bristolri_wx Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 National Weenie Service high end 10% probability map. (just realized @Baroclinic Zonebeat me to it) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 4 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: shuffle has begun, early? Or just some noise, guess ensembles will be a bit more telling.... The Jet streak/confluence strengthened a little this time vs the others on this model output; that's why. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 wow cut 'em back. if that continues a few more cycles it'll be nothing more than a moderate storm here 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Will be a compromise between the two stubborn camps in the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Yuck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScituateMA Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Noticing a bit if a trend. Gradient seems sharper with each run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 GFS chasing convection like pacman 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Masswx Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Storm canceled 1 3 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, Masswx said: Storm canceled Is the mood in the house bad ? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Here comes the rug pull. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Coach just sent Lucy into the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Masswx Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Joking but would appreciate the slow increase in qpf like the storm in January. Would be nice for a weenie euro suite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Is the mood in the house bad ? He’s very emotional. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Masswx Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Is the mood in the house bad ? Yup 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, ineedsnow said: GFS chasing convection like pacman I don't think that's chasing convection there. Just kind of a quick glance but at least one thing it looks like is it isn't as clean with the injection of all the shortwave energy on the backside. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MegaMike Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2 minutes ago, Shaun Curry said: Does this mean that RI gets Jim Cantore on the thundersnow beat? I could see him going to either Providence, Boston, central NJ, or somewhere along the Cape. I bet they announce the location later tonight. 18z HRRR gives Hartford higher percentages of lightning than Providence... 3-6% from 12am-3am on Monday. NYC too at 3-7% from 11pm-2am Sunday-Monday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 3 minutes ago, Greg said: The Jet streak/confluence strengthened a little this time vs the others on this model output; that's why. yeah, just saw that and even at the surface, the heavy banding barely made it past the CT shoreline, 12z had it well inland.... 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, Masswx said: Yup Speak for yourself 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Jim C can stay here if he brings me a genny 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nianticct Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Painful reactions to one run! Grab your Bong and it will get better! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex95 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 30 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Oh hell yeah! Bliz of 05 CoastalWx MAN stuff! LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Are people really canceling Storm based off op GFS with Mesos ramping up ? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 I wouldn't be too concerned about the GFS unless it goes further SE at 12z: All the models should have more data soon they are flying though it right now and the mission is still ongoing:https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/#AF302-10WSA-TRACK62 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Are people really canceling Storm based off op GFS with Mesos ramping up ? paranoid dopa addicts 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Are people really canceling Storm based off op GFS with Mesos ramping up ? Draw the shades. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 With this system quickly spiraling into irrelevance, it’s time to focus on Wednesday and Friday 1 1 7 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 May have to lock 21z RAP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex95 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 26 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said: I don’t know if this qualifies but the Carolinas had a tornado outbreak when we had a huge nor’easter back in March 83 That was 3/27-29/1984. That storm across much of the South and East Coast was in a class by itself. 963 mb E of the Delmarva and G108mph at Blue Hill. Paste blizzard here w/ massive tree damage and power outages. Carolina tor outbreak its worst on record. One tor was 2.5 mi wide. A single supercell product 7 F4 tors, the record for most F4s from a single storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Well I told my central Ct peeps it looked like a big deal but told them up here I wasn't convinced of more than a respectable snow storm unless we got lucky with banding. I feel not nearly as excited seeing the Icon and GFS cut back like that ...those aren't little moves for folks on the edge. In fact a few more of those and its a foot of windblown snow on the cape and islands Gfs and icon big sudden cutbacks, really hope that's a blip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 RAP cut back tooSent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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