February 22-23 Storm Thread/OBS

[ChescoWx]

NAM through 3pm has the ULL snow mainly N and W of 95....coastal taking over wonder if this run will tighten the gradient from NW to SE?

[anthonyweather]

1 minute ago, ChescoWx said:

NAM through 3pm has the ULL snow mainly N and W of 95....coastal taking over wonder if this run will tighten the gradient from NW to SE?

it already doubles the snow N&W that 6z had by 7pm

[Violentweatherfan]

12 minutes ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said:

I see a coastal storm, with the higher amounts towards the coast. It looks really close, almost to the amounts.

This is as close to an analog as you can get. Finally I see an event with the MJO in phase 3 and a weak or transitioning La Niña 

Edit: it was in the circle of death during January I searched for February 

thanks

[Fields27]

966 mb @ hour 48 

[coastal front]

This nam run is one for the history books wow

[Newman]

NAM is a significant increase in totals for Berks and the Lehigh Valley. 12-18" for everyone. Philly and Jersey 2-3 feet. Actually there might be more coming...

[Ralph Wiggum]

37 minutes ago, Newman said:

Long range 12z HRRR is just insane, wow

Yeahhhh....I have the 1-3' line as i95 essentially.  Im close to shifting that farther west. Wow.

[MJO812]

2 minutes ago, coastal front said:

This nam run is one for the history books wow

Still snowing 

[BBasile]

30 mb in 12 hours?  

[Ralph Wiggum]

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

Still snowing 

[Newman]

This is again where you go and bring up the Top 5-10 all time lists

[Physicsteve]

We’re living in the era of bombogenesis and rapid intensification, and all the pieces finally timed up right to allow a winter version. 

[bigtenfan]

1 hour ago, MickeyTim6533 said:

Why does it seem all the major mets hug the EURO??

In the case of Glenn Hurricane Schwartz I am sure it goes back to Sandy. I vividly remember watching him on TV explaining the the GFS had Sandy a safe fish storm and the Euro had it doing the left hook that it eventually did.

[Chadzachadam]

Pleasant morning outside, hard to really fathom what’s coming. My guess at this point is 14-18” for Philly but can’t rule out 2+ feet 

[JTA66]

I believe it’s already been mentioned, but someone is getting thunder snow with this.

[The Iceman]

24 minutes ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said:

I see a coastal storm, with the higher amounts towards the coast. It looks really close, almost to the amounts.

Sweet show the 500 mb set up, I can show a million fucking coastal storms, doesn’t mean they are anything similar.

[Blue Dream]

29 minutes ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said:

I see a coastal storm, with the higher amounts towards the coast. It looks really close, almost to the amounts.

This one should have bigger totals more inland too I would think 

[JTA66]

Kind of disappointed we haven’t crashed the board. Back in my day, us old time weenies would bring Eastern down over this $hit  

[KYWSchoolClosings4ever]

why does it always feel like as the event gets closer, the scaling back of  totals begins?

Do you ever stop with this crap?? Ever? Does any amount of criticism phase you? It seems like you learn absolutely nothing every single time we do this. No one wants to hear your whining every ten posts. Please reconsider.


.

[BroadWing3544]

Wooosh, that mb on the NAM.  If this was during spring or late summer/early Fall, I'd be grabbing my spotting scope and heading on down to the Delaware to see if any seabirds get blown in off the ocean.  

Good stuff.  

[LVblizzard]

I was admittedly a little concerned last night after seeing the Euro…looks like the short range and meso models are easing my worries this morning.

[Ralph Wiggum]

Does anyone know if hurricane Schwartz still thinks this is basically a non-event west of i95 or did he finally cave?

[Bluescat1]

46 minutes ago, Physicsteve said:

We’re living in the era of bombogenesis and rapid intensification, and all the pieces finally timed up right to allow a winter version. 

The planets are in some kind of weird alignment according to Geophysicist Stefan Burns.

[Newman]

RGEM continues to be unenthused in truly tucking and stalling the low into the coast. The mid-level lows close off just a bit too late and it scoots ENE quicker. It may also be chasing the convection to the east

[coastal front]

Just now, Newman said:

RGEM continues to be unenthused in truly tucking and stalling the low into the coast. The mid-level lows close off just a bit too late and it scoots ENE quicker. It may also be chasing the convection to the east

It did look better at 500 atleast 

[Violentweatherfan]

27 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Does anyone know if hurricane Schwartz still thinks this is basically a non-event west of i95 or did he finally cave?

In all seriousness, he should have or maybe he did have an analysis why he is going with the euro and why it’s showing less totals and pointing out on the GFS is wrong.  
 

I never saw his original post. I don’t really have Twitter.

[Newman]

2 minutes ago, coastal front said:

It did look better at 500 atleast 

Very much agree, these h500 tick improvements are more important than surface output

[Hurricane Agnes]

3k NAM out to its last panel.

 

 

[ChescoWx]

[ChescoWx]