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schinz

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Everything posted by schinz

  1. schinz
    This is all that would be needed to create one giant flash freeze mess.
  2. schinz
    Agreed, first it was the GFS was on it's own. Then the high resolutions were thrown out because of range. NOW, the formally warm Euro is fully on board for the Norther tier, as is the Canadian. This could be very bad up here overnight Thursday.
  3. schinz
    Nam shows significantly colder surface temps than other guidance, including the GFS. e for surface temps at 12 z Thursday significantly colder than the other guidance, including the GFS.
  4. schinz
    Thanks a lot!!
  5. schinz
    Is there a way to overlay that topography map over a road map to actually see roads and addresses that would correspond to the highest heights?
  6. schinz
    Thanks Mappy
  7. schinz
    I am on the SE side of Westminster bear Deer Park and Rt. 32...I am about 850 feet....what is your elevation and can you show some type of a map representation of where that height of the ridge is? Thanks
  8. schinz
    Nice Post...Thank You!!
  9. schinz
    I think a lot of people would be happy with the CMC....gets the low organizing on the Mid South Carolina Coast at 6 Z Monday
  10. schinz
    Is there a separate topic for anyone outside of Erie county, or is the event confined to Erie County only?
  11. schinz
    824 here on Parr's Ridge in Westminster!!
  12. schinz
    It appears to me this NAM run would be a pretty warm solution for many of us. Low looks to track North through Eastern Virginia
  13. schinz
  14. schinz
    Right where I want it this far out!!
  15. schinz
    I am sitting up at 1800 Feet on the Chautauqua Ridge at Peek N Peak wondering what my potential is here for the band as it sinks South later today? Amy ideas?
  16. schinz
    Looking at this radar loop, does that band continue into NW PA and SW NY? Is there no radar in that area?
  17. schinz
    Yes, thanks so much!!
  18. schinz
    Ok, I apologize, but I am going to ask a stupid question. When considering wind direction for Lake Effect purposes, are we looking at surface wind direction, 700, 850 or 925? Thanks.
  19. schinz
    On a side note, thanks so much for your analysis all the time. I very rarely post, but appreciate you and other posters very much. I am going to be at Peek N Peak in Chautaqua County from this evening till Wednesday about noon and am hoping I get stuck there for a day or two more!!! I am looking forward to tracking this the next few days!
  20. schinz
    Yes, at this range so much can happen with regards to so many factors that will ultimately determine who gets how much that it seems very safe to follow the generic wording KBUF is in their long range. "The magnitude and depth of the cold air, available moisture, and position of upper level features all look to be FAVORABLE FOR A SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOW EVENT east of Lakes Erie and Ontario. Obviously at this time range specifics are not possible in terms of location and amounts. Stay tuned."
  21. schinz
    The NAM did well up this way with last week's event. There is no recent to discount it here this week.
  22. schinz
    NAM says Sunday's event clearly trending colder
  23. schinz
    UKIE snow map does not look that much different than the Icon, GFS and Euro.
  24. schinz
    I thought we had a "banter" thread, but I guess if we aren't in "Storm Mode" anything goes anywhere.
  25. schinz
    Or maybe they have foretasted the weather for Northern Maryland long enough to know that the models are almost always too quick in scouring out low level cold air. I rememeber many instances in Westminster that the temperature never went above freezing even when all the models had it doing so hours earlier.
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