Albedoman

From this mornings 4am discussion: hope this happens MT Holly lets cross our fingers. This will help green the lawns bigtime and get water in the soil profile However, cannot rule out some stronger gusts if a low-topped convective line can actually organize. While heavy rain is possible and rainfall rates for a brief period could approach an inch per hour, not really expecting any flooding concerns given how dry it has been. Rainfall amounts when all is said and done will be around an 1-1.5" with amounts up to 2" possible near the coast.

these rains will not help the drought. Its wam bam thank you mam type of rain event. consisting of a 5-10 minute moderate to heavy rain squall and then 8-12 hours of drizzle and light showers. No more than an inch if we are lucky. This rain event will only help keep the spring bulbs flowering and take some of the yellow out of the lawns. We really need moderate all day rains with these cloudy shitty days we are having. We have so many of these type of cloudy days with no precip in the past 6-8 months, I stopped counting. Todays blown forecasted temps also do not get the spirits up too. The models keep puking 1 in snows for the end of the month and next Friday will be only in the low 40's for highs. It will only rain one day after Sunday--- next Thursday before the cold front which come through dry. The drought lives on. I see more brush fires and red flag warnings by the end of the week too if we get less than a half of inch of rain tomorrow. I did see one budding maple tree today whoopee.

https://www.drought.gov/states/pennsylvania/county/lehigh https://www.lehighcountyauthority.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/LCA-WeeklyReport-DroughtMonitoring-Dashboard-021925.pdf

yes. The are sections in the Little Lehigh Creek in the upper reaches where its barely deep enough for trout to swim right now. The spring base flows are down big time. There has been no snow melt recharge for the entire watershed while LCA and the industries for 50 to 100 water, soda and other beverage bottling companies plus the food manufacturers are pumping the living shit out of the groundwater system in Upper Macungie Township. Every single bottle of Deer Park, coke, DR pepper, 7 up, Pierre, Nestle, and others for the people in the entire NE USA are bottled right here using the Little Lehigh ground and surface water , the cleanest urbanized stream in the country. Believe me, you may think I am Bull shitting you guys, but the industrial people as well as LCA are in panic mode up here. Rationing water between the industries and the residents may become an issue soon if we do not get some decent rains.

sorry do not know as they are closed. I expect they water is down because there is no snow pack anywhere except man made. https://www.alltrails.com/trail/us/pennsylvania/bushkill-falls-red-and-blue-trail

make this say "bring rain" and here you go

the levels in the Little Lehigh are the lowest I have everseen in the last 40+ years for the spring. Its rough as the base flows of the stream are srt to dry up quickly as the vegetation and trees come out of dormancy. Its only going to get worse. The dense morning fog by the end of the week will help some with the extremely dry humidity but we really need a stationary front over us for two weeks at this rate. The recent dry winds of 35 + are killing us. . I see nothing significant until April. An onion snow will do nothing for the drought too. we need a 16 inch wet snow to at least get the grass green. I have never seen this yellow in march ever.

still here busy today with my job. I said this on Monday and I was close ----New years eve all over again on Wednesday evening folks That is the last time we had t storms and significant rains. 1-3 inches of rain will be a billion dollar rain event for farmers and landscapers in eastern PA and will definitely help this years crops and finally reestablished green lawns again. However, this rainfall event will only put a dent in the long term drought but it will be a significant dent in getting water back into the ground. The combination of warmer temps of 50 degrees on Tuesday into the weekend with the heavy rain will thaw out the entire frozen soil profile quickly. With no extreme overnight cold temps like over the past weekend, the greener lawns and budding of trees, daffodils and other bulbs popping up will be noticeable by the end of the weekend. Their is also a real good chance of a squall line with severe t- storms, straight line winds and a severe t- storm tornado watch being issued. Best potential weather event all winter. But after this event, it is back to the SOS again with wind and dry temps. At least the fire danger will be gone.---- I was only wrong on the fire threat. The last two days were brutal with relative humidities below 30% and 40 mph wind gusts. and the fire threat remains. Any soil moisture has been somewhat removed from the rain and will be really gone for sure by next Wednesday with temps in the mid 60's. . The BS showers on Thursday will be pittance in the bucket. Mt Holly issues a special statement for tomorrow too about the fire threat. W really need a week of cloudy moderate rainfall for 5 + days instead of these similar Santa Ana winds downsloping the Blue MTs. The pattern has to break soon. My lawn is a little greener but is not much to say. Mostly yellow. The bulbs are popping up but again not remarkable.

yep after 3 runs the MECS is gone . I love this video clip

no support from me until 48-72 hours and it shows up on the NAM Even that is a stretch after this winter. Next-----

hey right on the 12Z

I will one up you and say wind advisory criteria will be met with a brief shower as the LP moves away . Personally this is graupel type of storm event as unstable cold air advects. I tell you what really made me LOL almost made me piss my pants was the aftermath of this BS storm event with the temps as seen below. When is the last time we saw -4 temps in middle march?

THis is what I think of this model run. https://www.gettyimages.com/detail/video/president-george-w-bush-delivers-his-famous-fool-me-once-news-footage/1271658781

New years eve all over again on Wednesday evening folks That is the last time we had t storms and significant rains. 1-3 inches of rain will be a billion dollar rain event for farmers and landscapers in eastern PA and will definitely help this years crops and finally reestablished green lawns again. However, this rainfall event will only put a dent in the long term drought but it will be a significant dent in getting water back into the ground. The combination of warmer temps of 50 degrees on Tuesday into the weekend with the heavy rain will thaw out the entire frozen soil profile quickly. With no extreme overnight cold temps like over the past weekend, the greener lawns and budding of trees, daffodils and other bulbs popping up will be noticeable by the end of the weekend. Their is also a real good chance of a squall line with severe t- storms, straight line winds and a severe t- storm tornado watch being issued. Best potential weather event all winter. But after this event, it is back to the SOS again with wind and dry temps. At least the fire danger will be gone. Once the cold front tracks through the area late Wednesday night, precipitation will diminish as drier air begins to move in from the west. In terms of rainfall amounts, expecting between 0.5-1.0 inches across the Coastal Plain. Across the higher terrain of northeast PA and NJ, including the Lehigh Valley, rainfall amounts between 1-2 inches are expected. Localized higher amounts could be possible.