First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season

[DavisStraight]

32 minutes ago, Hoth said:

This is one of those times I’m glad I’m at the CT shoreline. No question about the precipitation mode here and no need to pull my remaining hair out over each model run. Good luck to all up north! 

That's half the fun, especially when it surprises in your favor.

[HoarfrostHubb]

28F here attm.     That warm tongue will do its dirty work for many, but hopefully a cold press can help a bit 

[tavwtby]

Just now, FXWX said:

Low confidence for your area... could be sharp gradient across short distances???  I would not give up hope yet for low-end warning levels?

hope is fading fast my friend, hopefully the cold tonight can overcome whatever may try to push in tomorrow during the event... hours from go, and still unknowns are more than knowns, at least here and borderline areas.

[Henry's Weather]

1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

yeah that was mostly one Met talking to another.  

It's clear outside, with a DP of like 19.  We're likely getting quite cold in the lowest levels because of that.  That's possibly not being assessed properly wherein the poorly resolved lowest levels that the models can have trouble. 

It's a slam dunk for a positive bust, but this strikes me as a potential to end up marginally colder - particularly with the storm structurally evolving and moving underneath our latitude. 

I'm not sure where you reside but for like Springfield to Ayer ...that band I suspect it safely snow in this... It's really more of a contention as to where the mix line ends up... I think there's room for it to be S of consensus in this case.   

Thank you thank you, based on what you just wrote, my locale (West Concord just off rt. 2) may very well be right on the r/s line.

btw as an aside, is it better for cold air retention if upper levels close off in this case?

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

28F here attm.     That warm tongue will do its dirty work for many, but hopefully a cold press can help a bit 

Warm tongue will evident off the deck from 950-850 or so. 

[Damage In Tolland]

9 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

You realize…if you pick up 2-4” tomorrow, these posts of yours will look pretty bad.  Just saying.  It’s getting cold out there bro. 

If I thought that was even remotely possible I’d have some optimism. I was really looking forward to this and the first snowfall . It’s been a long time since a good December .  This could have started off well . South flow is no bueno . Will erode any cold very quickly aloft . Here anyway .. maybe your area will do better . It’s green grass around here for the foreseeable future 

[ineedsnow]

18z Euro caving a bit more 

[moneypitmike]

5 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

28F here attm.    That warm tongue will do its dirty work for many, but hopefully a cold press can help a bit 

Same here.  Forecast is for 19, but I think that means diddly for what happens tomorrow afternoon.

[Ginx snewx]

1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said:

Hoping model guidance underestimates the density of this cold dome over us tonight...could a make a difference when we're talking like 1C in the BL. Guess we'll see on the 00z and 06z runs. 

My bank but damn its so so close  

[Damage In Tolland]

Sunday morning was 27 /19 here at 7 AM. By 1:00 it was raining . South flow kills 

[FXWX]

12 minutes ago, tavwtby said:

hope is fading fast my friend, hopefully the cold tonight can overcome whatever may try to push in tomorrow during the event... hours from go, and still unknowns are more than knowns, at least here and borderline areas.

Crazy things known to happen in Lit Cty... lol

[Ginx snewx]

6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Sunday morning was 27 /19 here at 7 AM. By 1:00 it was raining . South flow kills 

So your saying the south flow will be 15 to 25 mph like Sunday not the 5 to 10 modeled which then  backs N for you. Surprise surprise surprise Gomer.

[dryslot]

21z RAP is hitting the coastal plain of NH/ME with .80-1.10” qpf.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Commuting to Andover tomorrow. Hopefully it’s all rain

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Commuting to Andover tomorrow. Hopefully it’s all rain

Where in Andover. That will matter

[dryslot]

2 hours ago, DavisStraight said:

Little hairy for me too. News said 8 inches for Sanford

You may start out as some rain but once the heavier rates come in in the afternoon tues you should flip to paste.

[Brewbeer]

Andover will be fine, but North Andover, watch out !   bring your tire chains

[Damage In Tolland]

7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

So your saying the south flow will be 15 to 25 mph like Sunday not the 5 to 10 modeled which then  backs N for you. Surprise surprise surprise Gomer.

I am speaking for this area . I know how it works in this set up . I admittedly had some hope over the weekend that I could still manage a few inches with white landscape . But I started sensing what was happening yesterday . It’s going to be a rough one personally for this to be a Rainer and look at grass . Will have to live vicariously thru the folks pictures and posts to the N, NW , and NE.

[Snowcrazed71]

47 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Is this snow…that I’m feeling…

Is this the snow……that’s I’ve been searching for..

You are such a ball buster .. lol

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

You a such a ball buster .. lol

He said 1987 so…….

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

He said 1987 so…….

White snake/David Coverdale was the man back then, and his babe Tawny Kitain. 

[Damage In Tolland]

The joy Ineedsnow is having now and will be having tomorrow reminds me of the good times. Good luck up there fellas 

[WxWatcher007]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

The joy Ineedsnow is having now and will be having tomorrow reminds me of the good times. Good luck up there fellas 

I can’t with you  

It’s like you’re on the Titanic 

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said:

I can’t with you  

It’s like you’re on the Titanic 

He’s going down with the ship….careening to the bottom of the North Atlantic…3 miles down. 

[dendrite]

54 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Is this snow…that I’m feeling…

Is this the snow……that’s I’ve been searching for..

Here you go again with no snow

Going down the only road Bryce has known

[Lava Rock]

I can’t with you  
It’s like you’re on the Titanic 

Like going through stages of grief

Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

[Damage In Tolland]

13 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

I can’t with you  

It’s like you’re on the Titanic 

I’m in the bow of the Edmund Fitzgerald.  Gone