July 2023

[WestBabylonWeather]

Picture perfect day. Eisenhower park. Couldn’t be better. Weather cannot be topped today


.

[gravitylover]

33 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Euro keeps it NYC and S and W   LI and CT never get into it...

Perfect

[Allsnow]

43 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Euro keeps it NYC and S and W   LI and CT never get into it...

A week away? 

[Allsnow]

3 minutes ago, bluewave said:

The extreme heat has really been hugging the southern tier this month. Be interesting to see if the heat stops in the NJ 78-80 corridor or it comes further north in later runs. 

 

 

Looks like a nice cool shot to start August 

[donsutherland1]

Tomorrow will be fair and warmer. There is some potential for the development of a heatwave in the northern Mid-Atlantic region during the second half of next week.

An extreme heat event continues to grip the Southwest. Salt Lake City, which reached 105° so far today, could make a run at its all-time high temperature tomorrow.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.1°C for the week centered around July 12. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.80°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.97°C. El Niño conditions have developed and will likely continue to strengthen through at least the summer. The probability of an East-based El Niño event has increased.

The SOI was -10.16 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.894 today.

On July 20 the MJO was in Phase 2 at an amplitude of 0.037 (RMM). The July 19-adjusted amplitude was 0.252 (RMM).

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 91% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 79.4° (1.9° above normal).

 

[dWave]

8 hours ago, dmillz25 said:

Wasn’t it Christmas eve that year that it was 75 degrees? I remember being in a shirt going to a family event 

Yeah many warm memories from that crazy month. I remember riding my bike from the Bronx to Astoria in a t shirt and shorts just before Christmas. 

[JustinRP37]

1 hour ago, Allsnow said:

Looks like a nice cool shot to start August 

“Cool shot” now is average based on the models I’m seeing. Days like today cannot be beat but ending just a hair below the average for the day. 

[Allsnow]

Last time phl hit 100 

 

 

[MJO812]

6 hours ago, Allsnow said:

Looks like another struggle snowfall wise this winter 

Yep a long range forecast from July will pan out. 

People never learn from past long range outlooks. 

[Allsnow]

34 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Last time phl hit 100 

 

 

Imagine all the climate posts this would trigger if it were  to happen again? This is more then a few towns around ewr hitting 100 

[doncat]

45 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Last time phl hit 100 

 

 

104° at my station...my hottest on record.

[SACRUS]

 

 

7/22

EWR: 87
TeB: 86
JFK: 86
BLM: 85
PHL: 85
NYC: 85
New Brnswck; 84
LGA: 84
ISP: 84
ACY: 84
TTN: 82

 

[SACRUS]

 

 

http://www.swellmatrix.com/sst/sst-northeast8day.png    

 

[psv88]

Top 10 day. Incredible day on the water. Nice to not worry about rain for a change 

[lee59]

Hit 86 here today, now down to 68. Some suburbs already approaching 60 but the UHI in full effect with Central Park and Newark in the upper 70s

[Rjay]

72 here. Beautiful night actually. 

[Rjay]

1 hour ago, lee59 said:

Hit 86 here today, now down to 68. Some suburbs already approaching 60 but the UHI in full effect with Central Park and Newark in the upper 70s

73 at FRG

[Rjay]

The 62 at POU seems nice though too

[NorthShoreWx]

66 here 1:28am

[bkviking]

2 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said:

66 here 1:28am

Same here up the block from you here  in Smithtown.  64° DewPoint to go with that as good as we’ve had it this summer. 

[CIK62]

The next 8 days are averaging   82degs.(72/93) or +4.

Month to date is   79.2[+1.8].       Should be    80.0[+2.4] by the 31st.

Reached 88 here yesterday.

Today:   85-90, wind w., few clouds, 73 tomorrow AM.

74*(65%RH) here at 7am{was 73 earlier}.     78* at 9am.      79* at Noon.      81* at 1pm.    Reached 86* at 3pm.    down to  82* at 4pm.      81* at 6pm.    78* at 9pm.

[steve392]

61 degree's out and absolutely gorgeous out.

[Rtd208]

High for the day yesterday was 87 here.

Overnight low of 61

Current temp 70/DP 61/RH 76%

[the_other_guy]

65F and perfect!

[psv88]

61 this morning. Slept on the boat and it was refreshing 

[Juliancolton]

Low 53

[IrishRob17]

43 minutes ago, Juliancolton said:

Low 53

Wish we lived there, only 58 here

[SACRUS]

81 / 60 with another gorgeous summer day on tap.  Party to mostly sunny warm upper 80s and a ew stray 90 readings.   Next 48 hours are less humid, warm near normal through Tue (7/25)  mid and upper 80s some hot spots could get to 90 to jump start heat legnth.

Wed (7/26) the Western Atlantic ridge retros back and pumps heights, splits the trough and brings a more steamy sw flow and start of the seasons hottest period so far with widespread 90s, could be some storms and clouds with transition.  By Thu (7/27) strong heat from the western ridge is pushing east 850 MB temps >16c approaching >18c Fri (7/28) and near 20c Sat (7/29).  The Western Atl Ridge contracts a bit by next Sat / Sun (7/30) with storms but still overall hot with storm chances to close the month and open next.

Beyond into next month looks ovrall warm to start, more humid and similar to earlier in July, storm chances with strong ridge into the west and trough into the GL/NE.  The Western Atlantic ridge pulsing back west later in the period.  Tropics to be watched SE.

 

  

[rclab]

 

Good morning everyone. CPK managed to drop 13 degrees (82 - 69) in 10 hours between 18:51 and 04:51. Stay well all, as always.

[SACRUS]

Records:

 

Highs:

EWR: 102 (2011) - and that day was mainly cloudy if i recall right
NYC: 100 (2011)
LGA: 100 (1955)


Lows:

 

EWR: 55 (1939)
NYC: 58 (1890) 6th record low in July for that year 1890 - would love to see the monthly total averages
LGA: 59 (1992)

 

Historical:

 

1788 - A weather diary kept by George Washington recorded that the center of a hurricane passed directly over his Mount Vernon home. The hurricane crossed eastern North Carolina and Virginia before moving into the Central Appalachians. Norfolk, VA, reported houses destroyed, trees uprooted, and crops leveled to the ground. (David Ludlum)

1788: Called the George Washington's Hurricane, this storm originated near Bermuda on the 19th before making landfall in Virginia. It passed directly over the Lower Chesapeake Bay and Mount Vernon, the home of George Washington. This track is very similar to the path of the Chesapeake-Potomac hurricane of 1933. At Norfolk, winds increased at 5 p.m. on the 23rd with the wind originating from the northeast. At 12:30 a.m., the wind suddenly shifted to the south and "blew a perfect hurricane, tearing down chimneys, fences"...some corn was also leveled. Also, large trees were uprooted, and houses were moved from their foundations.

Port Royal and Hobb's Hole experienced a violent northeast gale which drove several vessels ashore. In Fredricksburg, vast quantities of corn, tobacco, and fruit were destroyed. Houses and trees fell in significant numbers across Northumberland, Lancaster, Richmond, and Westmoreland counties. Crops were destroyed, and many livestock perished in Lower Mathews County. Many plantations saw their houses leveled. Homes were flooded with water six feet deep, and several inhabitants drowned.

Historical figures of the time logged the storm's antics. George Washington noted the sinking of the small ship Federalist and uprooted trees. Colonel James Madison, the father of the future president, experienced the passing of great winds and rains near Orange. In Alexandria, damage to wheat, tobacco, and corn was "beyond description."  The information above is from the Weather Prediction Center and noted American historian David Ludlum.

1898 - A two hour thunderstorm deluged Atlanta, GA, with 4.32 inches of rain. More than a foot of water flooded Union Depot. Many street car motors burned out while trying to run through flooded streets. It grew so dark before the afternoon storm that gas lights were needed. (The Weather Channel)

1923 - Sheridan, WY, was drenched with 4.41 inches of rain, an all-time 24 hour record for that location. Associated flooding washed out 20 miles of railroad track. (22nd-23rd) (The Weather Channel)

1987 - Thunderstorms produced a record ten inches of rain in six and a half hours at Minneapolis, MN, including 5.26 inches in two hours. Flash flooding claimed two lives and caused 21.3 million dollars damage. Streets in Minneapolis became rushing rivers, parking lots became lakes, and storm sewers spouted like geysers. A tornado hit Maple Grove, MN, causing five million dollars damage. Baseball size hail was reported at Olivia, MN. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather in Lower Michigan and northern Ohio, over eastern sections of the Dakotas, and over the Central High Plains Region. Showers and thunderstorms soaked Wilmington, NC, with another two inches of rain, following six and a half inches the previous day. (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - Morning thunderstorms in the central U.S. drenched central Oklahoma with up to six inches of rain. Afternoon thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 85 mph at Fort Smith, AR. Evening thunderstorms over Florida spawned a tornado which touched down three times in south Fort Myers causing nearly three quarters of a million dollars damage. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)