February 2026 OBS & Discussion

[SnowGoose69]

Bit of a model battle on the Thursday event.  I sort of lean towards a flatter idea now but the setup looks sort of disjointed on many ensembles.  Not sure anything over 2-4 is realistic.

[Winterweatherlover]

6 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

Bit of a model battle on the Thursday event.  I sort of lean towards a flatter idea now but the setup looks sort of disjointed on many ensembles.  Not sure anything over 2-4 is realistic.

To be honest after today and the aftermath id rather a small 1-3/2-4 inch type storm to whiten the snow than another big storm. 

[Winterweatherlover]

6 hours ago, MJO812 said:

Gfs !

Not sure where they’ll put the snow on the NJ coast if this verifies! 

[kat5hurricane]

6 hours ago, MJO812 said:

Gfs !

[SnowGoose69]

12Z AIEURO was way north...Op Euro a mixed bag mess.

[MJO812]

Just now, SnowGoose69 said:

12Z AIEURO was way north...Op Euro a mixed bag mess.

Yep models all over

[SleetStormNJ]

Getting spoiled or no mas for a snowpack refresher in late February/early March.  Oh the winter.

[stevieg]

HRRR showing single digits Wednesday morning - will be interesting to see if that verifies once temperatures fall below freezing again this evening

[Brian5671]

11 minutes ago, stevieg said:

HRRR showing single digits Wednesday morning - will be interesting to see if that verifies once temperatures fall below freezing again this evening

single digits?  I guess with the fresh snowpack and radiational cooling

[EastonSN+]

Are we getting a reversal 

[MJO812]

[Dark Star]

1 hour ago, Brian5671 said:

single digits?  I guess with the fresh snowpack and radiational cooling

Sometimes after a good coastal storm, we get an unexpected pull of colder air, not seen by the models that picked up the coastal storm.  Go figure...