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February Medium/Long Range Thread


stormtracker
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Just now, Bob Chill said:

If the cmc is the worst outcome I'm still hearing tents getting pitched.

If a partial phase and a turn up the coast is the fail scenario, them I'm definitely onboard.  Would love to be able to take a complete whiff on the phase off the table as a fail option.  

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Just now, WxUSAF said:

If a partial phase and a turn up the coast is the fail scenario, them I'm definitely onboard.  Would love to be able to take a complete whiff on the phase off the table as a fail option.  

Verbatim the narrow stripe is "scary" but given the upper level setup and the history of our area,  it's still a widespread storm and the cmc just burped a little. I can't think of any setups like this (with a turn instead of exit) that didn't cover the area pretty evenly except for the impossible to predict jack stripe.  Basically take the cmc jack and smooth it out westward 75 miles and it looks more typical (imo only)

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If a partial phase and a turn up the coast is the fail scenario, them I'm definitely onboard.  Would love to be able to take a complete whiff on the phase off the table as a fail option.  

6” being the floor at 12z certainly isn’t bad. The past couple of years we all would have literally cried for a 6” storm. Now half the forum is disappointed that every single model doesn’t show 12-24” 4.5 days out lol. Weenies be weenieing
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12 minutes ago, csnavywx said:

100%. Doing my shopping today before people lose their collective minds. Remember the gas, rock salt, matches and cash.

Going to stock up on the hearty ingredients for stews and pot roasts as well. Weather that will keep you parked calls for good, hearty nourishment. Time for pancakes and pot roasts! 

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5 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Ok, I got two camps about the thread.  Do I open Ji's storm thread NOW or wait until 12z tomorrow?  Hit the "100" reaction for now and Trophy cup reaction for tomorrow and I'll move accordingly.   voting closes after the Euro runs.

I say delete JI’s thread and have PSU start the storm thread!

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6 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Ok, I got two camps about the thread.  Do I open Ji's storm thread NOW or wait until 12z tomorrow?  Hit the "100" reaction for now and Trophy cup reaction for tomorrow and I'll move accordingly.   voting closes after the Euro runs.

Let PSU start a new thread for his storm.  Ji brings bad juju.

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3 minutes ago, DDweatherman said:

What you thinking about this threat Chris? Is it a real big dog potential?

Seems legit but a little weary of super huge numbers. Pattern has been progressive, not sure it’s a slow enough mover for 18+. But seems like we all could score a 12-18” incher, the no worries about temps definitely helps 

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