNE would look like Kansas.

[Ginx snewx]

47 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

I feel like every year on March 15th we go through this same stench of denial over the seasonal termination timing. 

I think people need to adopt the following notion at a spiritual level; a perpetually constraining limitation on their expectations:

Winter ends after March 7.

Springs sometimes host snow as a very valid part of Spring in New England's climate.   If/when snow becomes a prevalent outlook event in Spring, it is normal Spring weather... and does not reflect winter as still existing.  

Also - while not (yet) a prerequisite for getting a 100 on that mental acuity test, anyone include CC disruption gets extra credit. 

Winter ends March 21st and climo agrees. The artificial March 1 for record keeping means nothing 

[Ginx snewx]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

If this came 8 hours earlier SNE would look like Kansas.

If my Aunt had balls she'd be my uncle. 

[CT Rain]

7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

If you look at Euro, GFS, NAM’s, HRRR.. all of them gust over 60 and some over 70. The Euro is the weakest and has 60+. Interesting 

GFS and NAM soundings don't look impressive at all.

HRRR is more interesting though. 

[Ginx snewx]

46 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

The cold march busted.    Most places are +2 to +4 so far with nothing cold outside of one day in the next week or so

Really? It's half over there are 9 days BN on EPS 

[Typhoon Tip]

Warm fronts do this ...   WPC evaluates and it seems they maybe just pick a mean position, because there's like these multiple gradient axis ... One extends along the Pike up here... It's 30s and low 40s N of that, and 50s below with more regions S obs in the wind field.  Fine... but go down into the Mid Atl and there's another one, where it bounces into the mid 60s.  It's like there's multiple warm boundaries in a diffused tapestry and WPC just has a snake there in the midst of it all.

[Damage In Tolland]

5 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

GFS and NAM soundings don't look impressive at all.

HRRR is more interesting though. 

Look at the 3k

[Typhoon Tip]

6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Winter ends March 21st and climo agrees. The artificial March 1 for record keeping means nothing 

March 21 mean jack shit

That date means nothing to physics and celestial mechanics. 

[CT Rain]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Look at the 3k

I did

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, CT Rain said:

I did

Take em up ..hit em hard 

[Brian5671]

6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Really? It's half over there are 9 days BN on EPS 

Fair but this week was supposed to be cold and it trended much warmer.    To wipe out the +++ departures you're going to need some serious below normal departures 2nd half.  Not seeing it with the blocking becoming less robust on modeling-but who cares anyway it's mostly over for wintry threats rest of way

[Ginx snewx]

4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

March 21 mean jack shit

That date means nothing to physics and celestial mechanics. 

March 1st is an artificial date used for consistent record keeping. Here's the physics for Fitchburg. Cold season 

[40/70 Benchmark]

I smell another CC diatribe brewing....see ya next fall.

[WinterWolf]

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I smell another CC diatribe brewing....see ya next fall.

Nobody will read it…so it won’t matter. 

[metagraphica]

1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said:

So is that thunder coming on board in S CT?  Looks like it's warm frontal thrust/lifting edge

No thunder as it came through SE CT. Got really foggy before that line came through. Still heavy fog. 

[WxWatcher007]

Pack is done here. That ends a streak going back to Thanksgiving Day of continuous snow cover. 

[dendrite]

1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I smell another CC diatribe brewing....see ya next fall.

[Cyclone-68]

Some lightning strikes starting to show up around the Quabbin Reservoir 

[Great Snow 1717]

1 hour ago, WinterWolf said:

Nobody will read it…so it won’t matter. 

I disagree with that. I think Typhon Tip is fair and balanced. He isn't a master of hype. I think of him as being a straight shooter.

[WxWatcher007]

Meanwhile in Alabama

[Modfan2]

Sitting in West Kingston/Exeter RI area for work and pretty breezy here

[ma blizzard]

39 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Tips latest Hadley Cell model .. 

[Typhoon Tip]

2 hours ago, Ginx snewx said:

March 1st is an artificial date used for consistent record keeping. Here's the physics for Fitchburg. Cold season 

Yeah, I've never heard of March 1st climate boundaries  

March 21 is an 'event horizon' - impetus being, you notice nothing crossing that date. 

At our latitude and other geographic constraints, notwithstanding, ...  March 21 doesn't mean anything to the progression of spring.  You cross the equator with direct sun?  jack shit.  You may as well delineate the .3deg of latitude shy of the Equator that happens on the 20th and galloot about that then.

If you look at our climate, March shows a defined and most obvious total -differential in both cold and snow, and....  much to the amazement of denialims, that's starting work backward into Februaries. 

In fact, the first day of spring should philosophically begin on Feb 10, the date the celestial mechanics imposes the escape from the solar minum into what is called the solar transition season.

Yeah, March 21 ... 

 

[tamarack]

2 hours ago, Brian5671 said:

Fair but this week was supposed to be cold and it trended much warmer.    To wipe out the +++ departures you're going to need some serious below normal departures 2nd half.  Not seeing it with the blocking becoming less robust on modeling-but who cares anyway it's mostly over for wintry threats rest of way

My memory may not be accurate, but it recalls the cooldown being the 2nd half of the month.  Today and tomorrow will be AN, maybe enough to push the current +4.3 to near +5.  Not sure we get any serious AN warmth rest of the month, though I think it finishes 1-2° AN.  March 1-3 were way BN but since then all but one day (13th, 0.4° BN) has been AN, with 8-10 being +18-20.

[Damage In Tolland]

Getting a lot of 58-61 in CT now . Magic number of 60 degrees for big winds tonight. 
 

.94 so far. Winds getting a bit gusty and fog gone 

[dendrite]

16 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Getting a lot of 58-61 in CT now . Magic number of 60 degrees for big winds tonight. 
 

.94 so far. Winds getting a bit gusty and fog gone 

Get me some dews near 62 

[dendrite]

40.8° RA

I will laugh pretty hard if I find a way to not fully warm sector out of this. 

[Damage In Tolland]

5 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Get me some dews near 62 

Ellington 

 

[Torch Tiger]

36 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Getting a lot of 58-61 in CT now . Magic number of 60 degrees for big winds tonight. 
 

.94 so far. Winds getting a bit gusty and fog gone 

 

[MJO812]

Congrats on euro