LSC97wxnut Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago Nice little gusty storm here. Doesn't appear to be any hail, but some good CG strikes nearby. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago 2 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Well you're in luck. Of course the RRFS is worse with convection. That's ok nobody cares about the handling of convection in a rapid refresh model anyway Oh wait Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago 2 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Well you're in luck. Of course the RRFS is worse with convection. I have to say...the little time I've started using the RRFS it doesn't seem any better. Not sure how accurate it is but it seems they struggle with convection in these very high PWAT/dewpoint airmasses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago Fast movers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago 4 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I have to say...the little time I've started using the RRFS it doesn't seem any better. Not sure how accurate it is but it seems they struggle with convection in these very high PWAT/dewpoint airmasses. The FV3 core is poor with convection, so they are moving to the MPAS core, but that's going to take some time testing too. It's not strictly a convective model, it's supposed to be short term (60 hr) hi-res guidance to replace the NAM and HRRR at the same time. So it has to handle synoptics well too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago 47 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: well this might actually have a shot at verifying based on the look of the cell over Waterbury Couple of trees down in Waterbury Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago 2 minutes ago, FXWX said: Couple of trees down in Waterbury saw that popup on Radarscope...looks like very close to downtown maybe even the mall area? Wouldn't have wanted to be on that stretch of 84 when those cells were moving through. I'd be shocked if there isn't an accident on the highway there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: saw that popup on Radarscope...looks like very close to downtown maybe even the mall area? Wouldn't have wanted to be on that stretch of 84 when those cells were moving through. I'd be shocked if there isn't an accident on the highway there Got that right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago Not going to be happy if I get the 7/10 middle finger again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdstck Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago Downpour and a little meh wind out of nowhere. Near Eastford Woodstock line...and it's done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago Friend in Belmont had a tree down. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago Onto Sunday threat 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago Meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago 44 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Enjoy the miss, it’s the only miss you got. Just like last year, we get to listen to rumbles to our south all afternoon long Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago Nice downburst near Raynham. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago 23 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: Not going to be happy if I get the 7/10 middle finger again. Based on radar trends, looking less likely we miss. Hopefully we can end this sneaky stein run of late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago 1 hour ago, weatherwiz said: Gotta love dews spiking well into the 70's. Given how easy we seem to get dews like this now I wonder if we can ever time an EML/front with dews like this. I've always been skeptical of whether we would ever see a high risk within the Northeast again but that would probably do the trick. I think we've talked about this.... with the new criteria for high risk, I don't think it is actually possible for New England to have one. Perhaps a perfectly timed approaching derecho? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan63 Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago Nice little storm down this way. Always fun when you hear the thunder before you've had a chance to react to the lightning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago starting to think the East coast might have to watch for something tropical in the August 5th to 9th range 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago A nice, safe 0.05" incoming 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago 6 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: I think we've talked about this.... with the new criteria for high risk, I don't think it is actually possible for New England to have one. Perhaps a perfectly timed approaching derecho? Yeah the only way we'd ever probably see one is with a full fledged derecho, but then again, how often do we ever see SPC go high risk for damaging winds alone? I can't even remember the last time there was a 60% hatched wind area by the SPC lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 8 minutes ago, dendrite said: A nice, safe 0.05" incoming Downpour had like 45 mph winds here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: This will be a srn RI to the canal crusher. AWT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago Just now, CoastalWx said: AWT yeah great. again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago Getting slammed here. Looks like two rounds of heavy stuff for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 3 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: yeah great. again New tstm capitol. Thanks Greta. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheBudMan Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago my lawn is crispy. I am counting on Kevins SevereStormSunday to save my lawn from webbed hands Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago Out on Peaks Isl. Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago Meh, worst looks near EWB/Dartmouth towards SRI. Maybe I can pull. .1 or .2 if lucky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Downpour had like 45 mph winds here Turned into a violent 0.12" 34mph on the Davis so probably 45ish. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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