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MGorse

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by MGorse

  1. MGorse
    The 700 mb FGEN was insane with this event, thus the crazy hourly snowfall rates and totals in a narrow band. This is from the SPC mesoscale analysis data.
  2. MGorse
    Radar beam tends to overshoot them at that distance from the radar. Snow squalls are usually lower topped.
  3. MGorse
    Snow Squall Warnings for the Poconos and the Lehigh Valley currently.
  4. MGorse
    Yup the massive upward motion in that band that interesected the DGZ coupled with deep saturation resulted in much higher SLRs.
  5. MGorse
    It is completely different. This was via very strong/deep frontogenesis in combination with upper level jet dynamics.
  6. MGorse
    Easily half of the 4 inches of snow here has already melted.
  7. MGorse
    The consistency of the snow was wetter than I thought it would be. Looks beautiful though covering all the trees.
  8. MGorse
    4 inches at my place. Wow regarding that intense band that occurred. The look of it on radar looked like a fire hose of snow that Buffalo gets off Lake Erie. Insane!
  9. MGorse
    I don’t think it is subsidence, but rather weaker lift outside of the strong lift that is producing the band.
  10. MGorse
    That is a result of tightening 700 mb frontogentic forcing. This is sloped ascent and this narrow band is on the north side of the 700 mb frontogensis. That translates eastward, but let’s see if it remains so narrow like that.
  11. MGorse
    Quick look at radar and the HRRR and it looks like the HRRR is not initializing the heavy band of snow in OH and western PA quite right.
  12. MGorse
    Nope, my shift is wrapping up shortly.
  13. MGorse
    Well, some of you got your upgrade to a Winter Storm Warning.
  14. MGorse
    A little late for any winter storm watches to be issued. Advisories have already been issued, and some of those can always be upgraded to a warning if need be.
  15. MGorse
    Impressive storm in more ways than one.
  16. MGorse
    Delaware County is not split like that.
  17. MGorse
    Their perspective will change when it is snowing at 1-2 inches per hour and the temperature is 32-34 degrees.
  18. MGorse
    That is at 13z. Still snowing after that.
  19. MGorse
    The main forecast updates are issued around 4 AM/PM.
  20. MGorse
    The HREF is looked at but I would not say we rely heavily on it.
  21. MGorse
    This is insane! I would literally be pulling my hair out if working today. Did mention over the weekend at work that this storm could be a surprise but was not sure where.
  22. MGorse
    Because given the uncertainty the Winter Storm Watch covers a bit larger area.
  23. MGorse
    Yup, I missed that as well.
  24. MGorse
    This storm setup has that look though of an area of heavy banding which would be all snow as the column cools. We shall see. I just want to know, how much snow for Philly?
  25. MGorse
    Not saying the GFS is right for the later Monday and Tuesday storm, however it shows some strong lift centered within the snow growth zone with high relative humidity especially from about I-78 northward when it shows all snow. Surface temperatures fall to near freezing so it would be a wetter snow. It looks to be a quick moving storm, but something to watch as potentially stronger dynamics come into play.
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