January 24-25: Miracle or Mirage

[TSSN+]

[Ji]

Just now, ravensrule said:

Post maps please. 

 

[Weather Will]

WB 0Z EURO 10 am Sunday

[jayyy]

Yeah, the more amped trend can chill out going forward lol

[Ralph Wiggum]

1 minute ago, TSSN+ said:

Dafuq is with the freckles?

[caviman2201]

[nj2va]

Here’s WXBell total.  That front end thump is hawt

[nw baltimore wx]

Sunrise on Sunday is fun times for all of us verbatim.  As near as I can tell, it's at least a foot for along 95 before any changeover.

eta using the 10:1 ratios.

[Chris78]

Just now, mitchnick said:

Maybe not this run, but it's the runs after this one I fear.

This just got alot more complicated with phasing so far west.

Not the simple west to east big overrunning event that was depicted just 24 hours ago.

Possibilities of a bigger reward but also increases the  chance at a disaster IMO

 

[LeesburgWx]

The bleeding must stop here and 06z in the morning needs to hold serve or go less amped. How is it only Wednesday tomorrow? Feels like an eternity until this weekend.

[Maestrobjwa]

Synopticqlly, is there room for this to amplify even more?

[nw baltimore wx]

1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Dafuq is with the freckles?

Sleet marks. 

[TSSN+]

Ya we can cut off the amping right there. Just a small less amp and we gold. Storms have tended to deamp a bit as we get closer so let’s see if that happens. 

[stormtracker]

4 minutes ago, osfan24 said:

Meh, looks like at most a few tenths more than some of the other models. It’s not like it’s 2 plus inches. Trading a mix for a couple tenths of precip and lower ratio seems like a poor trade, but I am sure more adjustments are to come.

I'm talking the 6 hour panels.  Haven't seen it look like that so far. 3 hour panel with .75.    I just like being optimistic..nobody wants a mix, but regardless we will get our best storm in 10 years.

[Ralph Wiggum]

I will leave you guys with this. The old tale that once a storm trends the wrong way it never reverses is a load of garbage. Ive seen enough systems go both ways as they windshield wiper to a solution. New data being injected tomorrow night stops the bleeding. G'nite

[Weather Will]

WB 0Z EURO.

[Chris78]

3 minutes ago, nj2va said:

Here’s WXBell total.  That front end thump is hawt

That weather channel snow totals map is going to look really silly

[wxmeddler]

Gah damn. What a Synoptic setup.

[ravensrule]

1 minute ago, Weather Will said:

WB 0Z EURO.

I would give both of my nuts for this. 

[HighStakes]

My Goodness on how frigid it gets after the storm the entire week.

[Amped]

3 minutes ago, caviman2201 said:

That jackpot went from Virginia Beach to Syracuse,NY fast.

[Ji]

i mean this is a dream storm. Its still all frozen. We get lot of snow and ice. Have you seen our storm lately....i got 1000k likes on facebook from a 1/2 inch storm

[Alfoman]

DC Proper loses the 850/700 mb temp profile battle from 0Z Monday to 9Z Monday but we're right on the edge of the transition line via 700 mb map starting at 18Z Sunday. We have roughly 1.2-1.3 QPF before that time and an additional .2-.3 after that. Really on the edge though by the middle of Sunday.

 

[stormtracker]

Just now, Ji said:

i mean this is a dream storm. Its still all frozen. We get lot of snow and ice. Have you seen our storm lately....i got 1000k likes on facebook from a 1/2 inch storm

What's in that TWC Jazz you been listening to?  

[Ji]

only us could sleet at 18 degrees

[HighStakes]

I never was buying those huge totals in Northern NC snd Southern Virginia.

[Weather Will]

WB OZ Canadian Parallel 

[Ji]

Just now, stormtracker said:

What's in that TWC Jazz you been listening to?  

its changed me bro....im so relaxed...its that program that someone posted earlier

[pazzo83]

Just now, Ji said:

only us could sleet at 18 degrees

I had sleet during PD2 in Charlottesville in the low teens.

[ravensrule]

1 minute ago, Weather Will said:

WB OZ Canadian Parallel 

This is literally a dream.