Weather Will Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 GFS is another crush job. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 1 minute ago, Maestrobjwa said: RGEM--small version of the CMC basically I thought it was the newer version of the RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: DC flips by 78 but we'd still be happy. 8" non-Kuchera. probably back to snow on on by 87 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Kuchera is like 10-15 S to N from EZF up 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: sleet line doesn't really move from here the rest of the run Seems like a hold then. Sleet line is just southeast of my location which is exactly like it was at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Just now, Interstate said: I thought it was the newer version of the RGEM Let me shut up, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Just now, stormtracker said: probably back to snow after like 84 Yeah it actually gets the coastal going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nomz Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 GFS sticks to its guns basically. Still not believing it. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Just now, stormtracker said: probably back to snow on on by 87 Correct 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 It has the best overall outcome for the majority of the region. Ukmet kinda supports it. Not the best combo lolGotta know the GFS very likely isn’t the ultimate outcome, but perhaps something in between the GFS and euro is still possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Paging Dr @NorthArlington101 Need clown maps stat! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Gonna give ya'll the pretty maps then go meet @nw baltimore wx and @nj2va at a happy hour... still not too late to join us at Succotash in 20m! 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 47 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Nina MECS for us are really rare for a reason. Northern stream just so rarely plays nice. This is still going to be a good or great storm though! Still probably top tier for a Nina. Yes, aside from 1996 this is as good as it gets for a Nina. And there will quite possibly be more storms to come, not to mention a deep freeze that may last for weeks. The extended range keeps the block remarkably stable and doesn’t seem to have any meaningful warmup in sight, so any snow or sleet that falls will probably last a long time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 GFS looks to close out the show at 7am Monday or so 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Just now, Scraff said: Paging Dr @NorthArlington101 Need clown maps stat! 1 2 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Back to good snows 9z Monday. What is going on with the GFS? Coastal love? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 2 minutes ago, CAPE said: It has the best overall outcome for the majority of the region. Ukmet kinda supports it. Not the best combo lol Might weenie myself for this, but seems like other 18z runs are at least taking a partial step toward the GFS with separating the 2 parts more? But yeah, hard to trust GFS thermal and the strong second part isn’t showing up in other guidance really. 11 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Still going strong at 6z....man for the love of Marcus and dryness...please for once be right in the history 1 6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Just now, SnowenOutThere said: 3 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: Correct Yeah when I saw that early redevelopment from TN to the Carolina coast, I knew it was a good sign. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Probably even better than 12z with the coastal action. Jeez. It is probably the most confidently wrong it has ever been, but I guess the ICON and the American mesos did give it a very slight nod but they just handle the primary and transfer so much differently, along with everyone else. Can’t believe it unfortunately but I want it real bad. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
schinz Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 So this is the question I ask myself. In the last 12 hours have all the other models started, in even the slightest way, to move towards the GFS, or has the GFS moved towards all the other models? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 What a run. Wrecked NW if the city. I agree with Ji. If it’s wrong at 48 hours, then why would we still be running it? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Just now, Ji said: for the love of Marcus and dryness...please for once be right in the history Wait, who? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Goofus doing Goofus things. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Looks like my job got stolen. I'll let @SnowenOutThere post the final totals at hr96. It did cut back a bit near Richmond/SE Virginia, so it's hopefully the start toward a compromise-ish solution? But technically it's better than 12z, so I guess the camps widened in some respects. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Just now, Ji said: for the love of Marcus and dryness...please for once be right in the history Don't get vested man. It's hard. I know I want to, but bring yourself back to reality. It's the GFS. The GFS vs the Euro and pretty much everything else. It's not going to happen. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Just now, SnowenOutThere said: I knew it! Happy hour always delivers—no matter how right or wrong it is! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 WB 18Z GFS 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: Looks like my job got stolen. I'll let @SnowenOutThere post the final totals at hr96. It did cut back a bit near Richmond/SE Virginia, so it's hopefully the start toward a compromise-ish solution? But technically it's better than 12z, so I guess the camps widened in some respects. meh too slow - no map before hr96 is real!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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