Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    19,014
    Total Members
    49,013
    Most Online
    loganboehmewx
    Newest Member
    loganboehmewx
    Joined

Extended summer stormlover74 future snow hole banter thread 23


BxEngine
 Share

Recommended Posts

1 hour ago, Will - Rutgers said:

no idea how we evolved to have allergies i am ready to kill myself and end the bloodline

Don’t do it Will. It will only leave the rest of us sneezing and snorting in memoriam. Stay well and hopefully/eventually sinus dry. As always ….

Link to comment
Share on other sites

14 hours ago, Will - Rutgers said:

no idea how we evolved to have allergies i am ready to kill myself and end the bloodline

No need.

Just wear a P100 mask, you'll at least breather easier. In these post Covid days, you'll simply appear prudent.

No claims though that your eyes will be any less irritated.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Saw this on Upton's page:

Thank you for taking time to provide feedback on how we can improve our messaging! The National Weather Service (NWS) currently uses “Watch”, “Warning”, and “Advisory” headlines to alert the public of weather and water hazards. 

The NWS Hazard Simplification (Haz Simp) project has conducted extensive research on how we might improve our alerting system. In 2021, based on this research and feedback from our partners and public, the NWS decided to replace the “Advisory” headline in favor of plain language headlines. An example is shown below. NOTE: This change will not be made before 2025. 

Current Winter Weather Advisory headline: ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 8 PM EST...

Future plain language headline: ...SNOW: Hazardous travel in snow and blowing snow from 9 AM to 8 PM EST...

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

26 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Saw this on Upton's page:

Thank you for taking time to provide feedback on how we can improve our messaging! The National Weather Service (NWS) currently uses “Watch”, “Warning”, and “Advisory” headlines to alert the public of weather and water hazards. 

The NWS Hazard Simplification (Haz Simp) project has conducted extensive research on how we might improve our alerting system. In 2021, based on this research and feedback from our partners and public, the NWS decided to replace the “Advisory” headline in favor of plain language headlines. An example is shown below. NOTE: This change will not be made before 2025. 

Current Winter Weather Advisory headline: ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 8 PM EST...

Future plain language headline: ...SNOW: Hazardous travel in snow and blowing snow from 9 AM to 8 PM EST...

I look forward to future simplification of headlines. HURRICANE GO WOOSH

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

I expect another above average summer. It's almost impossible to have a below average one nowadays. 2014 was "cool" but really lacked any significant heat. 2009 was the last real cool summer around here. Every year since then has been near average to above average. When in doubt, you could always go above average and you'll be right more often than wrong. FWIW, Euro seasonal and weeklies have a ridge building over the central US come July with cooler than normal temps to our NE. Interested to see if this verifies, or just model noise.

ecmwf-weeklies-avg-namer-t850_anom-8774400.thumb.png.eef34f8a54178823f47abed50bcababd.png

Link to comment
Share on other sites

A reminder to the usual crew that June temperature forecast contest deadline approaches. Also a general notice to NYC members that a seasonal hurricane season contest is open for entries to June 4th in the tropical forum. 

 

Link at

http://www.americanwx.com/bb/topic/59183-2023-north-atlantic-hurricane-forecast-contest-enter-by-june-4th/

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Summer has barely begun and Joe Bastardi is forecasting a cold and snowy Winter 2023-2024. His key assumption is that the evolving El Niño event will be a Modoki El Niño. Modoki events feature warm Region 3.4 anomalies and cold Region 1+2 anomalies. The latest ECMWF forecast calls for a basin-wide El Niño. At this time, it is far too soon to be sure about ENSO details (type and strength) other than the idea that an El Niño event will very likely develop. Seasonal forecasts typically have low skill, particularly when it comes to snowfall. Seasonal forecasts (modeling and forecaster) at this range do not have skill.

image.png.c80345f492a10e9567de29601cc8e2e1.png

image.png.84b5450e5bb5ad891b1129b55b01c27b.png

 

  • Like 1
  • Thanks 1
  • Haha 3
  • Sad 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 hours ago, IrishRob17 said:

Oh, someone has jokes I see! Thanks, I’m 21… with 30 year’s experience. 

Happy Birthday Rob. May you and your love be quality active while you enjoy the celebration of  the tri-centennial,  in the decade of your golden anniversary.  Oh, and I have 55 years experience. As always ….

  • Like 1
  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

10 hours ago, IrishRob17 said:

Oh, someone has jokes I see! Thanks, I’m 21… with 30 year’s experience. 

14 with 42 :) although I should probably say 18 with 38 so I'm old enough to drink. 

4 hours ago, rclab said:

Happy Birthday Rob. May you and your love be quality active while you enjoy the celebration of  the tri-centennial,  in the decade of your golden anniversary.  Oh, and I have 55 years experience. As always ….

Showoff

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...