MarcmmKU Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 52 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said: The 2020's might be what is skewing the means. There's more than just cc at work in those awful 2020's March's. There is also coincidence. Let's revisit this discussion in 5 years. Unfavorable enso you think? Nina has been so dominant in the 2020s its insane. We need a good string of niños for the latter half of the 20s to avoid the decade being another disaster like the 80s or worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 Temperature got briefly up to 33 here. With the clouds that have moved in, its back down to 30.7° This morning's low was 15° We've really not been radiating well so far this winter compared to usual. I'm not sure why. I suspect that the windier than normal conditions on average is part of it, but not necessarily the only factor. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 34 / 16 with some pokes of sun 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 Perhaps the fluffiest flurries I’ve ever seen currently coming down in lower Manhattan. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 000NOUS61 KOKX 031615FTMOKXMessage Date: Feb 03 2026 16:15:43KOKX radar will be down for maintenance today until ~2330z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 Norlun on Saturday ? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SHELEG Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 27 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Norlun on Saturday ? Care to explain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 5 minutes ago, SHELEG said: Care to explain? Inverted trough. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 Models continue to show some snow with the arctic front Friday night. Looks like a dusting to an inch, but we have a few days to go so maybe it will beef up a little bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 March during the 2020s through 2025 has been the least snowy decade. Monthly Total Snowfall for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NYClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Mean 0.5 0.5 2025 0.0 0.0 2024 0.0 0.0 2023 1.6 1.6 2022 1.6 1.6 2021 T T 2020 T T Monthly Total Snowfall for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NYClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Mean 8.2 8.2 2019 4.1 4.1 2018 31.9 31.9 2017 7.4 7.4 2016 3.2 3.2 2015 19.7 19.7 2014 5.4 5.4 2013 7.4 7.4 2012 T T 2011 2.1 2.1 2010 0.4 0.4 Monthly Total Snowfall for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NYClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Mean 5.4 5.4 2009 13.6 13.6 2008 T T 2007 3.8 3.8 2006 3.2 3.2 2005 13.3 13.3 2004 5.7 5.7 2003 3.7 3.7 2002 T T 2001 10.3 10.3 2000 0.2 0.2 Monthly Total Snowfall for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NYClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Mean 5.8 5.8 1999 9.1 9.1 1998 1.6 1.6 1997 3.7 3.7 1996 12.0 12.0 1995 T T 1994 5.0 5.0 1993 13.3 13.3 1992 7.6 7.6 1991 1.9 1.9 1990 4.2 4.2 Monthly Total Snowfall for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NYClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Mean 3.0 3.0 1989 3.0 3.0 1988 3.4 3.4 1987 1.7 1.7 1986 0.1 0.1 1985 T T 1984 13.0 13.0 1983 T T 1982 T T 1981 7.1 7.1 1980 2.0 2.0 Monthly Total Snowfall for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NYClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Mean 3.1 3.1 1979 T T 1978 10.4 10.4 1977 4.0 4.0 1976 3.9 3.9 1975 1.2 1.2 1974 8.0 8.0 1973 T T 1972 1.0 1.0 1971 1.0 1.0 1970 1.0 1.0 Monthly Total Snowfall for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NYClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Mean 6.9 6.9 1969 11.0 11.0 1968 3.0 3.0 1967 21.7 21.7 1966 0.0 0.0 1965 4.5 4.5 1964 1.0 1.0 1963 M M 1962 M M 1961 M M 1960 M M Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 if we're talking about march already....anyway, we are STILL digging out from the last one over here in nj. take the win guys and forget about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 47 minutes ago, SHELEG said: Care to explain? it's like a lottery..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 11 minutes ago, bluewave said: March during the 2020s through 2025 has been the least snowy decade. Monthly Total Snowfall for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NYClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Mean 0.5 0.5 2025 0.0 0.0 2024 0.0 0.0 2023 1.6 1.6 2022 1.6 1.6 2021 T T 2020 T T Monthly Total Snowfall for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NYClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Mean 8.2 8.2 2019 4.1 4.1 2018 31.9 31.9 2017 7.4 7.4 2016 3.2 3.2 2015 19.7 19.7 2014 5.4 5.4 2013 7.4 7.4 2012 T T 2011 2.1 2.1 2010 0.4 0.4 Monthly Total Snowfall for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NYClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Mean 5.4 5.4 2009 13.6 13.6 2008 T T 2007 3.8 3.8 2006 3.2 3.2 2005 13.3 13.3 2004 5.7 5.7 2003 3.7 3.7 2002 T T 2001 10.3 10.3 2000 0.2 0.2 Monthly Total Snowfall for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NYClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Mean 5.8 5.8 1999 9.1 9.1 1998 1.6 1.6 1997 3.7 3.7 1996 12.0 12.0 1995 T T 1994 5.0 5.0 1993 13.3 13.3 1992 7.6 7.6 1991 1.9 1.9 1990 4.2 4.2 Monthly Total Snowfall for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NYClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Mean 3.0 3.0 1989 3.0 3.0 1988 3.4 3.4 1987 1.7 1.7 1986 0.1 0.1 1985 T T 1984 13.0 13.0 1983 T T 1982 T T 1981 7.1 7.1 1980 2.0 2.0 Monthly Total Snowfall for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NYClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Mean 3.1 3.1 1979 T T 1978 10.4 10.4 1977 4.0 4.0 1976 3.9 3.9 1975 1.2 1.2 1974 8.0 8.0 1973 T T 1972 1.0 1.0 1971 1.0 1.0 1970 1.0 1.0 Monthly Total Snowfall for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NYClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Mean 6.9 6.9 1969 11.0 11.0 1968 3.0 3.0 1967 21.7 21.7 1966 0.0 0.0 1965 4.5 4.5 1964 1.0 1.0 1963 M M 1962 M M 1961 M M 1960 M M Odds favor at least a few above average March snowfalls the rest of the way through the decade - maybe 1 or more much above normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 5 hours ago, eduggs said: I think people forget how warm March has gotten around here. It almost never snows outside the mountains in March these days. And on the uncommon occasions it does, it melts in a day or two. I think we need winter to deliver in February, preferably the first half. Technically it can snow right into April, but climate norms and sun angle get hostile to the winter vibe really fast after mid-Feb. near the coast at 40 degrees north. it was far warmer in the 80's and i would be fishing for flounder in the navesink by the last week of feb and by mid march would have half a dozen trips in already. that ended by the mid 90's along with the near extinction of the winter flounder stocks, which crashed in the aughts and never recovered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 Snowfall-to-date maps updated (#3 for the season). Thanks to everyone who sent reports, i tried to use most of them if i could. Reports are from here, cocorahs, COOP and official climo sites. You can always find these up on the site as well as CT and Southern New England maps. https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/seasonal-snowfall/25-26-seasonal-snowfall Progression: 3 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhiEaglesfan712 Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 4 hours ago, MarcmmKU said: Unfavorable enso you think? Nina has been so dominant in the 2020s its insane. We need a good string of niños for the latter half of the 20s to avoid the decade being another disaster like the 80s or worse. The decade from 1982-92 was el nino/+PDO heavy. We had 3 strong/super el ninos back-to-back (82-83, 86-88, and 91-92), and a +PDO la nina (83-85). The only real break from el nino/+PDO was the strong la nina in 88-89. Not anything like 2016-present, which has been la nina/-PDO heavy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 Tomorrow will be another relatively mild day. Highs will likely top out in the lower to perhaps middle 30s. A few flurries are possible as a weak system drags a cold front across the region. Colder air will then return on Thursday. An even stronger surge of Arctic air could arrive for the weekend, possibly accompanied by some snow flurries or snow showers. Highs both Saturday and Sunday could be in the teens in New York City. The last time there were two or more consecutive such highs was during January 5-7, 2018. The persistent and often severely cold pattern could break near February 10th. Overall, January 20th-February 3rd will likely be the coldest and perhaps snowiest two-week period this winter. The forecast WPO-/EPO-/AO-/PNA+ pattern is typically the coldest pattern in January and among the coldest during the first half of February. A persistently positive PNA will have above climatological risk of moderate or significant snowfalls. For perspective, the coldest two-week period this winter prior to January 20th was January 3-16, 2026 and January 4-17, 2026 with a mean temperature of 30.3°. The snowiest two-week period was December 14-27, 2025 when 7.2" of snow fell. Already, snowfall since January 20th has surpassed that figure. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.4°C for the week centered around January 28. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.38°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.57°C. La Niña conditions will likely continue into at least late winter. The SOI was +24.06 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -3.750 today. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 20 hours ago, The 4 Seasons said: If anyone has season-to-date snowfall totals let me know as i'm thinking about doing another update this week for seasonal snowfall maps. -Thanks 29.5" to date here in Metuchen. We've been very lucky this season relative to CPK on several storms. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 3 Author Share Posted February 3 Maintaining a 6"+ snowpack for 10 days is quite impressive. I'm wondering what the record might be from 1 snowstorm under a foot to last this long. Impressively whatever lasts through tomorrow will survive another 4 to 6 days at least before anymore melting 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 18 minutes ago, RU848789 said: 29.5" to date here in Metuchen. We've been very lucky this season relative to CPK on several storms. A little too late but thank you 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 43 minutes ago, RU848789 said: 29.5" to date here in Metuchen. We've been very lucky this season relative to CPK on several storms. what is the average for new brunswick..around 28? so going by that we are a hair over average.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 31 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Maintaining a 6"+ snowpack for 10 days is quite impressive. I'm wondering what the record might be from 1 snowstorm under a foot to last this long. Impressively whatever lasts through tomorrow will survive another 4 to 6 days at least before anymore melting Maintaining a snowpack in early-mid February is generally easy as long as temps aren’t way above freezing. Once we get to 2/21 and beyond, you start to get daytime/sun melt even when temps are below freezing 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 Hudson River ice 2/3/26 7 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 26 here currently here, after reaching a high of 30 today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 35 8 split today snow/ice pack glacier - we'll see if we can whiten it up a bit staruday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 4 Author Share Posted February 4 AIfs looks pretty active moving forward 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 That 2/11 - 2/13 period has some consistent storm signal and now semblance of mix / ice on the majority of the latest D 9 - D10 forecasts today's 00z-12z-. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 34 today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prue11 Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 Down to 16.5. Once again Already lower than forecasted. Last night was sneaky cold for many Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 Today was about the best skiing at Belleayre I have ever had. Their snow depth is literally insane with also snowmaking whales 10+ feet high on many trails. The snow was also amazing. Even did some tree skiing in the glades. Go out and enjoy it! 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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