kdxken Posted yesterday at 01:29 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:29 AM 3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: heh … there’s definitely a speed surplus problem on this GFS run tho As this pattern turns you don’t no wanna end up compressed and velocity soaked Yeah it looks like we get dicked around on Sunday. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted yesterday at 01:36 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:36 AM 9 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: heh … there’s definitely a speed surplus problem on this GFS run tho As this pattern turns you don’t no wanna end up compressed and velocity soaked Hey Tip... Happy NY... When you say "a speed surplus problem on GFS" how are you determining that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted yesterday at 01:41 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:41 AM Got about an inch here, still light snow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted yesterday at 01:42 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:42 AM It’s been a very wintery winter, just not memorable so far. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted yesterday at 01:46 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:46 AM 15 minutes ago, FXWX said: Hey Tip... Happy NY... When you say "a speed surplus problem on GFS" how are you determining that? Yeah John, happy holidays new year all that… So velocity can be expressed a couple different ways in the atmosphere. When you have a lot of isohypses - I know you this… - nearby one another than the balanced geostrophic wind velocity is going to be fast. When the gaps between them have larger spacing than the wind slows down. Short waves need to be embedded in a balance geostrophic wind field that does not offset the wind max of the short wave passing through. The other way velocity is expressed is the actual translation speed of the short waves through the medium … the compressed field contributes to that. This run looks like it has both, but in particular, seeing short waves passing over South Dakota and then leaving the East Coast just 18 hours is going to create some mechanical challenges to allowing anything to amplify… The speed of the flow is keeping the long wave open (lessening the meridian character) so that can’t happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted yesterday at 01:48 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:48 AM They don't make them like they used to. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted yesterday at 01:52 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:52 AM 3 minutes ago, kdxken said: They don't make them like they used to. When we got storms 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VivaManchVegas Posted yesterday at 01:56 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:56 AM Another 1 " of fluff ..Looks like another scrape and peel with the shovel tomorrow morning.... Oh wait, we have some snow and freezing rain tomorrow night. So we can get some variety of scraping slush. I hate to be the debbie downer, but this length of cold with out a 12+ snow storm, I will take a 2023-2024 winter any day of the week. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted yesterday at 01:57 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:57 AM 6 minutes ago, kdxken said: They don't make them like they used to. we got this a week after I got my old bravada, AWD, and we went out pub crawling in it, snowing so hard at on point I had to use the glow of the street lights to navigate, we got 23" I believe in Waterbury on that one, fun times 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted yesterday at 01:59 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:59 AM Nice 34" pack after 1/96. I remember my Siberian husky was able to completely bury himself after that one 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted yesterday at 02:01 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:01 AM Also by surplus” I don’t mean to imply that the model is in error with all that speed, but it could be just the same I meant surplus in the context of it’s just not needed and unwanted if you’re a storm enthusiast cause it’s definitely interfering negatively Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted yesterday at 02:02 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:02 AM 13 minutes ago, kdxken said: They don't make them like they used to. Ya, They made em better after that lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted yesterday at 02:05 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:05 AM 15 minutes ago, kdxken said: They don't make them like they used to. 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: When we got storms Funny thing is people in this region would whine incessantly about the Mid-Atlantic and south getting smoked. 100%. LBSW and such. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted yesterday at 02:06 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:06 AM Just now, WxWatcher007 said: Funny thing is people in this region would whine incessantly about the Mid-Atlantic and south getting smoked. 100%. LBSW and such. For sure. It as a very good storm, but We’ve had much better here since then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted yesterday at 02:08 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:08 AM 1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said: Funny thing is people in this region would whine incessantly about the Mid-Atlantic and south getting smoked. 100%. LBSW and such. That storm wasn’t even forecast to get up in here at first. Kept trending and trending. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted yesterday at 02:21 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:21 AM 22 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Ya, They made em better after that lol. 2015 for sure! After that all downhill. Climate change you know. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krs4Lfe Posted yesterday at 02:33 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:33 AM 11 minutes ago, kdxken said: 2015 for sure! After that all downhill. Climate change you know. I know it sounds funny but it probably is the reason 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted yesterday at 02:35 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:35 AM 2006 was better, 2010 3 times in the mid Atlantic, 2011 twice, 2013, 2015…just to name some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted yesterday at 02:35 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:35 AM 12 minutes ago, kdxken said: 2015 for sure! After that all downhill. Climate change you know. Once we take over Greenland and melt all of the ice we’ll have monster ridging up there every winter. 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted yesterday at 02:39 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:39 AM 49 minutes ago, kdxken said: 2015 for sure! After that all downhill. Climate change you know. I didnt realize we did that well 2021-2022, maybe this year we'll set a record for most dusting-1 inch storms. More like pennies with a nickel or two. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted yesterday at 02:39 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:39 AM 34 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Funny thing is people in this region would whine incessantly about the Mid-Atlantic and south getting smoked. 100%. LBSW and such. Yea, kind of like how much of CT whines about 2015... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted yesterday at 02:43 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:43 AM Pretty good snow growth in this band. This will do it for this C-1” event. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted yesterday at 02:45 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:45 AM 1 hour ago, kdxken said: We will hold you to it. How about Boston? Sitting at 4 inches. Can we make a run at an all-time ratter. Pretty hard to beat 9.8 In 2023. They weren’t that bad in 2023. Futility is 1936-37 at 9” even. 2011-12 9.3”. This is from memory can’t find the old link. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted yesterday at 02:46 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:46 AM 6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, kind of like how much of CT whines about 2015... Absolutely. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted yesterday at 02:47 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:47 AM 18 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Absolutely. We all do it....except Will....he's a cyborg developed in the bowels of NCEP. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted yesterday at 02:50 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:50 AM Anywho....here was my progression for January from last fall....doesn't look half bad. January 10-13 January 13-16 January 18-21 Ridge Over CONUS & Southern Canada Retrogrades Towards Alaska January 23-26 January 28-31 Early February 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted yesterday at 02:53 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:53 AM 2 hours ago, Hoth said: Fuck THAT storm. funny thing is i didn't say which one....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted yesterday at 03:01 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:01 AM 3 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: funny thing is i didn't say which one....lol Yeah, there are two prime candidates, as I recall. Might have the dates wrong, but want to say 3/13 and 3/22 roughly? We got stuck in brutal subsidence in one, the other was supposed to slam us and wound up burying Upton under a couple feet instead. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted yesterday at 03:03 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:03 AM 11 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: funny thing is i didn't say which one....lol I was in Maine sledding during that March one(13th) and my mother called me cuz I had a buddy that was supposed to plow the driveway, and she called me and said she told him not to come, cuz we only got like 2-3” lol. What a flop. Out east crushed it. Ray with a 30 plus I think. And Hoth is right about that later one…that flopped too…went south lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted yesterday at 03:04 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:04 AM 3 minutes ago, kdxken said: We will hold you to it. How about Boston? Sitting at 4 inches. Can we make a run at an all-time ratter. Pretty hard to beat 9.8 In 2023. Boston slightly AN. Obviously I’m just hedging and it’s mostly based off vibes ha. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now