March 2024

[Volcanic Winter]

15 minutes ago, Snowlover11 said:

fun drive into work, it’s already shitty out, you then have people cutting you off for no reason when they have three other lanes to drive in.

Wife just drove home from Metuchen in a deluge complete with typical NJ Parkway driver nonsense. She has bad eyesight and goes slow in the rain at night - in the right lane, always. People were still cutting her off and riding right up on her bumper. 

C’mon guys you have like 7 other lanes to choose from. 

[LongBeachSurfFreak]

2 hours ago, TWCCraig said:

Gusts as high as 46mph at ISP and 50mph at JFK so far

It was roaring in lynbrook earlier. Kind of in a lol

now that the low is closing in. 

[Intensewind002]

42 minutes ago, Snowlover11 said:

fun drive into work, it’s already shitty out, you then have people cutting you off for no reason when they have three other lanes to drive in.

It’s wild how badly people drive when the weather is crappy. It’s like no rules of the road even apply anymore

[Intensewind002]

Up to 1.66” of rain here, road flooding is a bif worse than the last event, probably due to how water logged the ground is.

[psv88]

1.83 back home in Suffolk 

[psv88]

6.47” for march so far…

[winterwx21]

Ended up with 1.53" here. 

[jm1220]

1.9" here. Backyard is a pond/swamp again.

[JerseyWx]

Just about 2" here and still raining.  Had some heavy pockets where it really came down.  Stuck in the upper 30's most of the day.  Doesn't get much worse.

[Rtd208]

Picked up 1.47" of rain for the day yesterday.

[snowman19]

4 hours ago, jm1220 said:

1.9" here. Backyard is a pond/swamp again.

Easily got close to 2 inches up here. Torrential rain last night. It’s been relentless for the last 6 months. My buddy said the sump pump in has cellar hasn’t stopped running since October. The ground and soil is completely saturated, can’t hold anymore water. The rivers, lakes, streams, reservoirs are all at capacity 

[Snowlover11]

certainly dont wanna hear about a drought this summer. we have gotten slammed with rain.

[nycsnow]

High wind watches up 

[snowman19]

6 minutes ago, Snowlover11 said:

certainly dont wanna hear about a drought this summer. we have gotten slammed with rain.

Unfortunately given the ridiculously high soil moisture and ++AMO, I think we are in for a very humid summer. The developing La Niña and continued -PDO alone supports a hot summer and strong WAR/SE ridge

[donsutherland1]

Week ahead numbers: A very warm and generally dry week lies ahead.

[bluewave]

On 3/8/2024 at 11:20 PM, Snowstorms said:

Great post.

There's been a lot of comments about the warmth in the last couple of winters being driven by the -PDO but I don't think so. Just a quick glance at the SST maps can tell you how atypical the current -PDO looks despite a deeply negative anomaly. I believe the period between 1998-2014 was the last time we had a true -PDO phase and it was quite reflective in the Pacific ssts. And we experienced several cold winters in that period especially from 2007-2015. Maybe a strong La Nina may shift those anomalies and also drive down Pacific SST's especially off the coast of Japan and in the WPAC. The warm Atlantic and +AMO don't help us either.

A poleward Aleutian ridge if linked with Atlantic blocking can be beneficial for the east too. It may not be a super cold pattern as the EPO would be neutral, but it would be below normal overall. If I'm not mistaken, we saw that in December 2010. 

Yeah, the subtropical warming especially in the western ocean basins  is more of a climate change signal than a -PDO signal even though both are overlapping. 

https://www.nature.com/articles/s43247-023-00839-w

In this study, we evaluate the ocean warming pattern derived from four decades of satellite measurements. We find widespread strong subtropical ocean warming, concentrating mostly on the western ocean basins. In contrast to these observations, studies of paleoclimate suggest that the greatest ocean warming occurs at higher latitudes. By pairing the observed warming pattern with SST evolution in long-term climate simulations, we propose that the observed warming pattern is constrained by ocean dynamics of surface convergence (downwelling, subtropical gyres) and divergence (upwelling, subpolar gyres) rather than being dominated by internal variabilities, such as the PDO. This pattern emerges only at the early stage (a few decades) of anthropogenic warming when absorption of heat concentrates in the upper ocean. On centennial (for the Northern Pacific Ocean) to millennial (for the North Atlantic Ocean and Southern Hemisphere) timescales, when deep ocean water warms, the greatest ocean warming is expected to occur in the subpolar region, as indicated by paleo-reconstructions and the long-term and equilibrium climate simulations.

 

 

 

 

[MJO812]

49 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

Unfortunately given the ridiculously high soil moisture and ++AMO, I think we are in for a very humid summer. The developing La Niña and continued -PDO alone supports a hot summer and strong WAR/SE ridge

High potential of tropical moisture making it up this way.

[s2sailorlis]

Fairfield, CT 6.8" for the month...   jeesh.  

 

 

 

 

[Yanksfan]

35 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

High potential of tropical moisture making it up this way.

Hate to be callous but if it refuses to snow then bring on the destruction of a cat 3 tropical cyclone instead.

[bluewave]

The warm spots could see a few days this week making it to around 70° or higher. So this should add to the already high departures around +10 so far this month. The average highs will be in the low 50s by around the spring equinox. So the models showing colder for a time would mean upper 40s which isn’t too bad with the higher sun angle.

 

[coastalplainsnowman]

15 minutes ago, Yanksfan said:

Hate to be callous but if it refuses to snow then bring on the destruction of a cat 3 tropical cyclone instead.

The word you're searching for isn't 'callous.' It's something else.  Why not go all in and ask for a cat 5?  Oh wait, that would be ridiculous.

[coastalplainsnowman]

9 hours ago, Intensewind002 said:

It’s wild how badly people drive when the weather is crappy. It’s like no rules of the road even apply anymore

It brings out two types of drivers.  Drivers who think that larger top heavy vehicles should be driven faster than usual in rainy conditions, and drivers who think they should drive 25 in a 55.

On the other hand I'm reminded of / humbled by George Carlin's line: "Have you ever noticed that everyone who drives slower than you is an idiot, and everyone who drives faster than you is a maniac?"

 

 

[ag3]

1.64” on my rain gauge.

Warmth coming Tuesday through Saturday. 60s everyday. 70 degrees possible once or twice also.

[lee59]

Storm total here 2.12 inches and winds to 40mph.

[MANDA]

2.08" rain here last 24 hours.  Temperatures most of that time were in the upper 30's.

Another wet month in progress.  Thankfully a dry and warm week coming up.

[the_other_guy]

57 minutes ago, s2sailorlis said:

Fairfield, CT 6.8" for the month...   jeesh.  

 

 

 

 

Good snowfall for March !

[SACRUS]

 

48 Windy and mostly cloudy although there are some breaks in the clouds and wind gusts to 25 MPH .  Up to 4.50 of rain for the month here.  Drier / warmer Tue - Thu before the next systems approach with more rain later this week into the next weekend.  Beyond that trough into the NE 3/19 for a period.

 

 

[SACRUS]

 

Records:

Highs:


EWR:  82 (2016)
NYC: 79  (2016)
LGA:  78 (2016)


 

Lows:

EWR:  10 (1984)
NYC:  12  (1929)
LGA:  12 (1984)


Historical:

 

1884: John Park Finley issued the first experimental tornado prediction. Finley studied the atmospheric parameters that were present during previous tornadoes. Many of these same criteria are still used by operational forecasters today. But the use of tornado forecasts would be banned just a few years later and remain forbidden until 1952. 

1912 - The barometric pressure reached 29.26 inches at Los Angeles, CA, and 29.46 inches at San Diego CA, setting all-time records for those two locations. (David Ludlum)

1922 - Dodge City, KS, reported a record 24 hour total of 17.5 inches of snow. (The Weather Channel)

 

1986: Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes hit Indiana, Kentucky, and Ohio. A total of 19 tornadoes occurred. Three of the tornadoes in Indiana reached F3 intensity. A densely populated subdivision of Southeast Lexington, Kentucky, was heavily damaged by a tornado. Twenty people were injured, and 900 homes were destroyed or demolished. A very strong thunderstorm downburst hit the Cincinnati area. At the Greater Cincinnati Airport, windows were blown out of the control tower, injuring the six controllers on duty. At Newport, Kentucky, 120 houses were destroyed by winds estimated from 100 to 140 mph.

1987 - Strong northwesterly winds ushered arctic air into the eastern U.S. Gales lashed the middle and northern Atlantic coast. Winds gusted to 50 mph at Manteo NC and Cape Hatteras NC. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - A winter storm produced snow and high winds in the Central Rocky Mountain Region. Snowfall totals in Utah ranged up to 42 inches at Alta, with 36 inches reported at the Brian Head Ski Resort in 24 hours. Winds gusted to 72 mph at La Junta CO and Artesia NM. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Thirty-four cities in the central and southwestern U.S. reported new record high temperatures for the date. The high of 85 degrees at Hanksville UT was a record for March, and Pueblo CO equalled their March record of 86 degrees. Hill City KS warmed from a morning low of 30 degrees to an afternoon high of 89 degrees. (The National Weather Summary)

1990 - Thunderstorms developing along a warm front produced severe weather from southeast Iowa to central Indiana and north central Kentucky. Thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 65 mph at Fort Knox KY, and hail two inches in diameter west of Lebanon IN. Evening thunderstorms over central Oklahoma deluged Guthrie with 4.5 inches of rain. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

2010 - As many as four people are injured, one is killed and homes were damaged in Center Hill and Pearson, AR, by an EF2 tornado.

[SACRUS]

 

Daylight  tody  11H:43M. Roughly equivalent to October 3rd. Sunset 6:58 with the DT change.  

[bluewave]

Warm minimums continue to dominate. The region is currently running +10 to +15 for the beginning of March. This has been the warmest on record for many locations like NYC.

 

Time Series Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Ending Date	Mean Min Temperature Mar 1 to Mar 9	Missing Count
1	2024-03-09	42.2	0
2	2004-03-09	41.9	0
3	1979-03-09	41.7	0
4	1974-03-09	40.4	0
5	1998-03-09	40.0	0