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Albedoman

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About Albedoman

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KABE
  • Location:
    Lower Macungie Twsp
  • Interests
    Have a degree in physical geography from the University of Memphis , minor in Geology and an atmospheric/environmental concentration with post graduate work in urban planning and satellite imagery in 1981. (Meteorology was in geography depts in the 70's) Was employed in the Navy as an air traffic controller, had a FAA license, and worked with the CIA as landsat imagery analyst . Trained in meteorology by my uncle in the 70's who was the regional meteorology director for the Western US.

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  1. I blame one thing and one thing only- the lack of empirical data over the Pacific Ocean in a very progressive west to east weather pattern. Not enough buoys, balloons and flight to gather information to ingest into all of the models to make deterministic and more accurate locations of upper air winds and pressures. Surface precip maps do not control the weather , upper winds do plain and simple. The more equipment we have to get temps, pressure and wind speeds the more accurate the models will be. My solution to this mess: Launch drones in the areas of the pacific ocean (the great void) where we we currently lack the available data and design these drones to exceed 50,000 sq ft. the capability to launch weather balloons and gather air pressure humidity and temps throughout the profile of the atmosphere. If companies can produce a drone to deliver a frickling amazon package, they can make them to fly over the pacific ocean with the appropriate weather data gathering equipment. Something is better than nothing
  2. Too early to say. If the La Nina takes its time breaking down, sometime in May. Still can get late April rains to kill the potential drought though but Feb and March are not looking good right now for any huge precip event. All it takes though is one good snowfall storm event of 12-18 inches in Feb to provide us with a good recharge. Lets hope this happens by Valentines Day.
  3. Wow, it appears I hit this moving target in the bullseye. No biting for me. It appears another use of the leaf blower for this snow event. Gotta charge up the battery. LMAO +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ I do not believe we get jack crap. OTS or hits Long island Boston area. The cards are not in play at this time. That storm has to be at least 150 miles more sw and wrapped around and amped like hell. The best storms are down at the BM at the Chesapeake Bay. Furthermore, the mid range models are so far off in this PA jet progressive pattern that it is scary. When the Nam shows it at the 60 hour mark, I will bite at it. Until then time to just watch the mood flakes fall tonight. Honestly this weather pattern is equal to the volatility of todays stock market activity - and thats bad. I might as well be reading the futures in the market for our... Monday at 05:09 PM 1,934 replies 2
  4. cmon hold on to your poker face a little longer. This is an OTS storm. For the LV, 1-3 inches thats it
  5. well posters, please send this potential storm to the graveyard of fails for this winter season. Never even got out of the starting gate. The dry progressive air pattern keeps on beating these storms down as they form off the coast. Whats next? Whats so heartbreaking for snow lovers is that the GFS long range indicates a fantasy storm five days out only to never reappear again. Run after run indicates a 6+ inch storm only to disappear and get pushed back for another week. You cannot even establish any pattern to this progressive split flow. Again, the only concern I have is that the drought potential is not going away in this current weather pattern and if we do not get some significant precip whether rain or snow, into the ground water tables, they will fall pretty quick in early April as temps rise. Our current weather pattern scenario reminds me a lot of the winter of 93 before the March superstorm hit. It will take a major hitter to break this stubborn pattern for sure.
  6. yes that was a nice storm event. I like your summation so far on facebook but I am concerned that the storm bombs out past the BM leaving us with scraps this time. The last storm barreled through in this progressive pattern which hints this storm may only slow down once gets near LI. I think tonight's OZ Nam run will tells us if the storm will have enough energy before it hits the benchmark to throw bands off the ocean and toward eastern PA. Nothing better than having orographic lifting from east to west which is good for us in the LV.
  7. It would put a dent in it but I am not holding my breath anytime soon. This pesky volatile mid range model runs are ridiculous to follow any pattern. We need the low pressure to bomb out like this over the Chesapeake bay in this clip LOL
  8. Lets Debbie Downer now , can't do any worse at this time. The GFS and GEM 0Z runs tonight were a joke as they both have swinging volatility worse than the stock market today. The GEM has 18 inches at noon, nothing at midnight. How the hell can you find a trend in that outcome is beyond me.
  9. I do not believe we get jack crap. OTS or hits Long island Boston area. The cards are not in play at this time. That storm has to be at least 150 miles more sw and wrapped around and amped like hell. The best storms are down at the BM at the Chesapeake Bay. Furthermore, the mid range models are so far off in this PA jet progressive pattern that it is scary. When the Nam shows it at the 60 hour mark, I will bite at it. Until then time to just watch the mood flakes fall tonight. Honestly this weather pattern is equal to the volatility of todays stock market activity - and thats bad. I might as well be reading the futures in the market for our weather models. LOL
  10. wonder if this volcanic eruption was a major player in 1778 to create a cold winter in 1779 like Pinatubo did in 1991 for 1994 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Raikoke? If that is the case watch out next winter with Tonga volcano
  11. I want to say that this entire post is the most well written post that I have read in many years on this forum. As a physical geographer/meteorologist, this was an excellent response to our existing weather patterns and mimics my exact thoughts as well.
  12. 4 in here in macungie still snowing hard yard stick on the deck next to my squirrel feeder red marks are at 6 in increments
  13. Bullseye. Walt. Hit the nail squared on from earlier last week. The tornadoes did occur in Fla. Now if the warm air would back off here LMAO. I cannot wait to see how bad the winds by tomorrow afternoon. https://www.foxweather.com/weather-news/tornadoes-tear-through-florida-neighborhoods-flip-vehicles-sunday
  14. I was hoping to get that of response. Mesos are coming in with more snow like it
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