Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Nam might be a little less amped this run. Nam'd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Just now, Spanks45 said: Nam looks better down here....definitely pancaking the precip more, squeezing out a bunch too. Mixing doesnt make it to the CT coast this time Shocked with that colder shift, 16-20"+ run .. best case scenario here and for most in New England 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 minute ago, dendrite said: It’s being a little generous with the dgz there. -10C is out of the max dendritic zone. yeah not sure if its a cod thing but its a little funky in that regard. but thats the type of lift we want to see! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 14 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Def a bit more confluence so far. But it was pretty jacked at 06z so not totally surprising. I mentioned a while ago ( while I was in a meeting and should not have been doing so - ) that the RGEM was a better choice for me overnight. The NAM has a N-W bias over this region of eastern conus/western Atl - which I've been hammering for years ... I know. But with that in mind I was just suspicious that 06z solution was a bit latitude happy. The RGEM 00z-06z were essentially identical within a range of irrelevant noise as well... and also were respectful of 9 degree cold for f-sake. At a larger philosophical approach, this whole situation is like two elephant asses on a collision course - namely...the instance -EPO loading and resulting arctic outbreak, smashing head long into a Phase 6 MJO atmosphere ( the correlations of which are a heat wave in the OV...) trying to rebound. The momentum is established. Two huge weights moving at one another ..Usually, events that are rooted in huge corrections like that are going to happen. It's really not a question if... it's just becomes a needling detail as to what backyard gets what. The scale and amp of Monday's possible lagging coastal impacts is still, believe it or not, a bit of a wild card. I still sense that trying to see through the hugeness of the IB in the foreground ... to then handling the escape capture tendency of surface features is kind of stressing the guidance vision. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Monday looks great on it too. Please lock this for my sanity. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said: Shocked with that colder shift, 16-20"+ run .. best case scenario here and for most in New England Yeah, we just got 'NAMd' down here....sheesh what a run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Shocked with that colder shift, 16-20"+ run .. best case scenario here and for most in New England Good Monday snow too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarverWX Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Mix just barley hits the south coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 NAM is gonna be good for Monday 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Really good backed flow pike-north Monday 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Monday looks great on it too. Please lock this for my sanity. Weenie meso enhancement for you 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 The coastal front is going to be insane. I think we know where the jackpot zone is going to be 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 We Nammy! crushed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 There it is…THE nam run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Still not done at 84hr 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Thats 18 to 30 for all of SNE probably a few more after hr 84 since it was still going.. we pray Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan63 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Man that is a great look. Obviously it looks like everyone is going to get in on this, but really liking my spot at the moment. Mentioned it before, my son turns 7 in April and last weekends 6" was the most he's ever seen in one snowfall. Trying to get him to be as much of a weenie as me so he's been going around the house with the tape measure seeing what 10-15" compares to 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 3k was also going wild.. great start to 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Prob 2” QPF on south shore if you allowed it to go another panel 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 There’s the Monday snow we are expecting 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Thats 18 to 30 for all of SNE probably a few more after hr 84 since it was still going.. we pray For 30” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Nam had a bunch of lift coming through at the end of its run still. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Thats an easy 20-30" + Run wow , please have a clue NAM , it's not like it doesn't have some support for a run like that, it's just unlikely .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Prob 2” QPF on south shore if you allowed it to go another panel Gets close to 1.5 into BOS. Kind of supports 15-20. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Ill need 30-1 ratios now.with lower qpf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 On 1/22/2026 at 8:20 AM, Snowcrazed71 said: So where are you seeing this finally ending up as far the northerly ticks? I think it’s done. I think it’s more likely to tick south than north from here. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: For 30” Idk.someone in SNE might do it.. it was still snowing after hr 84 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Love kissing the DGZ on the ground. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Just now, jbenedet said: I think it’s done. I think it’s more likely to tick south than north from here. Your earlier thinking had given me hope. Alas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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