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Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres


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1 minute ago, Weather Will said:

Yes, JB showing maps in his latest video for next weekend's blizzard.

Wow, even JB is done this this storm. We’re in good (awful) company. 
 

So I don’t hide my own post for banter, temp still 37. Major drop hasn’t started yet.

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19 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

It might flip DC an hour later. Every little bit counts 

image.thumb.png.85edfc03e4a08806e79a44ef09b54155.png

since euro refuses to sleet I’ll show the ice 

image.thumb.png.e5010028c2e98adcb68f629f74dc355e.png

every hour delayed gets DC another inch. This run could be 16z flip. But even with a 15z flip, DC gets a solid 7-8" snow and then 3" of sleet.  yikes. 

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25 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

It might flip DC an hour later. Every little bit counts 

image.thumb.png.85edfc03e4a08806e79a44ef09b54155.png

since euro refuses to sleet I’ll show the ice 

image.thumb.png.e5010028c2e98adcb68f629f74dc355e.png

I like when the world’s best model shows up to 10” of snow imby

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1 minute ago, wxmeddler said:

My call before the flip-over:
Southern MD & Eastern Shore: 6-10"
I-95 Corridor: 8-12"
Parr's Ridge and NW: 10-14"
Allegany & Garrett: 12-16" (Unlikely to Flip)

I cannot wait to see the snow depth map from this event on the mesonet website.

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44 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

18z normal EURO a hold.

That was a fantastic run for us.  We hold until 18z with about 0.9” QPF by then.  

Here’s 18z at DCA.

image.thumb.png.b0e6d8ae44a57708d51d8faa3e46052b.png

To me, this does look like freezing rain at 00z Monday but someone much smarter could correct me.

image.thumb.png.384e0b2d74604ba2a62f6a84fe38777c.png

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2 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

I cannot wait to see the snow depth map from this event on the mesonet website.

Cautiously optimistic. If it gets too "drifty" you can get some weird maps. Can't make an accurate snow total with a 2ft x 2ft wide area.

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