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Everything posted by MGorse
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Yup, wind, coastal flooding and beach erosion at the coast could be bad with this.
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If it is snowing at 1-3 inches per hour and especially also at night, it will stick to the roads.
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That could be 4 inches per hour with thunder. Crazy!
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This is absolutely nuts!!
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It is like trying to develop an eyewall like feature at the end of the loop. Damn!
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Given these model solutions, the 700-850 mb frontogenesis is going to be insane. If correct, easily a period of 2-3 inches per hour.
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The 00z NAM is like meteorological porn!
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No comment.
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Go by the legend range colors. The labeled numbers (i.e 1-14) are probability data being applied. Stupid, yes.
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Blizzard watches no longer exist.
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Holy shit!
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Well hello there 18z NAM, I see you!
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Impressive model trends today so far. If the storm ends up being intense and closer to the coast, there will be a zone of intense upward motion/frontogenesis resulting in 2+ inches per hour snowfall rates. Winds will be an issue, but it may be a challenge to achieve blizzard conditions as the snow could be too wet. It will be interesting to see how this pans out.
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Just to clarify, Watches are not downgraded. They are upgraded or canceled.
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Well now, maybe the GFS is not sniffing glue?
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The recon data, as far as I know, is available for all to use.
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Yup, most of the energy is onshore today. The recon is also for atmospheric river research/data.
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Yes, there were recon data yesterday at 18z and 00z in the eastern Pacific. Looks like some recon data is scheduled again for 00z this evening.
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The GFS sniffing glue or something?
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Not surprised!
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
MGorse replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
The 06z GFS certainly is a WOW, but that has to be over amplified! -
Early Monday morning 2/16 last minute event OBS/Discussion
MGorse replied to The Iceman's topic in Philadelphia Region
49 here currently. Some spotty grass showing now but still impressed with the snow cover hanging on. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
MGorse replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
MGorse replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Well, the model trends have become interesting.
