2/22-23 "There's no way..." Storm Part 2

[paxpatriot]

30 minutes ago, bncho said:

EPS is like 100 miles west

What a weird storm. Pretty rare to see the Euro make a crazy jump like that at the last minute.

[yoda]

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
154 PM EST Sat Feb 21 2026

MDZ019-020-220800-
/O.UPG.KPHI.WS.A.0002.260222T1800Z-260223T2300Z/
/O.EXA.KPHI.BZ.W.0001.260222T1500Z-260223T2300Z/
Talbot-Caroline-
Including the cities of Easton and Denton
154 PM EST Sat Feb 21 2026

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO 6 PM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations
  between 10 and 13 inches. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...Caroline and Talbot Counties.

* WHEN...From 10 AM Sunday to 6 PM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Areas of
  blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous
  conditions could impact the Monday morning and evening commutes.

 

[bncho]

I was thinking about the NAM in an Indian restaurant, then I saw this… perhaps a harbinger for 18z

[nj2va]

Blizzard warnings being added to the eastern shore by Philly.

[snowfan]

8 minutes ago, yoda said:

Dunno if this is more from LE... but...

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service State College PA
143 PM EST Sat Feb 21 2026

...IMPACTFUL WINTER STORM TO BRING HEAVY SNOWFALL TO CENTRAL
PENNSYLVANIA...

PAZ017>019-025>028-034>036-042-049>053-221130-
/O.NEW.KCTP.WS.A.0005.260222T1000Z-260223T1800Z/
Clearfield-Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Blair-Huntingdon-
Mifflin-Juniata-Bedford-Fulton-Franklin-Sullivan-Union-Snyder-
Montour-Northumberland-Columbia-
Including the cities of McConnellsburg, Bloomsburg, Mount Union,
Danville, DuBois, Altoona, Philipsburg, Lewisburg, Berwick,
Bedford, Laporte, Huntingdon, Selinsgrove, Clearfield, Sunbury,
Mifflintown, State College, Shamokin, Lewistown, and Chambersburg
143 PM EST Sat Feb 21 2026

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations between 3 and
  8 inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...A portion of central Pennsylvania.

* WHEN...From late tonight through Monday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions
  could impact the Monday morning commute.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Uncertainty remains for where the heaviest
  snow bands will occur. Snow totals could be higher depending on
  these localized bands.

Most of those areas are outside the favored LE/upslope zones,

[yoda]

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
154 PM EST Sat Feb 21 2026

MDZ012-015-220800-
/O.UPG.KPHI.WS.A.0002.260222T1800Z-260223T2300Z/
/O.EXB.KPHI.WS.W.0002.260222T1800Z-260223T2300Z/
Kent MD-Queen Annes-
Including the cities of Centreville and Chestertown
154 PM EST Sat Feb 21 2026

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SUNDAY TO 6 PM EST
MONDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 10
  and 13 inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Kent MD and Queen Annes Counties.

* WHEN...From 1 PM Sunday to 6 PM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Some
  blowing snow is likely which could lead to reduced visibility. The
  hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning and evening
  commutes.

[EHoffman]

Philly's warning just got bumped to 14-18"

[Maestrobjwa]

1 hour ago, Jake Wx said:

12z EURO KUCHERA

This hurts my Baltimorean feelings. Whhhhy must I always be in-between?

[AlexD1990]

42 minutes ago, bncho said:

EPS WOW

Holy shit, wow ...I am speechless 

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

4 minutes ago, paxpatriot said:

What a weird storm. Pretty rare to see the Euro make a crazy jump like that at the last minute.

Yeah that’s wild. 

[AlexD1990]

NWS upgraded my blizzard warning to 9-12"

[mitchnick]

Why no 15z Srefs snowfall map? Don't mind if I do.

[DDweatherman]

Just now, Maestrobjwa said:

This hurts my Baltimorean feelings. Whhhhy must I always be in-between?

If the euro makes one more improvement at h5 like 6z did from 0z and then subsequently at 12z again, you won’t have to worry pal.

[Eskimo Joe]

Latest SREF is juiced. 10"+ from DC northeast. 

[Wetbulbs88]

5 minutes ago, bncho said:

I was thinking about the NAM in an Indian restaurant, then I saw this… perhaps a harbinger for 18z

Pure gold. Thanks man. 

[yoda]

@CAPE got his blizzard warning lol

[RickinBaltimore]

2 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

This hurts my Baltimorean feelings. Whhhhy must I always be in-between?

Just a hunch on my part, but I have a feeling we are going to be pleasantly surprised by this storm. 

[LeesburgWx]

6 minutes ago, bncho said:

I was thinking about the NAM in an Indian restaurant, then I saw this… perhaps a harbinger for 18z

You are too young to drink but not to young to get Nam'd

[RDM]

2 minutes ago, nj2va said:

Blizzard warnings being added to the eastern shore by Philly.

The Blizzard Warnings were expanded significantly inland along eastern PA, NJ and a good ways up the Hudson in an arc around RI and Mass.  My wife is living temporarily in NYC on the upper West Side and taking Amtrak back tonight to avoid what will likely be a shutdown of Amtrak in the NW corridor tomorrow.  Tempting to go with her to see NYC get nailed from her 23rd floor view.  Had a nice snow in Dec that was awesome to watch from an elevated perch.  

[Terpeast]

1 minute ago, mitchnick said:

Why no 15z Srefs snowfall map? Don't mind if I do.

Nice! I can see something like this happening if the lows tuck west and throws the ccb further west into nova/81.  Let’s see if 18z/0z models start showing this 

[Herb@MAWS]

5 minutes ago, bncho said:

I was thinking about the NAM in an Indian restaurant, then I saw this… perhaps a harbinger for 18z

I’m at T-minus 3 hours until Indian Restaurant and some Taj Mahal. 

[clskinsfan]

16 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said:

Feeling good here in Loudoun. I think I am just enough east to get some decent snow, whether its from the IVT potential or LP being closer to the coast. West of Loudoun is the question mark imo.

Yeah. We need to maximize the front end out here. Then pray for the inverted trough after that. I feel pretty confident that we will get some out this way. But the big stuff is going to be east again. is what it is. 

[Paleocene]

Rack em and stack em, tuck and capture the low! wish this was happening a touch differently so we could all get the jack instead of NJ, but whatever. It looks cool.

Sorry for the quality, hard to fit this much action under the size limit. 12z euro 500mb, 700mb, 850mb and MSLP/10m wind

[mattie g]

[snowfan]

I expect to see pics of cape walking down 404 wearing a Hawaiian shirt drinking a beer. 

[DDweatherman]

1 minute ago, Paleocene said:

Rack em and stack em, tuck and capture the low! wish this was happening a touch differently so we could all get the jack instead of NJ, but whatever. It looks cool.

Sorry for the quality, hard to fit this much action under the size limit. 12z euro 500mb, 700mb, 850mb and 850mb

Textboook. I agree with @MillvilleWx earlier, should slide north northerly after the capture not so much ENE.

[arlwx12]

Also a blizzard warning for parts of DE/PA...

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
154 PM EST Sat Feb 21 2026

DEZ002-NJZ017>019-021-220800-
/O.UPG.KPHI.WS.W.0002.260222T1500Z-260223T2300Z/
/O.EXA.KPHI.BZ.W.0001.260222T1500Z-260223T2300Z/
Kent-Gloucester-Camden-Northwestern Burlington-Cumberland-
Including the cities of Moorestown, Glassboro, Dover, Cherry
Hill, Mount Holly, Millville, and Camden
154 PM EST Sat Feb 21 2026

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO 6 PM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations
  between 14 and 20 inches. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph.

* WHERE...In Delaware, Kent County. In New Jersey, Camden,
  Cumberland, Gloucester, and Northwestern Burlington Counties.

* WHEN...From 10 AM Sunday to 6 PM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Areas of
  blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous
  conditions could impact the Monday morning and evening commutes.
  Gusty winds could bring down tree branches.

[snowfan]

Don’t forget to tag Randy in your snow pics so he doesn’t get FOMO. 

[Eskimo Joe]

 

 

[CatoctinRN]

I have to travel from Taneytown to Westminster at 11pm Sunday- how screwed am I haha