Ice Ice Baby December 28-29 Storm Discussion

[WxWatcher007]

Not expecting much but temperatures have definitely come in under forecast so far. After a high of 25.3 we’re down to 24.3/21. It’s a rare time where I’m running colder than KSLK which is at 27 currently. Again not expecting much but we’ll see how I fare in my first icing event. 

[SJonesWX]

30 minutes ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

GYX going aggressive. Might be a few fender benders on 93 tomorrow morning.

no question about I-93. Of course I need to go MHT to CON for an appt at 8:30 tomorrow morning

[tamarack]

Hoping for more IP, less ZR.  Impressive diurnal range today, 30/-11.

[TheMainer]

CAR is going with 2-4 here, up to an inch of sleet, and possibly 0.25 of freezing rain. I just hope by the time the rain gets here around 3-4pm we can Dryslot. Went and cut and packed our trails all open again today with the new snow after last Friday's wind and rain, honestly we're ready to groom, just need to have a bit of a net gain, even an inch or two would be huge 

 

[dendrite]

We deal with the overblown icing products every icing event. There will probably be spotty outages in the hill towns and here-north, but I’d be surprised at anything widespread. 

A half inch of accretion is a lot of ice. Heck this is only 5/16” radial. 

[ineedsnow]

16 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

https://x.com/surfskiweather/status/2005278087118983379?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

that was from 9am this morning.. but the 20z HRRR  RAP and RRFS  are interesting even for here.. just need the precip not go to far north or else we meh.. 

[Redmorninglight]

24 here in Thurman NY ADK park. 1800’. Up at the camp. Looks like we could see decent ice for a period. Glad my camp is off grid. Batteries at 90%. Beer fridge full. Be safe!


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[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

We deal with the overblown icing products every icing event. There will probably be spotty outages in the hill towns and here-north, but I’d be surprised at anything widespread. 

A half inch if accretion is a lot of ice. Heck this is only 5/16” radial. 

What would say this was ? From 2 years ago . 
 

https://imgur.com/a/tAZcUAy#O9931d7

https://imgur.com/a/tAZcUAy#O9931d7

[Modfan2]

Down to 31F in E CT, only expecting a light glaze before we warm again

[UnitedWx]

We've actually dropped a couple degrees the last couple hours. Down to 25 in Westfield. Hopefully the actual amount that falls isn't that great... but lighter seems to acrete more efficiently 

[Prismshine Productions]

Albany got me spiking up to 46 tomorrow

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[ineedsnow]

26.1 just need the precip now

[DavisStraight]

3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

26.1 just need the precip now

I'm at 28, isn't too far to go to 33 or higher, hope to get some ice first.

[dryslot]

23/18F, Will start off frozen, Have to see how long we can stay that way.

[Sugarloaf1989]

27F here.

[ineedsnow]

GFS gone wild just north of here

[Damage In Tolland]

Every model just crushes VT over to Dendy and Gene. At some point it’s time to admit it’s coming there 

[Diggiebot]

Ice storms are always nowcasts in NE. More surprises to come I think. 

[DavisStraight]

8 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

GFS gone wild just north of here

Inland is where they might have a problem.

[dendrite]

Overblown. Cope.

[dryslot]

Sell

[Not me in VT]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Every model just crushes VT over to Dendy and Gene. At some point it’s time to admit it’s coming there 

So I'm not going to the office in Wilmington, VT from Brattleboro? Haha

 

[dendrite]

13 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

GFS gone wild just north of here

It’s a 3hr burst of +ZR which will limit accretion. After 12z everyone starts rotting AOA 32°. I don’t care what a weenie algorithm of “fzra qpf” shows.

[Damage In Tolland]

Noyes has some big ice issues and outages on those areas too 

[Damage In Tolland]

Just noticed ice storm warnings issued. Wish we lived there 

[eyewall]

[FXWX]

10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Every model just crushes VT over to Dendy and Gene. At some point it’s time to admit it’s coming there 

Need to be wary... Moderate / heavy rainfall rates are a negative for big accreation... Significant icing for sure (0.5"), from what I can tell much of the qpf occurs during a relative short period of time.  In this setup 0.75 to 1.00 qpf does not equate to 0.75 to 1.0 inches of ice...

[donsutherland1]

1 minute ago, eyewall said:

Hopefully, it won’t be quite as bad as shown. That’s a terrible amount of ice.

[powderfreak]

3,600ft… 36F

2,600… 28F

1,500ft… 26F

750ft… 19/14 (MVL ASOS)

Fake ice incoming.

[wxeyeNH]

18 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Overblown. Cope.

Thank you, Brian, for your optimism.  I hope you are right!  28.7/13