ChescoWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 hour ago, snowwors2 said: NOT at all…They are very accurate and generally more on the conservative side and usually upgrade more so than downgraded… They were spot on with all three January storms‼️ What I posted was a text I received from them but you can view it online https://epawaweather.com/weather-alerts/ Bobby M and his team are one of the best independent professional firms out there! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 30 minutes ago, Blue Dream said: Looks like an area wide HECS To me, "HECS" = 1996 levels! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 minute ago, ChescoWx said: Bobby M and his team are one of the best independent professional firms out there! They kinda were the originals. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 32 minutes ago, Blue Dream said: Looks like an area wide HECS MAybe for the shore but 15" is week sauce for Berks and Chester county. MECS forum wide though. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MickeyTim6533 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago ICON NW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago . 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Waiting... for... King GFS. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 3 minutes ago, Duca892 said: Waiting... for... King GFS. Gfs might be more phased 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago will you guys believe me now? As far as LR models go, the typical pattern MO this year is the LR models show the MECS storm potential at 7-10 days.---lose the MECS potential at 4-6 days and then bring the potential MECS back in a diminIshed capacity IN THE MESO'S----LET IT PLAY OUT FOLKS. I AGREE THAT 6-12" SEEMS PLAUSIBLE --I AM GETTING BLUE IN THE FACE FROM POSTING THIS The GFS models showed 5 days ago 30 inches- all hell broke loose on the board. Then the models lost it all and bang guess what? the NAM brings 20+ inches to the area this afternoon. I am still going with a minimum of 6-12 in but I am willingly to go higher and raise the stakes if the OZ runs show this 18+ in trend being stable. There maybe a few debbie downers later this evening if it goes down as better model dat gets ingested. I also said this storm would happen after the 22nd after the pattern changer on the 14-16th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 26 minutes ago, Snowguy66 said: DT is a lunatic. A total immature human being. At the end of the day, he could be right, but it's how he gets there is what screwed up. I used to thinking was the weather God and then I realized he's wrong so many times. Plus his hatred of the GFS and the national weather service and also some of the things just really makes you not respect this guy I always thought of DT as the Howard Eskin of weather 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago GFS is just a huge crusher 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago The GFS is too legit to quit. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago I was saying it this morning and unless it loses it i will say it again The GFS for this storm was the NAM for Jonas in Jan 2016. The NAM absolutely locked in on that storm and then every model trended towards it. Same thing has happened with the GFS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago GFS is a folks 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 3 minutes ago, Newman said: GFS is just a huge crusher Holy shit! 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx1 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 18z GFS (the AI one doesn't do "winter" stuff... at least yet) - 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago GFS with just another crush job 16-20in from the Lehigh Valley to Philly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx1 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago I went fairly conservative with my first call on my page. I have 4-8" for the Lehigh Valley for now but confidence is pretty low. This has too many similarities to Boxing Day for my liking and that was a huge bust here. It'll be harder for this one to badly bust like that, but at this point I do think most heavy banding stays fairly close to I-95. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 43 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: Bobby M and his team are one of the best independent professional firms out there! 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Off to job number 2. Great day of tracking with yall. Lets see what those 0z's bring in. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago On the 18z GFS, the low looks really tucked during the early part of its run and then it jumps closer to the benchmark. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 5 minutes ago, MGorse said: That’s it…Thanks Mike‼️ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 hour ago, RedSky said: DT first guess is 3-6" For who Albany 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Londoncalling457 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Nbc and fox are saying this is mainly Sunday evening into Monday. That accurate? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Just now, Londoncalling457 said: Nbc and fox are saying this is mainly Sunday evening into Monday. That accurate? Sunday afternoon into Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Cecily taking the conserative road.... I may need to speak with her. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Just now, Birds~69 said: Cecily taking the conserative road.... I may need to speak with her. My girl Payton will up those numbers tomorrow. If you think about it, this could have been PD III. Presidents Day is usually this weekend. So close! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, JTA66 said: My girl Payton will up those numbers tomorrow. If you think about it, this could have been PD III. Presidents Day is usually this weekend. So close! Cecily makes all the calls there. There's no way Payton can adjust those numbers unless Cecily approves it. I remember Herb dropkicking a guy for changing numbers, that shit don't fly! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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