Is we back? February discussion thread

[Lava Rock]

17 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

The 34 inch pack was from 2011. The biggest I’ve measured this year is 25 inches just after the last storm.

gotcha, misread that earlier, thanks. 

[Damage In Tolland]

22 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Ineedsnow!! AI is NW!!!!

We snow!

[EastonSN+]

[Go Kart Mozart]

27 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Ineedsnow!! AI is NW!!!!

Now that's the spirit!  I see you are coming around.

[Go Kart Mozart]

Nice tic, but the fallacy may be to assume AI tics its way to the right solution like the physics models do:

[Sey-Mour Snow]

EURO/AIFS bring accumulating snow Sunday night to south shore , that was a huge jump on both models

[wxsniss]

Great signals for last half of February on guidance across the board including ensembles and AI

This winter has a sneaky epic vibe 

I'll be out of town with the kids for school vacation week next week... perfect timing not to miss the potential ahead

[Ginx snewx]

Down to 14 on average between 16 and 12. Hopefully adding some more.

[ineedsnow]

EPS better 

[Damage In Tolland]

13 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

EURO/AIFS bring accumulating snow Sunday night to south shore , that was a huge jump on both models

Pike south we snow 

[DavisStraight]

21 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

CMC has it too

[WinterWolf]

17 minutes ago, wxsniss said:

Great signals for last half of February on guidance across the board including ensembles and AI

This winter has a sneaky epic vibe 

I'll be out of town with the kids for school vacation week next week... perfect timing not to miss the potential ahead

Yup same here. Be back Saturday the 21st. Might miss Friday the 20th, but after that looks good. 

[CoastalWx]

After any snow the euro op puts Tip in front of Fox Hall in a Speedo.

[mahk_webstah]

41 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Start at 3 LE and adjust higher over the next 7 days…

Snowkakke?  Ya gotta admit that would be a great thread title on this board 

[Ginx snewx]

20 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea, the extreme cold is done....March 2018 wasn't that cold.

2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea, the extreme cold is done....March 2018 wasn't that cold.

 

 

Disagree.  Extensive snow cover, displaced PV spins off PTV at any time.  

[Ginx snewx]

SKYNET GONE WILD

SNGW

[Ginx snewx]

Speedo? Yeah no

[Ginx snewx]

FYI mens half pipe is live and is sick. You can rewind on Peacock 

[40/70 Benchmark]

28 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Disagree.  Extensive snow cover, displaced PV spins off PTV at any time.  

Who cares?? None of that necessarily means extreme cold 

[ORH_wxman]

13 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Speedo? Yeah no

Gotta go out further....it's in clown range but the OP tried to get us to 70F around 2/26 or so. 

[CoastalWx]

4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Gotta go out further....it's in clown range but the OP tried to get us to 70F around 2/26 or so. 

Got to keep ACATT straight. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Gotta go out further....it's in clown range but the OP tried to get us to 70F around 2/26 or so. 

Thankfully it’s on its way to the glue factory so we disregard until it gets put back together. 

[CoastalWx]

7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Who cares?? None of that necessarily means extreme cold 

He’s starting to get a little wild 

[kdxken]

Pretty sweet day today. 37° and bright blue skies. Wish I was on the slopes.

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Thankfully it’s on its way to the glue factory so we disregard until it gets put back together. 

Any OP solution that far out is for the glue factory. Ensembles do show some weak signal for a warm spell around that time, but ensembles this winter have been almost perpetually showing warm spells in clown range that haven't really verified....so we wait. 

[CoastalWx]

This week coming up definitely looks cooler here vs how it looked a week ago, but literally 200 miles SW of us may be tanning. It’s real close. 

[Typhoon Tip]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

This week coming up definitely looks cooler here vs how it looked a week ago, but literally 200 miles SW of us may be tanning. It’s real close. 

yeah ...there's a tendency for the models to act like there's a -NAO block when the actuals don't really show a block. It's really interesting.   But pinning the p-boundary roughly DTX to BOS is part of that behavior

[Damage In Tolland]

7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

This week coming up definitely looks cooler here vs how it looked a week ago, but literally 200 miles SW of us may be tanning. It’s real close. 

We knew 

[tamarack]

2 hours ago, dendrite said:

Ha yeah. It’s been all downhill from there. It’s going to take a lot to get back up to the 43” depth I had…there was a ton of water in that pack to support it. Around 20” right now and there’s still room to compact.

We had 43" depth on Feb 29, 2008 with 10-14" forecast ("Manitoba Mauler") for March 1; I figured 50+ was in the bag.  Got only 6" which pushed the pack to 48", tops for that season, and there was still 35" on 3/31.  Somewhere (not in the spreadsheet) I have a core measurement from March 2008, probably 13-14" as we totaled 142.3" and most of the snow had meat.  DJFM precip totaled 22" and we had no extended thaws, just the one-day torch on Jan 8.

Took a core earlier this afternoon, 20" pack held 3.86".  We probably had about 2" SWE in year end's 8" pack and we've had 2.59" since then (includes 0.54" from 2 modest Jan RA).   Factor in some sublimation and almost 4" seems appropriate.

[mahk_webstah]

12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

This week coming up definitely looks cooler here vs how it looked a week ago, but literally 200 miles SW of us may be tanning. It’s real close. 

Welcome to ene