First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

So what’s your call bro currently..for SNE? 

All of SNE? Haven’t looked much where you are but you’ll be near the line as well. Right now I’d feel good near Ray to ORH on north. From inside 495 to Kev that’s where the biggest uncertainty exists. If the euro is right they get 5-8 easily. But that warming from 925-850 is what the issue is. Early in the season and winds at that level are south before turning east and northeast. Not really a recipe for good snow. Ideally you want those winds to come around like NW-N to NE and even E is fine. Now that can be compensated with strong lift through the DGZ. A bit early to determine where that will be. I’m thinking C-1” here near the end. 

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

any chance this trends south and whiffs?

None

[Kitz Craver]

Just now, moneypitmike said:

 

Congrats

There is some convergence happening here, and I’m consistently on the outside looking in. Right on the edge

[KoalaBeer]

Absolute white out on the Sunday River cams. Surprised to see no WWA up there from what people were telling me who travelled down from sugarloaf etc. today.

Im liking my spot in Portland for Tuesdays deal. 
 

 

[WeatherGeek2025]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

None

what's your call for White Plains New York?

[Torch Tiger]

Coastalwx should start charging $

[moneypitmike]

1 minute ago, KoalaBeer said:

Absolute white out on the Sunday River cams. Surprised to see no WWA up there from what people were telling me who travelled down from sugarloaf etc. today.

Im liking my spot in Portland for Tuesdays deal. 
 

 

Black out and white out are pretty much the same thing. 

 

Yes, PWM looks to be a good spot for this.

[Damage In Tolland]

That will be very close to reality . That’s literally what I just described . 6” at BDL, none here 

[H2Otown_WX]

1 minute ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

what's your call for White Plains New York?

How much for Philly?

[dryslot]

How much for Philly?

[ineedsnow]

Yes yes and more yes to the GFS

[monadnocks]

6 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

 

Congrats

Any chance of this coming true? I'm right in that lighter purple area.

[kdxken]

Stein's map. 

 

[Kitz Craver]

Just now, kdxken said:

Stein's map. 

 

Lol that map is like a Dead t-shirt

[ineedsnow]

I'll be shocked if the EURO doesnt move a bit at 18z

[H2Otown_WX]

7 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

I'll be shocked if the EURO doesnt move a bit at 18z

I won't. That thing is dead nuts.

[AstronomyEnjoyer]

Fun colors on the 18z UKMET

[CT Valley Snowman]

Really close call here. GFS pivotal maps have like 8" here and 2" in Ellington.  Surface temps on most modeling get up to around 33 with the 850 O line right over my fanny at the height of the storm.  I would prefer to be about 10-15 miles NW.  I'm going with a cautious 2-4"here in this part of the valley as a first estimate. 

[HoarfrostHubb]

Euro should be similar to 12z   maybe some wiggle that's basically noise

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, CT Valley Snowman said:

Really close call here. GFS pivotal maps have like 8" here and 2" in Ellington.  Surface temps on most modeling get up to around 33 with the 850 O line right over my fanny at the height of the storm.  I would prefer to be about 10-15 miles NW.  I'm going with a cautious 2-4"here in this part of the valley as a first estimate. 

You’ll get more than here 

[DavisStraight]

9 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

I'll be shocked if the EURO doesnt move a bit at 18z

You should cash in, looks like you're in the sweet spot.

[dendrite]

19 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

Lol that map is like a Dead t-shirt

He’s been looking more like Jerry lately.

[CoastalWx]

28 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

That will be very close to reality . That’s literally what I just described . 6” at BDL, none here 

I don’t see that happening one bit.

[Typhoon Tip]

This system would have to snow at 4"/hr rates to load those numbers.  I dunno.  just sayn'

[Spanks45]

38 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

So what’s your call bro currently..for SNE? 

Been in this area for 10 winters now, odds are go low with this, especially this early in the season. Maybe 1-2 before changing over to heavy rain and 34 degrees. Your elevation may help a bit compared to me,  but I suspect we all flip pretty quickly. So, me around an inch, you 2ish? Hope I'm wrong and the Euro is closer to correct on thermals and low placement/strength. Still plenty of model runs to go, so I suspsect some fluctuations, hopefully not towards the Nam solutions...

[Damage In Tolland]

5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I don’t see that happening one bit.

My only hope is the EMA Wx/ Dick Tolleris map  . I am pretty depressed 

[Snowcrazed71]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

My only hope is the EMA Wx/ Dick Tolleris map  . I am pretty depressed 

Don't be depressed. It's our first winter type storm and we're literally in the very beginning of December. This is a good thing. They're not all going to be winners. I'm just happy we're getting a wintry type of storm. We have another chance on Saturday and more chances in the next several weeks. Chin up

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Don’t know if Dylan posted earlier. Here’s our first call. Looking like we have to wait for our first accumulation until the weekend south of 84. 

[klw]

Judging on how much smoke was coming out of my snowblower this afternoon and how little power it had, I will get hammered on Tuesday.

[moneypitmike]

2 minutes ago, klw said:

Judging on how much smoke was coming out of my snowblower this afternoon and how little power it had, I will get hammered on Tuesday.

The fact that it started suggests you'll have at least a lot of taint.