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southbuffalowx

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Everything posted by southbuffalowx

  1. southbuffalowx
    It's accumulating really well for the temperature. I didn't think it was snowing that hard until I saw my deck. Wish I had thought to put a measuring stick on my deck. Guess I'll have to do a final total in the morning.
  2. southbuffalowx
    Ripping in Poughkeepsie and the heavy band hasn't even reached yet. Eyeballing ~7" on my back deck. There was maybe an inch at 9PM..
  3. southbuffalowx
    I'm getting married this Saturday Hopefully we can salvage a Saturday this time around!
  4. southbuffalowx
    It doesn't make sense to measure the final compacted total and call that the snow total. That wouldn't be representative of the effort put into clearing and maintaining roads, parking lots, driveways etc, if 7 feet fell but compacted into to 4 feet. Thus you need some measurement standard to better represent what actually fell, and that is measuring every 6 hours.
  5. southbuffalowx
    I'm in Poughkeepsie, so I have my eyes on it. I'm worried about any potential tree damage from the heavy wet snow. Would trees in bloom be more prone to damage than bare trees, similar to a snowstorm in October with leaves still on the trees?
  6. southbuffalowx
    Pinging here in Poughkeepsie, not too much freezing rain accretion thankfully
  7. southbuffalowx
    They upped the ice accretion totals for the MHV up to 0.5": * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of a trace to 3 inches and ice accumulations of one tenth to one half of an inch I had no idea they had the latitude to issue a WWA when forecasting up to that much ice. I though the cutoff was 0.25". Given the upgrades that have occurred through the Ohio valley, it seems likely this gets upgraded to ISW once the event begins.
  8. southbuffalowx
    Models have been printing out 0.75-1.25" of ZR liquid across the Ohio valley where ice storm warnings are in place for 0.5"-0.75" of accretion. Using that as a guide to estimate accretion across the mid Hudson valley, it seems like we're on track for a pretty high impact event.
  9. southbuffalowx
    Not including today's temperatures, since they aren't finalized yet, KBUF would need to average 35.8 or warmer for the remainder of December for 2021 to break 2012's record for warmest year. You taking the over or under on that?
  10. southbuffalowx
    Sounds like we work at the same place! No way I'll be making the drive either
  11. southbuffalowx
    For what it's worth, I recall the rgem being spot on for the forecast in Binghamton during the December storm. But it was consistent with that jackpot for 12-24 hours prior. It also did the best job forecasting Buffalo's post Christmas LES storm. It has a pretty good track record.
  12. southbuffalowx
    Apparently the flooding in Montreal is forecast to crest higher than 2017, which means they outflows off Ontario will have to be less than they were around the same time in 2017. Apparently that's causing a (relatively) rapid rise in Ontario's lake level. And interestingly enough lake Erie is at a record high for the month of May right now. Or at least is above the record high average for May, so there could be some discrepancy there. https://www.lre.usace.army.mil/Missions/Great-Lakes-Information/Great-Lakes-Water-Levels/Water-Level-Forecast/Weekly-Great-Lakes-Water-Levels/
  13. southbuffalowx
    The next few days are looking good for me at least in the lower Hudson Valley! The weather has been very boring since I moved here. The 12z Canadian went bonkers on me for next week. I have no idea how this place could handle 3' of snow. I have co-workers leave work as soon as it starts snowing
  14. southbuffalowx
    Not in the area to expect the full blast of the winds, but we do have a high wind warning down here for the night. 60-65 mph they are saying. Seems like some pretty widespread damage reports on the NWS site. I was particularly amused by this one, considering how much every student hates the bookstore
  15. southbuffalowx
    https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G16&sector=cgl&band=GEOCOLOR&length=36 You can really see the frozen lake Erie today. Looks like the southern band should continue pushing north too, and is strengthening. I guess that's why they are leaving the winter storm warnings intact.
  16. southbuffalowx
    GOES 16 Satellite You can see it's become increasingly multi-banded, even as winds shift more to the Southwesterly.
  17. southbuffalowx
    Perhaps, impossible to tell from satellite imagery, but according to this map, the lake is fairly ice covered. I know we found this map to pretty suspect, but there's definitely gotta be a decent ice cover now, regardless of wind or waves. Also maybe more dry air is working in and inhibiting the snow.
  18. southbuffalowx
    If you look at the Cleveland radar and goes satellite, you can see the shifting of the winds to a more southerly component. Should allow a more intense single band to develop. But really who knows lol
  19. southbuffalowx
    Man I swear whatever snow you get I get. Just measured and cleared off my board and I'm up to 8.7" as well. This snow hole definitely blows. I'd be more than happy with a storm total of 12" now.
  20. southbuffalowx
    Remain separate for several hours, leaving a snow hole in West Seneca and South Buffalo. Then they will combine, intensify and move further into the Southtowns, transitioning right through us lol
  21. southbuffalowx
    You guys in the northtowns with the 20"+ total need to report your snow to the weather service! Would hate for those high snowfall amounts to get unrecognized when they write up the report on the storms later this winter.
  22. southbuffalowx
    I don't think that's actually an area where it isn't snowing, just an artifact of the radar. I'm sure someone can give a more detailed reason for it's occurrence, but it always seems to be there
  23. southbuffalowx
    Looks like we'll have a tough time getting in on the action in South Buffalo, so I'm gonna call it a night. Hopefully that southern edge finds it's way over us when the band settles
  24. southbuffalowx
    Yeah, I was doing some research for determining snowfall ratios in very cold temperatures like this storm. Those 30:1 ratios the kuchera maps show ain't gonna happen, as weatherporn as it may be lol
  25. southbuffalowx
    Last night was very cold and calm, so I'm guessing that aided ice growth a lot. That being said, that would mean much of the ice is very thin, so if that's the case, maybe it won't have much affect at all. It's still interesting to note, nonetheless
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