“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco

[Prismshine Productions]

oh     my     god

When Tip of all people says this you know it is a banger... Still a chance it ticks a little more NW too

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[HoarfrostHubb]

2.3" qpf for Sandwich

[DavisStraight]

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Kind of blew some of its load down south this go round but i would sign for this.

Look at the totals in the Atlantic City area.

[WxWatcher007]

Oh boy oh boy oh boy. If the Happy Hour GFS lives up to its name indecent exposure charges will be filed across New England. 

[HoarfrostHubb]

Just now, Greg said:

One thing though, that won't be all snow It will start off as rain/mix. Some of that is actually sleet not pure snow.

No doubt   But good to see the moisture being wrapped in

[CoastalWx]

18+ and 70mph here. Not bad. 

[weatherwiz]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Where?

Was just looking at 700mb RH but it's not necessarily dry air on a better look...RH is still like 85-90%. I thought it was lower. 

But I have no complaints with the NAM...love where we sit on it. I would maybe like to see it occlude a bit farther north though, especially since it seems to really crawl. That would end up nailing with with a CCB but may also assist in pushing it farther north instead of sitting and then pivoting through? idk...kind of minute to worry about now but just a thought 

[FXWX]

3 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

We went to school that day only to be sent home early as is barreled in.  Last day I would be in that school building that year since its roof collapsed.   Our VW bus was completely buried in our driveway.  Took us a week to dig out

I was teaching meteorology at Wolcott High in CT... We had a fully equipped weather office (fax; teletypes, etc) and the superintendent was waiting for me at the office at 7 am.  I did an overview, looked at the surface obs coming out of the NYC / NJ area; and checked out overnight run of the LFM.  Buses had just arrived and he told them to keep the students on the bus; cancelled school and turned the buses back to drop kids back home!  

[Prismshine Productions]

Woof.

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[dryslot]

Just now, DavisStraight said:

Look at the totals in the Atlantic City area.

Wow, Over 5" qpf

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, Typhoon Tip said:

Mm... that made more sense as of the 7am ...

I'm willing to call that a little of a conservative bias at this point, if that is still the way they perceive this situation. 

There's still time, anyway, so it's not a knock if they were to wait to pull headline triggers.  But that GFS statement isn't entirely true as of the scalar moment.  There's other guidance that bring goods and wind to an ~ PSM-HFD line, enough so, to justify a Watch spanning the region-->SE.   The super ensemble mean that maddog supplied few again isn't just the GFS.   It means a lot of players on in on this thing.  Plus ... duh 

Yea you’re right. A little conservative. Still would rather be on that side than what Upton has a tendency to do…go all in too early then have to find ways to backtrack. 

[Cyclone-68]

1 minute ago, NeonPeon said:

I don't know it looks ugly, need to close off the eastern eye wall and deal with the dry air entrainment.

You had me for a moment lol 

[ineedsnow]

2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

1.3" qpf even in my yard   lol   

Thanks Cory!!!

still think qpf is probably underdone with that look.. koochie is almost a 20 burg as is

[dendrite]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

Kind of blew some of its load down south this go round but i would sign for this.

Yeah it’s kinda stacked…wonder if this will be AEMATT, NE terrain enhancement, and then just some banding moving north across the interior as the mid level lows expand.

[Typhoon Tip]

28 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

It may not represent on this cycle ( as I'm sure this post will be ignored - ), but now that we are into the NAM's out solar system reach of this thing's vision, it may at any time come at us with it's typical NW bias.

In this particular leading scenario, any such NW bias will = historically powerful d-drip dosing.  

It is of paramount importance that you not let ... oh fuck. who the hell am I kidding

Bump

… no sooner 

[HoarfrostHubb]

Toss the Kuchies for now

[Greg]

1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

No doubt   But good to see the moisture being wrapped in

Take my word for it. The more mix down there the heavier snow here.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

2.3" qpf for Sandwich

The Cape has had a pretty blessed snow season this year.  

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

18+ and 70mph here. Not bad. 

That's 1978" minus 5-10" of snow...

[dryslot]

4 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Yeah it’s kinda stacked…wonder if this will be AEMATT, NE terrain enhancement, and then just some banding moving north across the interior as the mid level lows expand.

I think there in a great spot right now, Get the whole process a bit further north before it goes nuclear, But it really wants to slow down on the transition as well.

[butterfish55]

"Meh" - BOX

[CoastalWx]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

That's 1978" minus 5-10" of snow...

Let’s get 78 then

[SouthCoastMA]

ACK mixes on that run.wowzers

[ORH_wxman]

3 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Yeah it’s kinda stacked…wonder if this will be AEMATT, NE terrain enhancement, and then just some banding moving north across the interior as the mid level lows expand.

Prob some terrain enhancement when 850 is ENE at 80 knots and 925 is out of NE at 60+ knots

[Greg]

5 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

The Cape has had a pretty blessed snow season this year.  

The temps could hinder max snowfall potential down there. They will get snow/mix and heavy winds but temps in the mid 30's with a bomb making that kind of close pass usually will put the heavier accumulations northwest of the Cape and Islands verbatim.

[dryslot]

Hopefully, The Nam is on the right track.

 

[Typhoon Tip]

8 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

I told you earlier...I've been using my Jedi powers to move that house sucker low to LI...

My plan is almost complete -

[weatherwiz]

This looks a little fun 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

I hate those double max zones that always skip CT. 

[dendrite]

1 minute ago, weatherwiz said:

This looks a little fun 

I like my omega perky