January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage JV/Banter Thread!

[MDsnowPRO]

3 minutes ago, TowsonWeather said:

Oh, I know, it's just especially noticeable to me for whatever reason.

It’s been a long week, I don’t blame you at all, most annoying to me is the banter in the non-banter thread and the competing pbp. That never used to be an issue  

[Nomz]

24 minutes ago, TowsonWeather said:

The GFS comes in very similar to it's 18Z run: "The cave is starting!"

The EURO comes in much flatter and colder and looks a lot more like the GFS WRT snow totals: "EURO pretty much a hold."

 

The clutching of narratives is weird, man. 

Hey, we could all see a rug pull tomorrow, a joyous trend to colder and snowier, or anything in between, but the model analysis tonight has been poor.

For sure the 00z suite was a small win, but people are really searching for a huge shift south to recover all our losses. It’s like gambling to cover loses.

[Silver Meteor]

1 hour ago, LordBaltimore said:

fortran has to be the single most underrated language of all time. It's the perfect mix of low-level enough to do resource management and easy enough to not require someone who is purely a software engineer. And I say this as someone who grew up with python, matlab and c++ lol

Well said. When I worked at Naval Research and Development (DTNSRDC) in Carderock, Md. we had heavy duty computer power (4 Control Data Corp. mainframes plus one from Burroughs Corp.) The "software people" were the systems analysts who maintained the computers while the actual users (the "programmers,") were scientists and engineers who used FORTRAN's powerful mathematics simply as a tool of their trade.  

[MDsnowPRO]

6 minutes ago, Nomz said:

For sure the 00z suite was a small win, but people are really searching for a huge shift south to recover all our losses. It’s like gambling to cover loses.

At least the closer to game time you get, the smaller the jumps will be. 36 hours out the you’re usually locked in on a likely solution give or take 

[snowfan]

Thankfully, cantore went to nyc. Phew

[dailylurker]

I want to apologize for a few unhinged post lol. The transition from clean storm to dirty storm was frustrating. Now that were settling into it I'm getting excited for heavy snow and dumping sleet. I had to do a little self reflection this morning to clean up my perspective on this. LFG!

[snowfan]

5 minutes ago, dailylurker said:

I want to apologize for a few unhinged post lol. The transition from clean storm to dirty storm was frustrating. Now that were settling into it I'm getting excited for heavy snow and dumping sleet. I had to do a little self reflection this morning to clean up my perspective on this. LFG!

Go for a hike out at bacon and enjoy getting pelted by sleet in the eye balls

[WxUSAF]

Apple weather still saying 20” Sunday. Where the hell is this coming from? Does the entire field a huge disservice cause it’s been saying 20”+ all freaking week and it’s not happening.

[dailylurker]

Just now, snowfan said:

Go for a hike out at bacon and enjoy getting pelted by sleet in the eye balls

I'm actually planning a Saturday night 7 mile thru hike. I'm thinking about starting at midnight and finishing at daybreak. Want to come? It will be really fun. 

[anotherman]

Apple weather still saying 20” Sunday. Where the hell is this coming from? Does the entire field a huge disservice cause it’s been saying 20”+ all freaking week and it’s not happening.

It’s the reason people were freaking out about this three or four days ago. Well, that and social media computer models being shared.

[H2O]

If it sleet bombs like the models show then I say fucking bring it. Gimme a ton of it. I’ll take sleet over ZR and plain rain all day, every day

[H2O]

Oh and lol to come back this morning to people fucking fighting over snow maps

[yoda]

19 minutes ago, H2O said:

Oh and lol to come back this morning to people fucking fighting over snow maps

I'm going to get 0.01" more snow than you.  But @mappy will get more than both of us

[NorthArlington101]

Apple weather still saying 20” Sunday. Where the hell is this coming from? Does the entire field a huge disservice cause it’s been saying 20”+ all freaking week and it’s not happening.

Feel like it’s EURO without the ability to discern sleet/snow/FRZA

[LP08]

Doug Kammerer just posted the raw ZR from the euro and is talking about power outages…ugh

[stormtracker]

1 hour ago, dailylurker said:

I want to apologize for a few unhinged post lol. The transition from clean storm to dirty storm was frustrating. Now that were settling into it I'm getting excited for heavy snow and dumping sleet. I had to do a little self reflection this morning to clean up my perspective on this. LFG!

You did uncharacteristically unravel for a minute tho.  But glad to see you reeled it in.  It’s gonna be ok.   We all need to be at the acceptance stage.  We can find a way to turn an epic sleet bomb fun.   What other choice do we have?  

[Interstate]

I love how WBAL has this on their website but never actually tell us how it works.

 

[RevWarReenactor]

Here is Newark Delaware we made it to 10 years without a 6+ inch snowstorm.

But it appears the record will only hold for a few days.

 

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

People here in dc are so confused, my co worker INSISTS Richmond is getting two feet.  People here think we’re getting 12-18 inches in dc. 

[LeesburgWx]

11 minutes ago, LP08 said:

Doug Kammerer just posted the raw ZR from the euro and is talking about power outages…ugh

Haven’t we been talking that the euro doesn’t resolve freezing rain to sleet correctly or as well though?

[TSSN+]

1 hour ago, WxUSAF said:

Apple weather still saying 20” Sunday. Where the hell is this coming from? Does the entire field a huge disservice cause it’s been saying 20”+ all freaking week and it’s not happening.

Ji model 

[LeesburgWx]

Probably missed it, but what does the Apple app run off of? Because the GFS isn’t even that insane anymore

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

1 minute ago, LeesburgWx said:

Haven’t we been talking that the euro doesn’t resolve freezing rain to sleet correctly or as well though?

Yeah I think it’s just the ptype algorithm from the vendor, no meteorologists are forecasting much IP for dc. 

[RickinBaltimore]

1 minute ago, LeesburgWx said:

Probably missed it, but what does the Apple app run off of? Because the GFS isn’t even that insane anymore

It's the new Hopium build

[TSSN+]

What’s funny is I hear people always say weather people are never right. Yet they think 1-2ft is coming lol. The problem is any Joe Shmoe has access to the models now and they post the most ridiculous ones snow map on their “weather” page and say a big storm is coming. It also doesn’t help when pro Mets that should know better also post this nonsense to their pages. 

[LeesburgWx]

Just now, TSSN+ said:

What’s funny is I hear people always say weather people are never right. Yet they think 1-2ft is coming lol. The problem is any Joe Shmoe has access to the models now and they post the most ridiculous ones snow map on their “weather” page and say a big storm is coming. It also doesn’t help when pro Mets that should know better also post this nonsense to their pages. 

Ji?

[anotherman]

5 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said:

Probably missed it, but what does the Apple app run off of? Because the GFS isn’t even that insane anymore

JB Supercomputer

[wxdude64]

49 minutes ago, H2O said:

If it sleet bombs like the models show then I say fucking bring it. Gimme a ton of it. I’ll take sleet over ZR and plain rain all day, every day

Wish I could add a few zeros to my 100% to this! 

[dailylurker]

21 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

You did uncharacteristically unravel for a minute tho.  But glad to see you reeled it in.  It’s gonna be ok.   We all need to be at the acceptance stage.  We can find a way to turn an epic sleet bomb fun.   What other choice do we have?  

Yup. Now that I got that out of the ole system I'm ready to do this. This looks like an pretty unusual and interesting storm. At the end of the day that's what I'm about. I'm excited to get pelted in the face with ice while hiking on Sunday. I'm actually planning a midnight to dawn hike Saturday night. I've got an extra head lamp and joint for you lol. LFG!

[jnis]

For those of us who still use a snow shovel, what strategy will you employ. I was originally hoping to clear the snow snow once or twice during the event, but now with the potential for heavy sleet cemented together with a little zr I’m leaning toward waiting until it’s over. Any thoughts?