August 2025 Summer Thread

[SouthCoastMA]

Guys, if the Euro AI gets the Cane at 354hr wrong, toss it in the dumpster. Twitter guy says so

[kdxken]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

It's hr 354. How is that a colossal failure at that range? Too many Wxidiots on twitter.

On the flip side would you call it a colossal success if it nails it?

[kdxken]

We tried to tell him

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

5 minutes ago, kdxken said:

We tried to tell him

Yup. Today is another one. Anytime the central air is off during the day in Jul or Aug…it is a big win.

[FXWX]

3 hours ago, weatherwiz said:

Right

I'm not so sure though we could ever muster up that much MLCAPE here. I mean that EML progged is about as stout as an EML you'll see really (700-500 lapse rates ~ 8.5-9 C/KM!!!!, and will be atop dews well into the 70's. I think we'll eventually see a moderate risk there. Anyways, when we get EMLs they tend to be on the weakening side and are generally ~7-7.5 C/KM. But I mean how common it has become to push 70+ dews in here (and earlier in the season now) its feasible we could get a setup with MLCAPE maybe pushing 4000-4500. If we ever saw something larger with a legit setup...we may legit blow down like 30% of the trees in the region

Might setoff KevRecho...

[CoastalWx]

39 minutes ago, kdxken said:

On the flip side would you call it a colossal success if it nails it?

No I’d call it lucky haha.

[Typhoon Tip]

2 hours ago, kdxken said:

 

At 300+ hours!?    Mathew is being "grossly" out of line.

Complete bullshit.  No technology has any requirement in that range to be factual with that granularity.   Fact... running these tool out that far is nothing other than entertainment. 

[weathafella]

One of the X replies to Mr. Gross has a handle “Real Alfred E. Neuman”

[weatherwiz]

We’re definitely going to get some hot days upcoming but this week is a slap in the face reminder that change is a comin

[Snowedin]

Another beautiful, smoke-filled day..just magnificent. How many more days of juicy coc can we possibly get?

[Torch Tiger]

18z gfs tropics looking juicy LR

[ineedsnow]

5 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

18z gfs tropics looking juicy LR

media gone wild if this were to happen 

 

[Torch Tiger]

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

media gone wild if this were to happen 

 

Which one's a fish?

[Torch Tiger]

 nice to see la-la land firing up some big 'uns. otherwise it's Stein and HHH talk

[Ginx snewx]

5 hours ago, OceanStWx said:

I mean what is getting rid of 566 out of ~4000 but dismantling? It's been a miserable stretch since February, and I haven't even had it as bad as some other offices.

Thankfully tremendous public support and pressure from Congress has granted us that public safety exemption and the ability to hire back 450 positions. However that is going to come with pretty radical changes to the structure of the NWS as well. What those will be is above my pay grade, but there is more coming (not all bad necessarily).

My general feel for this is that NWS knew budgets weren't ever going to get appreciably bigger. They created a plan to reorganize the operations model. The election happened and DOGE came in with a sledgehammer and forced the NWS to pause reorganization because they lacked the staff to do it the way they had planned. Now based on briefing the right people we have the okay to move forward with reorganization as long as we can get staffing back up. I don't have hard evidence of that, but I have enough pieces of information to put that together.

Just like any organization the reorganization hurts. Cutting fat off the bone is not easy 

[Ginx snewx]

5 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Canning 600 and then hiring 450. What great business. TACO Trump caves again.

Trimming the fat off the bone 

[Torch Tiger]

Sheesh.

[CoastalWx]

27 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Trimming the fat off the bone 

Think you need to trim back those edibles.

[Snowedin]

53 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

Which one's a fish?

They look like one nice set of perky man boobies waiting to strike!

[Go Kart Mozart]

1 hour ago, ineedsnow said:

media gone wild if this were to happen 

 

The last time I saw this....James's novel....

[Typhoon Tip]

You guys are such goobers

First of all if that set up that way to the west system would curve down into Mexico and the east system a curve out to sea. 

So yeah, hopefully the media made a big deal out of a double hit and then that happens

[Go Kart Mozart]

Or there is Skynet, which absolutely wrecks Cuban agriculture across the entire island.

[kdxken]

2 hours ago, Ginx snewx said:

Just like any organization the reorganization hurts. Cutting fat off the bone is not easy 

Unfortunately they usually  cut the bone and leave the fat. Nothing fun about seeing 'ol Bill,  the 30 year DBA being escorted from the building laptop in hand. The one guy who could still read machine code!

[JustinRP37]

1 hour ago, ineedsnow said:

media gone wild if this were to happen 

 

Cuba looks like a crooked nose in between two crazy eyes. Too bad it couldn't be some dumb twin names like Hurricane Bert and Ernie. 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

There are no legit New England hurricane hits on the ensembles.  

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

4 hours ago, Snowedin said:

Another beautiful, smoke-filled day..just magnificent. How many more days of juicy coc can we possibly get?

Open wide and say aaah?