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MGorse

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by MGorse

  1. MGorse
    Just extrapolate it.
  2. MGorse
    Yup something to watch as the NAM has an area of 850 mb FGEN strengthening some as it shifts east.
  3. MGorse
    I see what you did there.
  4. MGorse
    And you were not the only one at PHI to push the envelope on alerting. We have made some progress on that but still work to be done. Not an easy task either when staffing keeps changing.
  5. MGorse
    That inconsistency has been noticed by some NWS field offices, but I am not aware of where that stands. In my opinion if something like this NBM stuff is referenced in things like AFDs then some added info should be included to provide more context of that data. The deterministic NBM is bias corrected (60 days I believe) which results in a lag especially during pattern changes. Still not all that sure why a blend of models has a bias correction applied.
  6. MGorse
    The NBM is not the greatest guidance many times and I will leave it at that.
  7. MGorse
    You want to come back? We are still short staffed!
  8. MGorse
    Perhaps the ball would then be reported as a massive hailstone.
  9. MGorse
    Nothing like a Spring evening thunderstorm, oh wait it is 12/31. Happy New Year everyone!
  10. MGorse
    It is like a Spring night out there.
  11. MGorse
    Umm, sure.
  12. MGorse
    The 00z run will probably have nothing.
  13. MGorse
    Just lovely out there this morning. I hope everyone had a nice Christmas.
  14. MGorse
    Have not really seen any yet.
  15. MGorse
    Because you said 'heavy snow' and I was curious about the visibility. Just wanted to double check. Carry on...
  16. MGorse
    Observations under that enhanced area of snow on the radar are no where near 1/4 mile in snow. It is snowing pretty good under that here at the office, but visibility is above 1 mile.
  17. MGorse
    Hmmm, I am guessing not.
  18. MGorse
    Odd as I saw it updated earlier.
  19. MGorse
    The visibility 1/4 mile or less?
  20. MGorse
    Huh?
  21. MGorse
    Probably a few inches on the high side.
  22. MGorse
    Shocking!
  23. MGorse
    Hazardous Weather Outlook issued by NWS Upton.
  24. MGorse
    Advisory not a Watch.
  25. MGorse
    Lightning, at least in our area, does not really start most wildfires especially since we typically don’t deal with dry lightning. The majority of fires around here are caused by humans.
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