Spooky Season (October Disco Thread)

[Baroclinic Zone]

Measuring pine needle drop in inches. 

[Hoth]

3 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said:

I can’t do this again. We just started going from drought to active, and the storms are already deamplifying and cutting. I’ll leave my family. I’ll sell my house and live with the moose at Fort Kent. I won’t do another sub 20” winter that people pretend isn’t a rat because January was -1.1°. I just can’t do it. 

You are going to get buried in Saranac. I'll bet you'll be sick of snow by next April.

[jbenedet]

Another day another shower. The past 2 weeks has been a complete flip from the drought conditions in terms of rain chances.

[jbenedet]

The trend on the GEFS has been to a much more amplified system with cross stream interaction, albeit with incomplete phasing. Completely lost the progressive look from early yesterday. Also back to a negative tilt over the SE US.
 

GEFS/GFS is in line with other guidance but def hasn’t been leading.

[Torch Tiger]

29 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

The trend on the GEFS has been to a much more amplified system with cross stream interaction, albeit with incomplete phasing. Completely lost the progressive look from early yesterday. Also back to a negative tilt over the SE US.
 

GEFS/GFS is in line with other guidance but def hasn’t been leading.

no argument, but it's still no bueno here.  Maybe some ImpAcTz Bermuda/E Canada I suppose

[WinterWolf]

4 hours ago, powderfreak said:

Haha, I appreciate you staying on brand.  There could be 500 million acres of lava in the Arctic and the answer would be “let’s see if it’s still burning in a week, we just don’t know what’ll happen.”

There will never be an ice fee Arctic in our lifetimes or our kids lifetimes…that’s total horse sh*t, bet on it.  How’s that for knowing.
 

 And worrying about pacific air in late October…is ridiculous.  And the upcoming pattern doesn’t look zonal that’s for sure.  And mid 50’s for highs with sun and clouds is gorgeous autumn weather…exactly what we have, and as it should be. Loving this weather. 

[Lava Rock]

There will never be an ice fee Arctic in our lifetimes or our kids lifetimes…that’s total horse sh*t, bet on it.  How’s that for knowing.
 
 And worrying about pacific air in late October…is ridiculous.  And the upcoming pattern doesn’t look zonal that’s for sure.  And mid 50’s for highs with sun and clouds is gorgeous autumn weather…exactly what we have, and as it should be. Loving this weather. 

Fangs are a bit premature, lol

Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

[powderfreak]

38 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

There will never be an ice fee Arctic in our lifetimes or our kids lifetimes…that’s total horse sh*t, bet on it.  How’s that for knowing.

 And worrying about pacific air in late October…is ridiculous.  And the upcoming pattern doesn’t look zonal that’s for sure.  And mid 50’s for highs with sun and clouds is gorgeous autumn weather…exactly what we have, and as it should be. Loving this weather. 

Haha I didn’t see anyone worrying about ice free Arctic… just discussion.  The WinterWolf time is back… keep everyone in line with a quick show of the teeth.

It has been a nice fall for sure. 

[Torch Tiger]

that was quick 

[CoastalWx]

Ice free sooner than you think. 

[dendrite]

Anger laced with fear

[WinterWolf]

53 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Ice free sooner than you think. 

Not happening. 

[kdxken]

This blows.

[CoastalWx]

26 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Not happening. 

Maybe next year. We just don’t know. 

[ineedsnow]

3 hours ago, jbenedet said:

The trend on the GEFS has been to a much more amplified system with cross stream interaction, albeit with incomplete phasing. Completely lost the progressive look from early yesterday. Also back to a negative tilt over the SE US.
 

GEFS/GFS is in line with other guidance but def hasn’t been leading.

Icon moved west a bit.. Melissa looks to be heading wsw again looking at satellite.. we hope for a miracle

[Torch Tiger]

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

Icon moved west a bit.. Melissa looks to be heading wsw again looking at satellite.. we hope for a miracle

Pray it misses Jamaica way way west. :/

[HIPPYVALLEY]

1 minute ago, Torch Tiger said:

Pray it misses Jamaica way way west. :/

We both know that’s not happening.

[CoastalWx]

10 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Icon moved west a bit.. Melissa looks to be heading wsw again looking at satellite.. we hope for a miracle

There is no miracle. 

[Chrisrotary12]

November 3rd storm might have been interesting if it wasn't getting a swift kick in the rear.

[dendrite]

Chilly evening.

43° and breezy 

[Typhoon Tip]

ping pong balls of objective reality off the brick of denialism

[Hailstoned]

50 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Maybe next year. We just don’t know. 

No cure for bone spur fever.

[Torch Tiger]

58 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

We both know that’s not happening.

weaker? wrench in engine?  hopefully not the max

[Snowcrazed71]

1 hour ago, ineedsnow said:

Icon moved west a bit.. Melissa looks to be heading wsw again looking at satellite.. we hope for a miracle

What kind of miracle? To come here? Did you join blood forces with DIL?? 

[weathafella]

3 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

What kind of miracle? To come here? Did you join blood forces with DIL?? 

Is DIL short for DILLITANTE?

[Torch Tiger]

<3

[ineedsnow]

1 hour ago, Torch Tiger said:

Pray it misses Jamaica way way west. :/

18z HAFS B coming out now.. out to hr 39 and looks like Melissa will end up with a western Jamiaica landfall.. pretty big shift west

[ineedsnow]

HAFS A gets up to 176mph tomorrow afternoon. weakens to 160mph before starting to strengthen again

[ineedsnow]

HAFS B landfalls on western Jamaica 177mph 913mb  yikes

[WxWatcher007]

1 hour ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

November 3rd storm might have been interesting if it wasn't getting a swift kick in the rear.

Preview of winter threats?