June 2023

[MJO812]

Way too humid outside 

[forkyfork]

i hope the dewpoint stays above 70 through christmas 

[LongBeachSurfFreak]

It’s so foggy at Jones beach currently we had to prevent swimming. High dews traveling over still relatively cool water. 

[jets]

Waters will rebound nicely with the higher humidity 

[donsutherland1]

An extended period of generally cooler than normal temperatures is ongoing. No return to summerlike heat is likely through the remainder of June.

Unsettled weather will likely continue through Tuesday. The temperature will approach seasonable levels tomorrow before cooling slightly. It will be humid with scattered showers and thundershowers.

Parts of Texas remain in the midst of an extreme heat event. High temperatures through 5 pm CDT included:

Austin: 102°
Brownsville: 98°
Corpus Christi: 98° (tied record set in 1990 and tied in 2009 and 2012)
Cotulla: 108° (old record: 107°, 2022)
Del Rio: 107° (old record: 106°, 2018) ***7th consecutive record high***
Houston: 96°
Junction: 102°
Laredo: 107°
McAllen: 102°
San Angelo: 108° (old record: 107°, 1911, 1928, and 2018)
San Antonio: 102° (tied record set in 1994 and tied in 2009)
Victoria: 107°
Zapata: 107° (tied record set in 1969)

At present, there is little indication that this heat will move into the Middle Atlantic and southern New England regions.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.7°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.9°C for the week centered around June 14. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.28°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.67°C. El Niño conditions have developed and will likely continue to strengthen through at least the summer.

The SOI was +5.27 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.665 today.

On June 22 the MJO was in Phase 1 at an amplitude of 1.520 (RMM). The June 21-adjusted amplitude was 1.207 (RMM).

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 97% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal June (1991-2020 normal). June will likely finish with a mean temperature near 70.1° (1.7° below normal).

 

[Rtd208]

1 hour ago, forkyfork said:

i hope the dewpoint stays above 70 through christmas 

 

[winterwx21]

Three days into this pattern with rain chances, and only .23 of rain so far here. Hopefully we'll have better luck the next several days. 

[gravitylover]

6 hours ago, wishcast_hater said:

Soaking rains just ended up here in Dutchess. We needed this.
On a side note we are under attack from caterpillars this season. Oak trees and birch trees are literally stripped bare.


.

I was wondering what's going on. I drive through at least once a week and the forest looks more haggard in sections of Dutchess and Columbia than anywhere else in the entire region. There are places where it looks like March not June. 

[psv88]

No rain since early this morning. Beautiful day otherwise

[Pequest]

Nice little storm still going over northern Hunterdon southern Warren Counties at this hour. I think I'm on the northern fringe of it but still getting some incredible lightning and house shaking thunder. 

https://radar.weather.gov/station/KDIX/standard

[nj08822]

Torrential downpours and lightning in Easton PA area last couple hours.

[SACRUS]

6/24

 

 

New Brnswck: 84
TEB: 83
ACY: 83
EWR: 82
PHL: 82
TTN: 82
BLM: 80
LGA: 80
NYC: 78
JFK: 76
ISP: 75

[Stormlover74]

2 hours ago, winterwx21 said:

Three days into this pattern with rain chances, and only .23 of rain so far here. Hopefully we'll have better luck the next several days. 

Starting Monday hopefully 

[wishcast_hater]

I was wondering what's going on. I drive through at least once a week and the forest looks more haggard in sections of Dutchess and Columbia than anywhere else in the entire region. There are places where it looks like March not June. 

It’s God awful. I can’t even enjoy my patio as caterpillar feces rain down constantly. It literally sounds as it’s raining outside. Once it does rain, the poop expands 4 times the size and creates a brown mess all over the driveway, patio and cars. I power washed 4 times this past week. Everything is stained. Supposedly this is coming to and end as they all turn to Gypsy moths in the next week. This has been going on since May.


.

[Pequest]

49 minutes ago, nj08822 said:

Torrential downpours and lightning in Easton PA area last couple hours.

House struck by lightning in Harmony Twp (Warren County) shortly after 9pm tonight. That lightning and thunder was ridiculous. 

Picked up 0.68" of rain for today so far. 

[rclab]

Good evening everyone. Two day total, so far, for CPK .11. Stay well, as always ….

 

[LongBeachSurfFreak]

10 minutes ago, rclab said:

Good evening everyone. Two day total, so far, for CPK .11. Stay well, as always ….

 

Exactly. The ultimate screw zone. As a result I was questioned by my boss why I was still watering Friday on campus. (Facilities director) He wanted the system shut off due to the forecast for so much rain.  I said umm when in drought expect drought. I was hoping the whole time he would be right and I would be wrong. I was right….. Having both a passion for horticulture and meteorology (I don’t have the math ability to peruse a career in meteorology) I am very well set to feel the needs of the gardens I maintain. And they are  the best in the whole city 

[Nibor]

I can feel the air. I almost forgot this was a thing. I very much dislike this. 

[psv88]

Tomorrow looks to be the driest day of the next week…

[SRRTA22]

1 hour ago, Nibor said:

I can feel the air. I almost forgot this was a thing. I very much dislike this. 

Lol no one likes this , these grown ass men like to troll and say they like it but they don't step a foot outside in 90/70. 

[Roger Smith]

 

These stats show that June 2023 is likely to finish near the bottom of the table in terms of an increase in mean temperature January to June. The current mean is around 69.0 and seems destined to reach a value just around or slightly above 70, meanwhile 70.8 will tie with 1932 as smallest increase as shown, so any value below 70.8 will set a new record in terms of a small increase from Jan to June. 

For NYC, these are the bottom twenty increases in average temperature from January to June : 

YEAR ___ JAN _____ JUN _____ incr _______ to tie 2023 (43.5) needs June at

1932 ____ 43.2 ____ 70.5 ____ 27.3 _____________ 70.8

1950 ____ 41.4 ____ 70.3 ____ 28.9 _____________ 72.4

1998 ____ 40.0 ____ 69.2 ____ 29.2 ____________ 72.7

1913 ____ 40.8 ____ 70.5 ____ 29.7 ____________ 73.2

1916 ____ 36.0 ____ 65.7 ____ 29.7 ____________ 73.2

2006 ____ 40.9 ____ 71.0 ____ 30.1

1990 ____ 41.4 ____ 72.1 ____ 30.7

1947 ____ 37.2 ____ 68.4 ____ 31.2

2002 ____ 39.9 ____ 71.4 ____ 31.5

1937 ____ 40.2 ____ 71.8 ____ 31.6 

1933 ____ 40.3 ____ 72.4 ____ 32.1

1890 ____ 37.6 ____ 70.1 ____ 32.5

1972 ____ 35.1 ____ 67.9 ____ 32.8

1975 ____ 37.3 ____ 70.5 ____ 33.2

1951 ____ 36.5 ____ 69.8 ____ 33.3 

1928 ____ 34.0 ____ 67.4 ____ 33.4

1911 ____ 36.3 ____ 69.8 ____ 33.5

1915 ____ 34.5 ____ 68.0 ____ 33.5

1907 ____ 34.9 ____ 68.6 ____ 33.7

1974 ____ 35.3 ____ 69.0 ____ 33.7

2012 ____ 37.3 _____71.0 ____ 33.7

1903 ____ 30.4 ____ 64.2 ____ 33.8

2007 ____ 37.5 ____ 71.4 ____ 33.9

2017 ____ 38.0 ____ 72.0 ____ 34.0

 

[CIK62]

The last 6 days of June is averaging     75degs.(67/84) or near Normal.

Month to date is    68.8[-2.4].      June should end at 70.0[-1.8].

Reached 82 here yesterday at 7pm.

Today:    79-84, wind w. to n. to e., variable clouds, Rain PM?, 70 tomorrow AM.

71*(99%RH) here at 7am{70 at 6am}     74* at Noon.     71* at 1pm.       Reached 85* at 6pm.

[Allsnow]

12 hours ago, winterwx21 said:

Three days into this pattern with rain chances, and only .23 of rain so far here. Hopefully we'll have better luck the next several days. 

 

10 hours ago, Stormlover74 said:

Starting Monday hopefully 

Missing in every direction yesterday. I was in southern Monmouth county yesterday and they got slammed 

[Rtd208]

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html

[Rtd208]

Very warm and muggy morning out there.

Current remp 80/DP 71/RH 74%

[SACRUS]

 

78 / 68 here.  Sun out.  The tropical style pattern continues and when its sunny its very warm (mid / upper 80s) and when storms go they will be slow moving soakers.  Mon (6/26) - Tue (6/27) look to feature the highest rain / storm concentration.  Wed could be similar to today with Thu (6/29) and Fri (6/30) more frequent storms.  Overall still think the area will get >2 inches of rain with spots to >5 inches under the heaviest rains.  Overall warm / steamy (humid dewpoints upper 60s - low 70s). Rockies / TX /OK Ridge firing rounds of strong heat up and out.

Holiday weekend flow comes around more S Westerly and while storm chances remain it will be less widespread and higher heat potential as indications of the stonger heat nearby with >18c 850s near by.  7/1 - 7/4 looks warm and storm chances 7/1-7/2 with a drier summer(ier) 7/3 and July fourth.

 

Western Atlantic ridge on the move west to open July first pushing into the Southeast,  then more Bermuda postion potentially which could setup a more sustained warm pattern but look for storms and rain chances / humidity to linger Hazy maybe hot (when sunny) and humid.  

6/24

 

 

[SACRUS]

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 100 (1943)
NYC: 99 (1952)
LGA: 99 (1952)

Lows:

 

EWR: 53 (1932)
NYC: 53 (1873)
LGA: 55 (1940)

 

Historical:

 

1749 - A general fast was called on account of drought in Massachusetts. It was the year of the famous dry spring in which fields and villages burned. (David Ludlum)

1925 - The mercury hit 101 degrees at Portland, OR, their earliest 100 degree reading of record. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders)

1953 - The temperature at Anchorage soared to 86 degrees, their hottest reading of record. (The Weather Channel)

 

1957: Hurricane Audrey moved northward, slowly strengthening until the 26th. At that time, a strong upper-level trough led to its acceleration and the hurricane deepened rapidly on its final approach to the Texas/Louisiana border. Audrey became the strongest hurricane on record for June upon landfall, as it reached category four strength. Its acceleration was unanticipated, and despite hurricane warnings in place, 418 people perished in the storm, mainly across southwest Louisiana.

1987 - Afternoon highs of 97 degrees at Miami, FL, 107 degrees at Medford, OR, and 111 degrees at Redding CA were new records for the date. It was the third of six straight days of record heat for Miami. Thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 70 mph at Austin, and gusts to 75 mph at Tulsa OK. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Fifty-two cities in the central and eastern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. Highs of 100 degrees at Erie, PA, and 104 degrees at Cleveland OH established all- time records for those two locations. Highs of 101 degrees at Flint, MI, 105 degrees at Chicago, IL, and 106 degrees at Fort Wayne, IN, equalled all-time records. Thunderstorms in Idaho produced wind gusts to 100 mph west of Bliss and north of Crouch, injuring 29 persons. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Tropical depression Allison, the remnants of what was earlier Cosme (a hurricane over the Pacific Ocean which dissipated as it crossed northern Mexico), began to spread heavy rain into southeast Texas and southwest Louisiana. (The National Weather Summary)

[Stormlover74]

First crystal clear day in weeks

[rclab]

9 hours ago, SRRTA22 said:

Lol no one likes this , these grown ass men like to troll and say they like it but they don't step a foot outside in 90/70. 

Good morning SPRTA22. “Grown ass men”, of course, is a supposition. Stay well, as always …..

[Snowlover11]

32 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

First crystal clear day in weeks

you must live in a different part of the world, overcast and humid here.