December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread

[Damage In Tolland]

BOX keeps insisting elevation event .

Do not agree totally on that . Especially North of 90

An interior/higher-elevation mainly snow with
lower-elevation/coastal plain wet, gloppy snow-to-rain scenario
remains a best guess as to precipitation types;

[CoastalWx]

8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

BOX keeps insisting elevation event .

Do not agree totally on that . Especially North of 90

An interior/higher-elevation mainly snow with
lower-elevation/coastal plain wet, gloppy snow-to-rain scenario
remains a best guess as to precipitation types;

Nope. 

[CoastalWx]

Just looking at the euro, 925 is actually out of the SW prior to the storm. Gets it to near 1c. Feel like any snow is at the tail end around here when it drops to near freezing. 

[moneypitmike]

8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Just looking at the euro, 925 is actually out of the SW prior to the storm. Gets it to near 1c. Feel like any snow is at the tail end around here when it drops to near freezing. 

Always reliable back-end snow.

[CoastalWx]

12 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

Always reliable back-end snow.

Kraft or die.

[40/70 Benchmark]

51 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Nice little squall in Brookline where I am.

Had the ground whitened here....nice mood setter.

[Damage In Tolland]

14 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Had the ground whitened here....nice mood setter.

Sexual Healing?

[CoastalWx]

18z gfs low overhead. Rain to concord NH. lol.

[dendrite]

Let’s move it into the storm thread now so we don’t have the same disco in 2 spots. 

[cleetussnow]

3 hours ago, dendrite said:

Greta and her dad post here too.

Greta does, down on the NYC forum.  Got a met tag too. 

[dryslot]

Around the 5th is the next opportunity.

[ineedsnow]

GFS is days and days starting next  weekend

[H2Otown_WX]

1 hour ago, ineedsnow said:

GFS is days and days starting next  weekend

Not down here

[WxWatcher007]

Good cold repeatedly filtering into New England from SE Canada on much of the 12z Euro run. 

[weathafella]

OT but heavy snow and nice flakes as we venture outdoors in Wilmette,IL

[mahk_webstah]

5 minutes ago, weathafella said:

OT but heavy snow and nice flakes as we venture outdoors in Wilmette,IL

Been chatting with a friend who lives in Glencoe and watching the bands on radar trying to give him a sense of how much they’re going to end up with.  Maybe an hour or two ago he told me there was three or 4 inches and I told him they would probably end up around eight or 10 inches.

[weathafella]

1 hour ago, mahk_webstah said:

Been chatting with a friend who lives in Glencoe and watching the bands on radar trying to give him a sense of how much they’re going to end up with.  Maybe an hour or two ago he told me there was three or 4 inches and I told him they would probably end up around eight or 10 inches.

Yeah we just drove to Evanston. I think 8-10 is a good bet with the long duration of the event.  We’ll be having dinner in town Monday night for my birthday with maybe 1-3 inches expected from the next system.

[Snowcrazed71]

17 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Yeah we just drove to Evanston. I think 8-10 is a good bet with the long duration of the event.  We’ll be having dinner in town Monday night for my birthday with maybe 1-3 inches expected from the next system.

I remember maybe about 15 years ago when I lived up in East longmeadow Mass, there was like a 3 to 4 nights where we had snow on and off. I loved every minute of it! 

[H2Otown_WX]

ECMWF LR pattern looks a lot better than the GFS as @ORH_wxman outlined yesterday. It shows low heights rotating through the Aluetians with +PNA ridge underneath:

[Ginx snewx]

Man its deep deep winter on the Euro Skynet

[WxWatcher007]

14 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Man its deep deep winter on the Euro Skynet

December of yore

[ORH_wxman]

30 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

December of yore

Good news is the EPS has been manhandling the GEFS for the early December period. GEFS has been caving to EPS when it gets to like D10-11-12. Hopefully that continues because EPS looks really good. Even popping western ridging week 2 where a more substantial system could develop in that look. 

[MJO812]

6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Good news is the EPS has been manhandling the GEFS for the early December period. GEFS has been caving to EPS when it gets to like D10-11-12. Hopefully that continues because EPS looks really good. Even popping western ridging week 2 where a more substantial system could develop in that look. 

Weeklies are cold through mid January. What a pattern projected 

[Chrisrotary12]

If you want a trip down memory lane, page 99 of the subforum is Boxing Day. 

[H2Otown_WX]

26 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

If you want a trip down memory lane, page 99 of the subforum is Boxing Day. 

One of the all time great modeling rallies. I'll never forget watching the 00z run roll in on Christmas Eve. Or maybe it was 18z?

[40/70 Benchmark]

6 minutes ago, H2Otown_WX said:

One of the all time great modeling rallies. I'll never forget watching the 00z run roll in on Christmas Eve. Or maybe it was 18z?

18z.

[ORH_wxman]

10 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

18z.

Yep but it was after the 12z rogue GFS run. Nobody believed the GFS and then the 18z runs all started trending toward it. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Hope all is well folks, time to rejoin the circus.
 

Starting the season in early Dec, can it be? A solid start is owed to us. Rock bottom should be behind us now…

[40/70 Benchmark]

24 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Hope all is well folks, time to rejoin the circus.
 

Starting the season in early Dec, can it be? A solid start is owed to us. Rock bottom should be behind us now…

Welcome back.