December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread

[Typhoon Tip]

29 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

Anyone else sick of the cold already?

Haha.... right. 

For me, it's what I call "non-representative cold" that's annoying.    This is non-representative when it's just cold.  Yeah, one gets sick of that. And it actually doesn't take long to get to that opinion.  Like, a one failure to represent and up!  I'm ready for February's annual 10th exit of the solar minimum and hearing about Ray's canonical warm bum on his car seat.    

heh.  just kidding   Cold is a necessary evil if we want to have interesting winter Meteorology though.  So long as the latter is a part of the cold, no issues. 

[DavisStraight]

1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said:

 yo

yeah not sure yet.  It may be a last minute thing.  I have a huge family.  Not sure if I've ever exposed this but I have 9 sisters and they all have demands of one another's time - including their sole bro.  Since, truth be told, there are only 7 still living, that's like a political urgency to be ... anyway, there's a thing tomorrow - not sure how long.  There's some conflict there.

 I have 4 and thought that was a lot.

[UnitedWx]

1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

He is very nasty and is usually worse in the mornings. 

Severe constipation? That would explain a lot

[Typhoon Tip]

4 minutes ago, DavisStraight said:

 I have 4 and thought that was a lot.

yeah.. I've often mused that, 'hey man, I was raised in the Feminati'   when seeking defense in discussions with militant lesbians 

 

[UnitedWx]

29 minutes ago, weathafella said:

I’m surprisingly enjoying the cold.  It feels like a throwback to my youth including waiting for the snow.   We’re near the 65 year anniversary of one of the great 20th century blizzards that buried Virginia to Maine.

Now I'm going to have to look that one up, 10 years before my time. We all know Will was there

[dryslot]

54 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

Anyone else sick of the cold already?

NO!

[kazimirkai]

The extended GEFS seems to be picking up on this secondary SSW signal with the some winter in early January (mainly around the 4th-12th in today's run). I think there could def be some chances for snow in interior NE and especially mountains before that though (evidenced by snowfall on the 384hr ensemble suite). The central ridge seems to relax more westward following Christmas. 

[MJO812]

Im not sure if we gonna see a big warmup. So much cold air up north. Looks like a gradient pattern to me

[ORH_wxman]

5 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Im not sure if we gonna see a big warmup. So much cold air up north. Looks like a gradient pattern to me

You can get huge cutters in a gradient pattern. It will be very hard to avoid one. It’s possible but unlikely. The gradient also sets up decently north…so it’s gonna get milder and milder relative to normal once you’re getting south of NNE. 

[MJO812]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

You can get huge cutters in a gradient pattern. It will be very hard to avoid one. It’s possible but unlikely. The gradient also sets up decently north…so it’s gonna get milder and milder relative to normal once you’re getting south of NNE. 

Agree

Northern areas should continue to do well .

[snowman19]

16 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Im not sure if we gonna see a big warmup. So much cold air up north. Looks like a gradient pattern to me

The NYC metro area is going to warm up. We are not New England

[weathafella]

1 hour ago, UnitedWx said:

Now I'm going to have to look that one up, 10 years before my time. We all know Will was there

It was epic!  I was in the 8th grade in NNJ and woke up Sunday 12/11 with “provisional heavy snow warning”.  That was the precursor to today’s winter storm watch.  But more importantly after a mega torch in the early days of December culminating in temperatures near 70 on 12/4.  It was in the mid 40s on the 10th so imagine my surprise (and joy) to awaken to high clouds and 25.  My mother made me sweep the garage that morning and for once I happily complied as I warded off the oak leaves blowing into the north facing garage.  By the time I was done the temperature dropped into the low 20s.   My Giants were playing Washington in DC and at the start of the broadcast the announcer exclaimed “we’re having a blizzard!”   I remember one TD pass from YA Tittle to Del Shofner with Shofner ending up in a snow bank.   
 

It started snowing around 3pm and it was fairly light for the first 6 hours and I was starting to lose hope.   Finally it started picking up and by time I fell asleep it was snowing pretty hard.  I woke up at 5AM Monday and it was raging.  Snow tapered off close to Noon.  Temperatures during the meat of the storm were near 10.  The storm paralyzed the megopolis.  It was the first of 3 big ones that winter. The other 2 were the JFK inaugural storm and the widespread 2 footer February 3-4.   The February storm was the pattern changer and winter was never the same that year but what a 2 month run!