January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread

[Diggiebot]

44 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

That’s how averages are made. 

2009-2018 and 2016-2025 why? They overlap. Seems like cherry picking 

[The 4 Seasons]

Just now, Diggiebot said:

2009-2018 and 2016-2025 why? They overlap. Seems like cherry picking 

first thing i thought of when i saw that. I guess its just like a rolling 10 year stat they grabbed. I dunno, seems kinda weird but i get it. 

[Snowcrazed71]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Need a panic thread. Not sure I can tale the toddler whining much longer. 

Please and thank you

[CoastalWx]

15 minutes ago, Diggiebot said:

2009-2018 and 2016-2025 why? They overlap. Seems like cherry picking 

There’s also been those couple of seasons where Logan had some questionable measurements.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

30 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Need a panic thread. Not sure I can tale the toddler whining much longer. 

I see very little whining. We squandered  pretty anomalous temp month. People are just calling it like they see if 

[rimetree]

Just shy of normal for December at 13.75", which is close to 2020 at 14". That following January was terrible...hoping for a better outcome next month.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

Is BDL even normal? Hippy valley is BN, ORH, BOS, up to Ray. 

I would say NW MA and along RT is all BN.  Not terrible here wrt totals, because of book end December storms.  Still, it’s easy to speculate what could’ve been with the cold that we’ve had.

I’ll work on getting on the new snow totals thread tonight but I’m around 11” season to date.  

[moneypitmike]

1 hour ago, kdxken said:

 

 

That's how you make averages.

[WinterWolf]

20 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

 

That's how you make averages.

Said that a page back Mike…but ya, absolutely. 

[ORH_wxman]

34 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

I would say NW MA and along RT is all BN.  Not terrible here wrt totals, because of book end December storms.  Still, it’s easy to speculate what could’ve been with the cold that we’ve had.

I’ll work on getting on the new snow totals thread tonight but I’m around 11” season to date.  

ORH has been slightly BN for snowfall in December but not by a lot. November was a goose egg though so seasonal is behind by a 2-3” more. 

[ORH_wxman]

Euro keeps trying to show an IVT associated with the offshore storm on 1/4 as a northern stream shortwave moves over our region to cause it…wouldn’t be much but another inch or two could happen around that time. 

[MJO812]

10 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Euro keeps trying to show an IVT associated with the offshore storm on 1/4 as a northern stream shortwave moves over our region to cause it…wouldn’t be much but another inch or two could happen around that time. 

The coastal keeps inching northwest.  Most likely nothing. 

[UnitedWx]

1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said:

Need a panic thread. Not sure I can tale the toddler whining much longer. 

Same

[kdxken]

Not sure I've seen thls before. Tip of the cap. 

 

[dryslot]

2 hours ago, Ginx snewx said:

 

Spot on for here, 30.12"

[klw]

2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said:

Need a panic thread. Not sure I can tale the toddler whining much longer. 

Here you go:

 

[kdxken]

Now we're talking. Aaaahhh...

 

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 hours ago, Ginx snewx said:

 

Nailed my spot...8"

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 hours ago, Fozz said:

I think some people are stuck on the fact that many spots got single digit totals for December and they dread what it might mean for the rest of the winter since it’s a colder ENSO state.

I don’t know the sample size of such winters so you can’t be too confident in these inferences.

So you need more evidence to conclude that February and March usually suck in a La Nina??

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said:

Need a panic thread. Not sure I can tale the toddler whining much longer. 

I'm done...I vent every now and then, but I'm not carrying on. Just a quick burst this AM.

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 hours ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I see very little whining. We squandered  pretty anomalous temp month. People are just calling it like they see if 

There was plenty of whining...yes, I do partake at times, but I also contribute a great deal...not like I just spew garbage endlessly. 

[Typhoon Tip]

Seems like we went through this about two weeks before Christmas… Back then the models were abandoning winter. In this case… the ensemble means are not exactly abandoning any winter

Could have a warm period out there as was probably going to be with a negative EPO beginning to set up… But it would be transient under those circumstances

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Seems like we went through this about two weeks before Christmas… Back then the models were abandoning winter. 

Could have a warm period out there as was probably going to be a negative EPO begin to set up… But it would be transient under those circumstances

I don't think the rest of winter is doomed or anything....all I meant is it's hard to essentially punt the first half in a cool ENSO year and end up hitting normal totals or above. I will also say that this seasons does have the profile to buck that trend. 

[Typhoon Tip]

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I don't think the rest of winter is doomed or anything....all I meant is it's hard to essentially punt the first half in a cool ENSO year and end up hitting normal totals or above. I will also say that this seasons does have the profile to buck that trend. 

I was actually referring to KDX Ken‘s post about the warm EPS

[tavwtby]

52 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Spot on for here, 30.12"

I'm at 14", looks about right for here too 

[40/70 Benchmark]

10 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

I was actually referring to KDX Ken‘s post about the warm EPS

That's fine, I was just jumping in....

[WinterWolf]

Just watched BAM Weather video for today the 30th…guy is good. Gives some very good insight on the upcoming set up…and actually uses some real Meteorology to interpret the modeling…instead of just Modelology.  Certainly one of the Better and more professional YouTube weather videos to watch. No hype. 

[MJO812]

Watch the 4th. Nam is amped.

[Hailstoned]

5 hours ago, psv88 said:

A psychologist would have a field day reading this thread. It's amusing from an outsiders perspective. 

You have those are depressed, those who have anxiety, those with OCD, those with narcissistic disorder and some with bipolar. Then there are those who are relatively normal and rational. 

Im sure other forums are similar in some respects, but this group really takes the cake. Thank you for the entertainment!

BTW, its been a great December on Long Island, which shares more characteristics with SNE than the Mid Atlantic. Cheers to a good January.

Narcissistic disorder-- From the "top" on down-- the role modeled pathology of our times...