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Ice Ice Baby December 28-29 Storm Discussion


Baroclinic Zone
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4 hours ago, dendrite said:

I drove up to Lyndon with my father during it to work on my shitbox 87 Cavalier that died in the LSC parking lot before break. I remember the Lakes Region looking like a disaster area from 93…mostly from about here through the woodstock area. We gradually lost ice through the notch until it looked like mostly just wet trees on the other side toward Cannon. 

Our 0.8-acre houselot in Gardiner probably had more large branches on the ground than the 60 acres of forest on our current woodlot, as the Farmington area had mostly pingers.  Elevation was often the key.  On the state lot in Hebron, 10 miles NW from LEW, ice at the top of Greenwood Hill was almost the size of a Pringles can.  I brought 2 pieces home to show family, each centered with a first-year twig.  One was 3.0x2.2 inches diameter, the other 2.5x2.5 inches, about 2 lb per linear foot of branch.  Some large white pines had a near-continuous sheet of ice on their NE exposure and others had cascading breakage on that side as top branches landed on the lower ones.

OT:  Sad your Cavalier was a lemon.  Our 1983 wagon (1st year they had fuel injection, also our last new car) was wonderful except for its unibody frame.  Just under 150k, 33 mph on average, engine never missed a beat, but the frame was rusted such as we might end up like Herbie in the Love Bug.  Also the finest 2-WD vehicle in snow and mud that I've driven.  With aggressive tread snows and spike, it would go thru almost anything.

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19 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Our daughter had her first day as a lift operator today. Wawa just opened their new summit lift.  One good thing about that one is that they build a shed building where they store the chairs overnight.  That’s a first for them. Should help a bit on icy days.  

Yeah a chair barn helps a lot.  Still need to de-ice sheave wheels, rope and towers… but it’s a lot easier than de-icing 100 detachable grips.  Chair storage is a big deal.

We have it for the FourRunner Quad, but not Sensation Quad and that’s the photo I posted of the grips all iced up.  Lift maintenance has to bang the ice off each and every one of those.

Which by the way, hats off to all lift maintenance teams today.  They were the ones up on towers, in the elements, all day long banging ice… it’s hard physical work, cold and wet… tethered in way off the ground.  They are the real heroes.

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53 minutes ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

32.2°, temp has come down a little from a high of 32.9°. Still anticipating a bit of a spike sometime later today, but I'm not sure it's going to do much. Little to no ice has melted off the trees at my place - hoping the wind doesn't make more a mess.

You can kind of see ground zero for the most icing on the Eversource outage map. Looks like the area directly around Lake Sunapee got it pretty good. Makes sense, given pretty much all of that terrain is at least 1100ft asl. 

20251229_160411comp.jpg

Screenshot 2025-12-29 161511.jpg

Here’s the NHEC map. The bigger numbers seem to be Wilmot, Moultonborough, and Conway.

IMG_7547.jpeg

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2 hours ago, dendrite said:

For our region I think it was. Most have been at or under 1/8” radial. Lurker didn’t have a lot of ice there…looked like about 0.1” radial.

You have to separate out what was forecast from what we received. The forecast I saw last night had nearly a half inch of ice at MHT and CON and social media weenies were losing their minds about the grid collapsing. There’s been no accretion since sunrise outside of 1500’+ elevations. We’re just rotting at 32-33° as usual.

Now don’t get me wrong…it’s a high end mess out there with all of the liquid on top of icy surfaces. I don’t think there’s enough in the trees to cause an issue with freeze up and winds…maybe some isolated outages at most. It has the look of ice that will break up and rain out of the branches when the winds pick up a bit. 

I wish we could just get 2-3 hours of a saturated 36-38 to expose some of the dirt and rocks in my driveway. At least we got a nice drink for the drought.

Yes, I think it was over forecast. I agree. I think I did get more than an 8th inch radial though.  Although it’s unusual for me to get more than you and any of these situations. I was out of my driveway earlier. It’s 1500 feet hard pack and it’s a freaking mess and it’s all freezing up tonight. I got four Home Depot buckets of sand to see if that can help lol we need a big snowstorm.

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3 hours ago, metagraphica said:

45/44 and this rain ain't gonna get it done.  The pack is shrinking but I don't think it's going to disappear.  Should still have some left over once this is all said and done.

3 hours ago, DavisStraight said:

Its gonna turn to ice if enough of it sticks around.

Yep, gonna end up with ~2" or so of bullet proof pack.

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10 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

Yes, I think it was over forecast. I agree. I think I did get more than an 8th inch radial though.  Although it’s unusual for me to get more than you and any of these situations. I was out of my driveway earlier. It’s 1500 feet hard pack and it’s a freaking mess and it’s all freezing up tonight. I got four Home Depot buckets of sand to see if that can help lol we need a big snowstorm.

1/8” radial still looks impressive on the trees. Imagine that amount on each side of the branch. If you had more than that there would be a lot more outages south of here. If you’re measuring flat ice, that’s twice as much the radial amount. So if I had 1/8” radial here that equivalent to 1/4” of flat ice.

And yeah, it’s an adventure for me going down the driveway or to the run. I wanted to get my dormant plants some rain so I stupidly carried about 20 pots from the garage to outside. The pots were subfreezing so they froze to the driveway. I was eventually able to pull them out in the past half hour, but that was almost a stupid mistake. 

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6 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Yeah that looks interesting 

 

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Radar wasn't even great over us when it happened.. I went out thinking a gutter broke and water was pouring on the side of the house lol nope just a crap ton of sleet hitting the house :lol: I was out a couple minutes before that it was warmer and calm.. then hell broke loose 

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