nycwinter Posted October 9, 2023 Share Posted October 9, 2023 wow amazing heat clicked on first time for me as well... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 9, 2023 Share Posted October 9, 2023 This would actually be a good trend if we got it in the winter. Much stronger blocking to the north preventing the primary from cutting to the Lakes. So we get a forced redevelopment to our south. If this was the winter, we would be hoping later runs don’t correct north. New run Old run 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted October 9, 2023 Share Posted October 9, 2023 14 minutes ago, bluewave said: This would actually be a good trend if we got it in the winter. Much stronger blocking to the north preventing the primary from cutting to the Lakes. So we get a forced redevelopment to our south. If this was the winter, we would be hoping later runs don’t correct north. New run Old run What was the setup when we had that October snow event, what was it 2011 now? I remember that being a fairly big deal but details were fuzzy. Just remember driving in snow on my way to a doctor appointment in CNJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 9, 2023 Share Posted October 9, 2023 50 minutes ago, Volcanic Winter said: What was the setup when we had that October snow event, what was it 2011 now? I remember that being a fairly big deal but details were fuzzy. Just remember driving in snow on my way to a doctor appointment in CNJ. Those were the glory days for the Euro when it believe it was the first model to show an unusually early season snowstorm in the Northeast. Even though it was too snowy at the immediate coast, it was still the greatest early season snowstorm on record. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 9, 2023 Share Posted October 9, 2023 7 minutes ago, bluewave said: Those were the glory days for the Euro when it believe it was the first model to show an unusually early season snowstorm in the Northeast. Even though it was too snowy at the immediate coast, the interior sections got their greatest early season snowstorm of all time. One of the biggest disaster in CT history with close to a million w/o power and tree damage-of course the utilities bungled the response which made it all the longer to get power restored. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 9, 2023 Share Posted October 9, 2023 4 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: One of the biggest disaster in CT history with close to a million w/o power and tree damage-of course the utilities bungled the response which made it all the longer to get power restored. Crazy how Sandy was exactly a year later. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted October 9, 2023 Share Posted October 9, 2023 Storm totals for the 10/2011 event 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 9, 2023 Share Posted October 9, 2023 1 hour ago, bluewave said: Those were the glory days for the Euro when it believe it was the first model to show an unusually early season snowstorm in the Northeast. Even though it was too snowy at the immediate coast, it was still the greatest early season snowstorm on record. 5 inches here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted October 9, 2023 Share Posted October 9, 2023 5 hours ago, Dark Star said: However, many times the snow drought was a result of a dome of frigid air. Yeah the 70s and 80s. 90s were a basic all out torch save 3 years. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted October 9, 2023 Share Posted October 9, 2023 21 minutes ago, Tatamy said: Storm totals for the 10/2011 event Yeah I was in Middlesex, about 4 inches matches my recollection well. Crazy some of the higher totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted October 9, 2023 Share Posted October 9, 2023 24 minutes ago, Tatamy said: Storm totals for the 10/2011 event I was in Norwalk CT. 5.5 inches and lost power for 3 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 9, 2023 Share Posted October 9, 2023 19 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Yeah the 70s and 80s. 90s were a basic all out torch save 3 years. The only real winters in the 90s were 93-94 and 95-96. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Will - Rutgers Posted October 9, 2023 Share Posted October 9, 2023 14 minutes ago, Volcanic Winter said: Yeah I was in Middlesex, about 4 inches matches my recollection well. Crazy some of the higher totals. heaviest wettest snow ever 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted October 9, 2023 Share Posted October 9, 2023 The wife broke down and turned the heat on this morning. low of 42 early this morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 9, 2023 Share Posted October 9, 2023 Temperatures will slowly warm starting tomorrow.Readings will generally reach the lower and middle 60s in the northern Mid-Atlantic region and middle and upper 60s across southern New Jersey southward. Looking farther ahead, the probability of a moderate or significant rain and wind storm next weekend has increased. The storm will likely be followed by another round of unseasonably cool air. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.8°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.5°C for the week centered around September 27. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.90°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.58°C. El Niño conditions will likely continue to strengthen into the fall with the current East-based event transitioning to a basinwide El Niño for the upcoming winter. The SOI was -5.87 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.688 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 55% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal October (1991-2020 normal). October will likely finish with a mean temperature near 58.4° (0.5° above normal). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wannabehippie Posted October 9, 2023 Share Posted October 9, 2023 16 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: Temperatures will slowly warm starting tomorrow.Readings will generally reach the lower and middle 60s in the northern Mid-Atlantic region and middle and upper 60s across southern New Jersey southward. Looking farther ahead, the probability of a moderate or significant rain and wind storm next weekend has increased. The storm will likely be followed by another round of unseasonably cool air. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.8°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.5°C for the week centered around September 27. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.90°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.58°C. El Niño conditions will likely continue to strengthen into the fall with the current East-based event transitioning to a basinwide El Niño for the upcoming winter. The SOI was -5.87 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.688 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 55% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal October (1991-2020 normal). October will likely finish with a mean temperature near 58.4° (0.5° above normal). More coastal flooding, plus flash flooding out of this system? The ground right now is absolutely saturated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted October 9, 2023 Share Posted October 9, 2023 2 minutes ago, Wannabehippie said: More coastal flooding, plus flash flooding out of this system? The ground right now is absolutely saturated. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wannabehippie Posted October 9, 2023 Share Posted October 9, 2023 1 minute ago, Dan76 said: Yeah that pretty much answers my question. Oys 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted October 10, 2023 Share Posted October 10, 2023 Another weekend ruined, just awful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 10, 2023 Share Posted October 10, 2023 15 minutes ago, ILoveWinter said: Another weekend ruined, just awful. Meh not a big deal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted October 10, 2023 Share Posted October 10, 2023 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Meh not a big deal It is for my kids! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted October 10, 2023 Share Posted October 10, 2023 16 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Meh not a big deal For a lot of people it hurts birthday and family plans. Not just about you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southbuffalowx Posted October 10, 2023 Share Posted October 10, 2023 51 minutes ago, BoulderWX said: For a lot of people it hurts birthday and family plans. Not just about you. I'm getting married this Saturday Hopefully we can salvage a Saturday this time around! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted October 10, 2023 Share Posted October 10, 2023 58 minutes ago, BoulderWX said: For a lot of people it hurts birthday and family plans. Not just about you. Yeah this is one of the worst fall's in awhile. Just terrible weekend after weekend, which is when most of us would like to actually enjoy the weather and seasonal activities. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 10, 2023 Share Posted October 10, 2023 Looks like 1 to maybe 2" at most over a 24 hour period so hopefully flooding would be minimal 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDemon Posted October 10, 2023 Share Posted October 10, 2023 People are really so heartbroken over rainy weekends. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted October 10, 2023 Share Posted October 10, 2023 2 hours ago, SnowDemon said: People are really so heartbroken over rainy weekends. My wife has a handmade business and does craft fairs 2 or 3 weekends a month. Well, her income has been reduced by 2/3 since June. That hurts. My customers tend to do ~75% of their business on Friday and Saturday, as expected that's taken a solid hit so my income has also been fkd up. At this point it's too late to make any of that back as the outdoor season is winding down so for us at least, it's not just being disappointed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 10, 2023 Share Posted October 10, 2023 5 hours ago, Stormlover74 said: Looks like 1 to maybe 2" at most over a 24 hour period so hopefully flooding would be minimal Yep 0z cut back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 10, 2023 Share Posted October 10, 2023 On 10/2/2023 at 8:16 AM, bluewave said: It’s more impressive if we include all the Friday to Sunday periods going back to June 1st. There were only 2 extended weekends since then with no measurable rainfall in NYC. So NYC went 16 out of 18 extended weekends with a least one day recording measurable rainfall. NYC Friday to Sunday rainfall since June 1st JUN….2-4…0.24 JUN….9-11…0.01 JUN….16-18…0.23 JUN….23-25…0.11 JUL…..30-2….0.58 JUL…..7-9……0.98 JUL…..14-16….1.84 JUL…..21-23….0.15 JUL…..28-30….0.06 AUG…..4-6……T AUG….11-13….0.69 AUG….18-20….0.77 AUG….25-27…0.96 SEP….1-3….0.00 SEP….8-10…1.92 SEP…15-17…0.23 SEP…22-24….2.21 SEP….29-01….5.52 OCT…….6-8…..0.49 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted October 10, 2023 Share Posted October 10, 2023 The next 8 days are averaging 59degs.(54/64) or Normal. Reached 61 here yesterday at 3pm. Today: 63-66, wind w., scattered clouds, 55 tomorrow AM. 54*(80%RH) here at 7am. 56* at 9am. 60* at Noon. Reached 65* at 4pm. 61* at 7pm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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