“Cory’s in LA! Let’s MECS!” Jan. 24-26 Disco

[Sey-Mour Snow]

11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Nam might be a little less amped this run. 

Nam'd

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Just now, Spanks45 said:

Nam looks better down here....definitely pancaking the precip more, squeezing out a bunch too. Mixing doesnt make it to the CT coast this time

Shocked with that colder shift, 16-20"+ run .. best case scenario here and for most in New England

[weatherwiz]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

It’s being a little generous with the dgz there. -10C is out of the max dendritic zone.

yeah not sure if its a cod thing but its a little funky in that regard. but thats the type of lift we want to see!

[Typhoon Tip]

14 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Def a bit more confluence so far. But it was pretty jacked at 06z so not totally surprising. 

I mentioned a while ago ( while I was in a meeting and should not have been doing so - )  that the RGEM was a better choice for me overnight.

The NAM has a N-W bias over this region of eastern conus/western Atl - which I've been hammering for years ... I know.  But with that in mind I was just suspicious that 06z solution was a bit latitude happy.  The RGEM 00z-06z were essentially identical within a range of irrelevant noise as well... and also were respectful of 9 degree cold for f-sake.  

At a larger philosophical approach, this whole situation is like two elephant asses on a collision course - namely...the instance -EPO loading and resulting arctic outbreak, smashing head long into a Phase 6 MJO atmosphere ( the correlations of which are a heat wave in the OV...) trying to rebound.  The momentum is established. Two huge weights moving at one another ..Usually, events that are rooted in huge corrections like that are going to happen.  It's really not a question if... it's just becomes a needling detail as to what backyard gets what.

The scale and amp of Monday's possible lagging coastal impacts is still, believe it or not, a bit of a wild card.  I still sense that trying to see through the hugeness of the IB in the foreground ... to then handling the escape capture tendency of surface features is kind of stressing the guidance vision. 

[CoastalWx]

Monday looks great on it too. Please lock this for my sanity.

[Spanks45]

Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Shocked with that colder shift, 16-20"+ run .. best case scenario here and for most in New England

Yeah, we just got 'NAMd' down here....sheesh what a run.

[WxWatcher007]

1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Shocked with that colder shift, 16-20"+ run .. best case scenario here and for most in New England

Good Monday snow too.

[CarverWX]

Mix just barley hits the south coast

[ORH_wxman]

NAM is gonna be good for Monday 

[dendrite]

Really good backed flow pike-north Monday

[dendrite]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Monday looks great on it too. Please lock this for my sanity.

Weenie meso enhancement for you

[weatherwiz]

The coastal front is going to be insane. I think we know where the jackpot zone is going to be

[Baroclinic Zone]

We Nammy!

crushed

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

There it is…THE nam run.

[dendrite]

Still not done at 84hr

[ineedsnow]

Thats 18 to 30 for all of SNE probably a few more after hr 84 since it was still going.. we pray

[Bryan63]

Man that is a great look. Obviously it looks like everyone is going to get in on this, but really liking my spot at the moment. Mentioned it before, my son turns 7 in April and last weekends 6" was the most he's ever seen in one snowfall. Trying to get him to be as much of a weenie as me so he's been going around the house with the tape measure seeing what 10-15" compares to 

[ineedsnow]

3k was also going wild.. great start to 12z

[ORH_wxman]

Prob 2” QPF on south shore if you allowed it to go another panel 

[Damage In Tolland]

There’s the Monday snow we are expecting 

[dendrite]

3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Thats 18 to 30 for all of SNE probably a few more after hr 84 since it was still going.. we pray

 For 30”

[CoastalWx]

Nam had a bunch of lift coming through at the end of its run still. 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Thats an easy 20-30" + Run wow , please have a clue NAM , it's not like it doesn't have some support for a run like that, it's just unlikely .. 

[Baroclinic Zone]

[weathafella]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Prob 2” QPF on south shore if you allowed it to go another panel 

Gets close to 1.5 into BOS.  Kind of supports 15-20.

[moneypitmike]

Ill need 30-1 ratios now.with lower qpf.  

[jbenedet]

On 1/22/2026 at 8:20 AM, Snowcrazed71 said:

So where are you seeing this finally ending up as far the northerly ticks?

I think it’s done. I think it’s more likely to tick south than north from here.

[ineedsnow]

2 minutes ago, dendrite said:

 For 30”

Idk.someone in SNE might do it.. it was still snowing after hr 84

[CT Rain]

Love kissing the DGZ on the ground. 

[moneypitmike]

Just now, jbenedet said:

I think it’s done. I think it’s more likely to tick south than north from here.

Your earlier thinking had given me hope.  Alas