Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres

[Terpeast]

1 minute ago, bncho said:

Show us

We’re close in location, euro gives us 8-10” before we flip

[Weather Will]

2 minutes ago, DDweatherman said:

That’s 18z again, but regardless they’re very close. 

I fixed it.  Thanks.

[H2O]

If the euro delivers as shown I have zero complaints. That is a very respectable storm given the area and winters of late 

[mattie g]

Just now, WxUSAF said:

One post about the euro 24-30 hours out. Lol. We’re all so freaking exhausted by this storm. Meet you in the LR thread??

Some of us have been in there honking already!

[Weather Will]

1 minute ago, WxUSAF said:

One post about the euro 24-30 hours out. Lol. We’re all so freaking exhausted by this storm. Meet you in the LR thread??

Yes, JB showing maps in his latest video for next weekend's blizzard.

[WxUSAF]

1 minute ago, Weather Will said:

Yes, JB showing maps in his latest video for next weekend's blizzard.

Wow, even JB is done this this storm. We’re in good (awful) company. 
 

So I don’t hide my own post for banter, temp still 37. Major drop hasn’t started yet.

[stormtracker]

3 minutes ago, H2O said:

If the euro delivers as shown I have zero complaints. That is a very respectable storm given the area and winters of late 

Yup..8-10. I'm in

[JenkinsJinkies]

10” is in play north of Baltimore City. The city itself gets close. Also I’m changing my camp to DC being in play for the ceiling too.

Also I think the new floor for the metros is 8”. I’m keeping the ceiling at 10 though.

[stormtracker]

5 minutes ago, H2O said:

If the euro delivers as shown I have zero complaints. That is a very respectable storm given the area and winters of late 

I just wanna bust these low ass amounts people had us getting.  like 4-8 or something like that

[H2O]

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

Yup..8-10. I'm in

If I get 8” snow/sleet we meeting up for quiche and white wine in DC

 

6:30 obs- 40.5/11.5 and windy. The cold has arrived. 

[paxpatriot]

Anybody with a Euro clown map?

[WVclimo]

4 minutes ago, paxpatriot said:

Anybody with a Euro clown map?

[Paleocene]

12 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

I just wanna bust these low ass amounts people had us getting.  like 4-8 or something like that

I was at giant today and the dude in front of me was telling the cashier we were going to get 2".  Me, pulling up AMWX on my phone:

 

[balltermen]

19 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

It might flip DC an hour later. Every little bit counts 

since euro refuses to sleet I’ll show the ice 

every hour delayed gets DC another inch. This run could be 16z flip. But even with a 15z flip, DC gets a solid 7-8" snow and then 3" of sleet.  yikes. 

[Rvarookie]

Any reports on ground yet from other states 

[Interstate]

It will be interesting to see who folds. GFS vs Euro

[87storms]

25 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

It might flip DC an hour later. Every little bit counts 

since euro refuses to sleet I’ll show the ice 

I like when the world’s best model shows up to 10” of snow imby

[snowmagnet]

  I  heard that the temps out west have been colder than projected. Maybe it will be the same for us. 

[H2O]

There is something to be said about how once cold air gets anchored it can overperform.  

[Ralph Wiggum]

6 minutes ago, Interstate said:

It will be interesting to see who folds. GFS vs Euro

Is this even a question? If Vegas had odds most of us would be rich.

[aldie 22]

Down to 30 the wind is obnoxious

[TSSN+]

The cold air is on the move. Was 32 here at 530pm now 25 at 7pm. 

[WVclimo]

25/2 with NW wind gusting to 30.  Wind chill is +10.  Will probably lose another 20 degrees by morning.  

[Eskimo Joe]

Bittinger mesonet site about to get down to the single digits. This cold air push means business.

[wxmeddler]

My call before the flip-over:
Southern MD & Eastern Shore: 6-10"
I-95 Corridor: 8-12"
Parr's Ridge and NW: 10-14"
Allegany & Garrett: 12-16" (Unlikely to Flip)

[nj2va]

1 minute ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Bittinger mesonet site about to get down to the single digits. This cold air push means business.

For sure, here’s our Deep Creek temp.  Down to 8 degrees.

[SnowenOutThere]

35 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

I just wanna bust these low ass amounts people had us getting.  like 4-8 or something like that

Hey thats my goal down here! Its still one of the best snowstorms I've seen 

[Eskimo Joe]

1 minute ago, wxmeddler said:

My call before the flip-over:
Southern MD & Eastern Shore: 6-10"
I-95 Corridor: 8-12"
Parr's Ridge and NW: 10-14"
Allegany & Garrett: 12-16" (Unlikely to Flip)

I cannot wait to see the snow depth map from this event on the mesonet website.

[nj2va]

44 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

18z normal EURO a hold.

That was a fantastic run for us.  We hold until 18z with about 0.9” QPF by then.  

Here’s 18z at DCA.

To me, this does look like freezing rain at 00z Monday but someone much smarter could correct me.

[wxmeddler]

2 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

I cannot wait to see the snow depth map from this event on the mesonet website.

Cautiously optimistic. If it gets too "drifty" you can get some weird maps. Can't make an accurate snow total with a 2ft x 2ft wide area.