Chrisrotary12 Posted October 2, 2025 Share Posted October 2, 2025 How far into this month can I get into this month without turning the heat on? 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 2, 2025 Share Posted October 2, 2025 1 hour ago, kdxken said: No one bites at the nonsense anymore. Must be discouraging. You just did 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 2, 2025 Share Posted October 2, 2025 Wind really picked up. Another NE wind push of cold. Modeled too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 2, 2025 Share Posted October 2, 2025 Won’t get cold here though with this wind off the water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 2, 2025 Share Posted October 2, 2025 Into the 30s before 10pm… it is October after all. Radiators mounting up as it’s 38F at 750ft and 46F above 1,200ft. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 2, 2025 Share Posted October 2, 2025 Radiational cooling a bit meh tonight so plants should be fine in most of W MA. I'm looking forward to the warm, dry weekend! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 2, 2025 Share Posted October 2, 2025 Longer modeled pattern projects pretty dry... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 2, 2025 Share Posted October 2, 2025 Patchy frost this morning.. down to 36 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted October 2, 2025 Share Posted October 2, 2025 Shop Davis station hit 39 /home 40, love this weather. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted October 2, 2025 Share Posted October 2, 2025 31.6° 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jsw Posted October 2, 2025 Share Posted October 2, 2025 Air 31F, dewpoint 31F at 6am. NWS forecast high is 61F, perfect weather for working outside! BTW, I just got a solid lead on a very nice apartment here in Brattleboro, so move to Northampton is on hold indefinitely. It was getting a bit complicated anyway, may as well keep it simple... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted October 2, 2025 Share Posted October 2, 2025 Low of 41 in Westfield this A.M. These temps had my husband racing around bringing plants into the house last night... it's like a nursery now 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 2, 2025 Share Posted October 2, 2025 Breezy all night and 50 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 2, 2025 Share Posted October 2, 2025 Man what a torch coming up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 2, 2025 Share Posted October 2, 2025 Frozen solid this morning with 5+ hours at or below freezing. 30F. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted October 2, 2025 Share Posted October 2, 2025 Low of 41.7 here at WXW1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 2, 2025 Share Posted October 2, 2025 36 fantastic drainage decoupling night. 1K ORH never lower than 44. Big ranges... "fake" cold as the locals often play it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted October 2, 2025 Share Posted October 2, 2025 25.3 this morning, coldest of the season 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 2, 2025 Share Posted October 2, 2025 While it's certainly enough to delay any affectation of seasonal change ... I'm not seeing that the 850 mb/lower thickness intervals as being very excessive - relative to climo. It seems the models are trying to pack most of this late heat spell into the 500 mb heights. Sometimes I wonder if the modelers put coefficient muting factors into the framework. Control run-away excessive scenarios from taking off. Like "synergy" blockers. - just sarcasm. Whatever it is, the 500 mb non-hydrostatic impression alone looks straight up like a streak of days hosting record breaking temperatures... But, the lower troposphere is being held too cool to realize that. In 2020 ( and I think last year too - ), we saw 80F in the first two weeks of November. It's not too late to cook up some heat. Things have to be ideal though this late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted October 2, 2025 Share Posted October 2, 2025 Frosty, 35.2⁰...kids are already asking when it is time to start the first fire...lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 2, 2025 Share Posted October 2, 2025 Oh, I see what's going on. It's the same modeling phenomenon I've been noticing happening during JJA/summers lately for that matter. Guidance et al have this tendency to anchor and stall the surface high pressure right on top of us. Meanwhile +2 or more sigma 500 mb ridges roll over the top... Getting a Bermuda surface ridging actually S of our latitude seems to be a difficult feat by modeling nowadays - at that charm to the climate change till I guess... But the idiosyncratic limitation on heat then kicks in because high right on top, stops proficient mixing. The models don't seem to like doing it from just diurnal overturning alone - they like to have some sort of WSW gradient actively doing the mixing for them. That's probably why we see all the current 80+F prognostic 2-meter temperatures stuck back in the Great Lakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 2, 2025 Share Posted October 2, 2025 All joking aside . I wonder who will hit 90? BDL, Norwood, MHT maybe? Someone will 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 2, 2025 Share Posted October 2, 2025 37.0° with some frozen dew 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 2, 2025 Share Posted October 2, 2025 9 minutes ago, dendrite said: 37.0° with some frozen dew yeah, this description ^ is more so here. I called it frost, but it wasn't the direct crystal condensation variety. The dew on the car tops froze aoa 36. No evidence of grass/ground coverage. Very marginal. So I guess this was the nadir, now we go hugely the other way. If the high really does anchor right on top like the guidance pin then the nights may decouple and favor cold in New England at nights relative to the total synoptics of the GL/OV/NE region. Big diurnals, with some weighting down of afternoon readings. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 2, 2025 Share Posted October 2, 2025 I saw frost on some rooftops. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted October 2, 2025 Share Posted October 2, 2025 Low of 39.4. Looks like 4 days of low 80's around this neck of the woods Saturday-Tuesday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 2, 2025 Share Posted October 2, 2025 54 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: While it's certainly enough to delay any affectation of seasonal change ... I'm not seeing that the 850 mb/lower thickness intervals as being very excessive - relative to climo. It seems the models are trying to pack most of this late heat spell into the 500 mb heights. Sometimes I wonder if the modelers put coefficient muting factors into the framework. Control run-away excessive scenarios from taking off. Like "synergy" blockers. - just sarcasm. Whatever it is, the 500 mb non-hydrostatic impression alone looks straight up like a streak of days hosting record breaking temperatures... But, the lower troposphere is being held too cool to realize that. In 2020 ( and I think last year too - ), we saw 80F in the first two weeks of November. It's not too late to cook up some heat. Things have to be ideal though this late. I was just thinking, is it me or does it seem like the hemisphere as a whole, particularly Arctic latitudes, is very slow to begin the seasonal transition...or maybe its just a bit too early? This next part is better suited for the ENSO thread, but I don't feel good about our prospects for the winter. I guess maybe I'll go throw those thoughts in there shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted October 2, 2025 Share Posted October 2, 2025 29 and frosty this morning, tied with 9/21 for season's coolest. Cat lying in front of the woodstove. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 2, 2025 Share Posted October 2, 2025 5 inches under for the 2025 water year 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 2, 2025 Share Posted October 2, 2025 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Man what a torch coming up. Love it. Keep it up for the next 3 weeks. Cool shots end of month. Pattern change begins the 15th complete by the 21st 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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