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“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco


TheSnowman
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4 minutes ago, Spanks45 said:

shuffle has begun, early? Or just some noise, guess ensembles will be a bit more telling....

The Jet streak/confluence strengthened a little this time vs the others on this model output; that's why.

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2 minutes ago, Shaun Curry said:

Does this mean that RI gets Jim Cantore on the thundersnow beat?

I could see him going to either Providence, Boston, central NJ, or somewhere along the Cape. I bet they announce the location later tonight.

18z HRRR gives Hartford higher percentages of lightning than Providence... 3-6% from 12am-3am on Monday.

NYC too at 3-7% from 11pm-2am Sunday-Monday.

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3 minutes ago, Greg said:

The Jet streak/confluence strengthened a little this time vs the others on this model output; that's why.

yeah, just saw that and even at the surface, the heavy banding barely made it past the CT shoreline, 12z had it well inland....

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26 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said:

I don’t know if this qualifies but the Carolinas had a tornado outbreak when we had a huge nor’easter back in March 83

That was 3/27-29/1984.  That storm across much of the South and East Coast was in a class by itself.  963 mb E of the Delmarva and G108mph at Blue Hill.  Paste blizzard here w/ massive tree damage and power outages.

Carolina tor outbreak its worst on record.  One tor was 2.5 mi wide.  A single supercell product 7 F4 tors, the record for most F4s from a single storm.
 

1984.jpg

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Well I told my central Ct peeps it looked like a big deal but told them up here I wasn't convinced of more than a respectable snow storm unless we got lucky with banding.

I feel not nearly as excited seeing the Icon and GFS cut back like that ...those aren't little moves for folks on the edge. In fact a few more of those and its a foot of windblown snow on the cape and islands

Gfs and icon big sudden cutbacks, really hope that's a blip

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