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April 2023


Rtd208
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10 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

Now a nice steady moderate rain. Glad the vegetable garden is getting a good soaking this evening. 

Same here. I don’t need 3-4 inches in a hour. This is best currently. Everything looks to be moving towards nyc 

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Mostly light to periodically brief heavy rain on and off all afternoon along with hours of scattered lightening and thunder.  Rain gauge only registered 0.75" so far which seems accurate as the most intense cells skipped just west of us.  Rainfall totals are much more impressive to the west in a line from Hunterdon County up through High Point State Park.

It looks like things are calming down.  Haven't heard thunder now in over a half hour and radar is showing less intensity.

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The next 8 days are averaging     60degs.(53/68) or +4.

Month to date is     59.6[+8.8].      Should be     59.8[+7.1] by the 24th.   If the second half of April just averages Normal, 56.4, this will be the warmest April ever.

Reached 70 yesterday at 3pm.

Today:    63-68, wind e. to s., cloudy, 55 tomorrow AM.

58*(93%RH) here at 7am- variable fog{was 56 overnight}     61* at 9am.     62* at 10am.       65* at 2pm.      66* at 3pm.     58* at 7pm-basically in and out of some fog all day, like yesterday.       55* at 11pm.

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0.20 in the bucket here in CNJ, missed the much heavier rains to the north by 5-10 miles.  58 and now 60.  Low clouds will be slow to urn but should be full sun by the afternoon and shoot temps to near / low 70s.  Front comes through Mon (4/17) with more showers before a cooler Tue (4/18) and Wed (4/19).   Brief warm up Thu (4/20) - Fri (4/21) and with full sun perhaps a stray 80 or so.  Next front and chance for rain comes next weekend Sat (4/22).  Cooler period 4/23 - 4/27 overall last 10 days near normal.  Not looking very wet overall either.  Strong warmth looks to subside outside warmer days Thu/FRo this week for a week or so.

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4 hours ago, Volcanic Winter said:

Yup, I had next to no rain at all. We seemed to suck on virga for a bit and things got damp, but no measurable rain fell.
 

Definitely feels like we’re starting to dry out around here. 

same here a couple one hundreths of an inch then some drizzle.   

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Following four consecutive 80° or above days, Madison is about to see 2"-5" of snow overnight into tomorrow. Should measurable snowfall be recorded today, that would be the first time Madison has ever seen measurable snowfall one day after an 80° or above reading. Madison has had 3 measurable snowfalls two days after such a temperature: April 2, 1978: 0.5", October 23, 1979: 0.2", and April 9, 1991: 0.5".

No such wintry weather is likely anytime soon in the northern Mid-Atlantic region. However, it will turn briefly cooler this week.

Tomorrow will be another mild day, but a brief shot of much cooler air will follow. Tuesday may see the temperature stay in the 50s in New York City and struggle to reach the lower 60s in Philadelphia. Milder air will then follow, but a more sustained cool period could develop next weekend.

April 2023 remains on a trajectory that will likely rank it among the 10 warmest Aprils on record in the northern Middle Atlantic region. A cool end to the month won't be sufficient to avoid top 10 warmth.

The most recent April case to rank among the 10 warmest was:

Boston: 51.7°, 2019 (5th warmest)
Bridgeport: 54.0°, 2017 (1st warmest)
Islip: 51.9°, 2019 (6th warmest)
New Haven: 50.8°, 2022 (6th warmest)
New York City-Central Park: 57.2°, 2017 (2nd warmest)
New York City-JFK Airport: 55.1°, 2017 (2nd warmest)
New York City-LaGuardia Airport: 57.6°, 2017 (2nd warmest)
Newark: 57.2°, 2017 (4th warmest)
Philadelphia: 59.0°, 2019 (3rd warmest)
Poughkeepsie: 53.0°, 2017 (3rd warmest)
White Plains: 53.9°, 2017 (2nd warmest)

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.7°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.0°C for the week centered around April 5. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.77°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.03°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely prevail through at least mid-spring. El Niño conditions will likely develop during the summer.

The SOI was -12.40 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.848 today.

On April 14 the MJO was in Phase 7 at an amplitude of 1.657 (RMM). The April 13-adjusted amplitude was 1.854 (RMM).

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 95% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal April (1991-2020 normal). April will likely finish with a mean temperature near 57.6° (3.9° above normal). That would rank as the second warmest April on record.

 

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23 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

Following four consecutive 80° or above days, Madison is about to see 2"-5" of snow overnight into tomorrow. Should measurable snowfall be recorded today, that would be the first time Madison has ever seen measurable snowfall one day after an 80° or above reading. Madison has had 3 measurable snowfalls two days after such a temperature: April 2, 1978: 0.5", October 23, 1979: 0.2", and April 9, 1991: 0.5".

No such wintry weather is likely anytime soon in the northern Mid-Atlantic region. However, it will turn briefly cooler this week.

Tomorrow will be another mild day, but a brief shot of much cooler air will follow. Tuesday may see the temperature stay in the 50s in New York City and struggle to reach the lower 60s in Philadelphia. Milder air will then follow, but a more sustained cool period could develop next weekend.

April 2023 remains on a trajectory that will likely rank it among the 10 warmest Aprils on record in the northern Middle Atlantic region. A cool end to the month won't be sufficient to avoid top 10 warmth.

The most recent April case to rank among the 10 warmest was:

Boston: 51.7°, 2019 (5th warmest)
Bridgeport: 54.0°, 2017 (1st warmest)
Islip: 51.9°, 2019 (6th warmest)
New Haven: 50.8°, 2022 (6th warmest)
New York City-Central Park: 57.2°, 2017 (2nd warmest)
New York City-JFK Airport: 55.1°, 2017 (2nd warmest)
New York City-LaGuardia Airport: 57.6°, 2017 (2nd warmest)
Newark: 57.2°, 2017 (4th warmest)
Philadelphia: 59.0°, 2019 (3rd warmest)
Poughkeepsie: 53.0°, 2017 (3rd warmest)
White Plains: 53.9°, 2017 (2nd warmest)

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.7°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.0°C for the week centered around April 5. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.77°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.03°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely prevail through at least mid-spring. El Niño conditions will likely develop during the summer.

The SOI was -12.40 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.848 today.

On April 14 the MJO was in Phase 7 at an amplitude of 1.657 (RMM). The April 13-adjusted amplitude was 1.854 (RMM).

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 95% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal April (1991-2020 normal). April will likely finish with a mean temperature near 57.6° (3.9° above normal). That would rank as the second warmest April on record.

 

Yet another month of above normal temperatures.  Don, any idea what the record is for NYC for most consecutive months of above normal temperatures.  Is there such a record kept?  Any way to find out what the most consecutive number of above normal months is?  Even if just .10 degree above normal.  Just wondering. Thanks as always for you daily updates.  Always an interesting read.

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1 hour ago, MANDA said:

Yet another month of above normal temperatures.  Don, any idea what the record is for NYC for most consecutive months of above normal temperatures.  Is there such a record kept?  Any way to find out what the most consecutive number of above normal months is?  Even if just .10 degree above normal.  Just wondering. Thanks as always for you daily updates.  Always an interesting read.

Unfortunately, I am not aware of such data. 

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The 2014-16 period had about 20 months in a row here in NYC.      I think Tampa had about 30 straight AN months at this same period.     SE Ridge and SST's,  I guess.

Remember you have to the use the 30-Year Normal that was in effect at the time  for each month.

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One answer to question(s) about consecutive above normal months ... this table shows 1981-2010 and 1991-2020 averages as well as all monthly averages. I have highlighted all above normal months (1991-2020 normals) in bold and those which were only above 1981-2010 normals in bold italics (e.g. Jan 1894). Any underlined value is on the average value (e.g. Jan 1924 is on the 1981-2010 average). This establishes the longest stretches of above normal monthly temperatures. Analysis follows the table.

 

YEAR ___JAN _ FEB _ MAR _ APR _ MAY _ JUN __ JUL _ AUG _ SEP _ OCT _ NOV _ DEC __ YEAR

1869 ___ 1.72 _ 1.39 _ 1.56 __9.56 _14.28 _20.72 _22.67 _ 22.11 _ 18.67 _10.50 _ 4.61 _ 1.50 __ 10.78

1870 ___ 3.06 _-0.39 _ 1.17 _10.39 _16.06 _22.72 _24.78 _24.06 _19.78 _13.72 _ 7.50 _ 1.17 __ 12.00

1871 ___-2.06 _-1.00 _ 6.78 _11.11 _15.78 _ 20.11 _ 22.39 _ 23.11 _ 16.00 _13.11 _ 3.78 _-1.56 __ 10.61

1872 ___-1.78 _-1.17 _-0.83 __9.67 _16.39 _21.78 _25.28 _24.22 _19.11 _11.78 _ 5.00 _-2.94 __ 10.56

1873 ___-1.89 _-1.39 _ 2.06 __8.17 _14.89 _21.28 _24.11 _ 22.22 _18.56 _13.22 _ 2.78 _ 2.50 __ 10.56

1874 ___ 1.22 _-0.39 _ 2.83 __5.06 _14.89 _21.17 _23.28 _21.28 _19.44 _12.83 _ 6.33 _ 1.00 __ 10.72

1875 ___-4.56 _-3.78 _ 1.17 __6.17 _15.61 _ 20.67 _23.33 _22.72 _17.78 _12.00 _ 4.06 _ 1.06 ___ 9.67

1876 ___ 2.56 _-0.11 _ 1.33 __8.33 _15.67 _23.06 _26.33 _24.00 _17.61 _10.33 _ 7.33 _-3.94 __ 11.06

1877 ___-2.39 _ 2.78 _ 2.11 __8.72 _15.33 _21.22 _23.89 _ 24.11 _ 19.39 _13.22 _ 6.94 _ 3.00 __ 11.56

1878 ___-0.94 _ 0.11 _ 6.72 _11.83 _15.22 _19.83 _25.44 _23.44 _20.17 _14.83 _ 6.56 _ 0.44 __ 12.00

1879 ___-2.83 _-2.22 _ 4.44 __9.11 _17.39 _21.22 _23.89 _22.22 _17.39 _ 15.72 _ 6.33 _ 2.94 __ 11.28

1880 ___ 4.00 _ 2.89 _ 2.50 _10.00 _19.94 _22.83 _23.83 _22.61 _19.50 _12.00 _3.72 _-3.06 __ 11.72

1881 ___-4.06 _-1.83 _ 2.61 __ 7.94 _16.83 _ 18.44 _23.17 _23.22 _23.00 _14.89 _ 7.33 _ 4.11 __ 11.33

1882 ___-1.78 _ 1.78 _ 4.67 __ 8.67 _13.67 _ 22.11 _24.33 _23.00 _19.50 _ 13.94 _ 4.00 _-0.78 __ 11.11

1883 ___-3.78 _-1.00 _ 0.39 __8.39 _16.17 _23.33 _23.61 _21.33 _ 17.00 _ 11.22 _ 6.50 __ 0.00 _ 10.28

1884 ___-4.06 _ 1.11 __ 3.17 __8.94 _15.44 _21.83 _22.17 _23.17 _ 22.22 _14.28 _ 6.83 _ 0.89 __ 11.33

1885 ___-1.44 _-5.17 _-0.78__9.67 _15.50 _21.67 _25.83 _22.44 _18.00 _ 12.28 _ 7.17 _ 2.06 __ 10.61

1886 ___-2.89 _-2.50 _ 3.11 _11.61 _15.67 _ 20.00 _23.78 _21.22 _18.50 _ 12.72 _ 7.00 _-1.33 __ 10.56

1887 ___-1.61 __ 0.00 _ 0.17 __7.94 _17.67 _20.89 _25.67 _21.11 _16.56 _ 11.22 _ 5.22 _ 1.00 __ 10.50

1888 ___-5.00 _-1.50 _-1.11 __7.78 _14.44 _ 21.61 _ 21.50 _22.56 _17.11 __9.22 _ 7.50 _ 1.50 ___ 9.61

1889 ___ 2.06 _-2.33 _ 4.28 _10.67 _17.50 _21.39 _22.89 _21.44 _18.44 _9.83 _ 7.06 _ 4.44 __ 11.50

1890 ___ 3.11 _ 3.28 _ 2.00 __9.50 _15.72 _ 21.17 _ 22.83 _22.61 _19.50 _12.50 _ 6.61 _-1.17 __ 11.50

1891 ___ 1.00 _ 2.50 _ 2.11 __9.83 _14.33 _21.89 _ 22.44 _24.17 _22.00 _12.61 _ 6.83 _ 5.72 __ 12.11

1892 ___-0.28 _ 0.78 _ 1.22 __9.33 _15.11 _23.06 _23.83 _23.50 _18.17 _ 11.67 _ 6.33 _ 0.11 __ 11.06

1893 ___-4.61 _-1.44 _ 1.94 __8.00 _14.56 _20.06 _23.11 _23.06 _17.39 _ 13.44 _ 6.06 _ 1.39 __ 10.22

1894 ___ 0.89 _-1.89 _ 6.00 __9.56 _16.06 _21.33 _23.89 _21.44 _20.44 _12.94 _ 5.28 _ 2.67 __ 11.56

1895 ___-1.22 _-4.39 _ 1.89 _ 10.06 _16.94 _22.72 _22.56 _24.22 _21.61 _11.39 _ 8.78 _ 3.39 __11.50

1896 ___-1.22 _-0.06 _ 0.33 _ 11.28 _19.44 _21.00 _24.89 _24.50 _19.61 _12.17 _ 9.94 _ 1.22 __ 11.94

1897 ___-0.67 _ 0.67 _ 4.89 _ 10.28 _16.39 _ 19.72 _24.39 _22.89 _19.44 _13.67 _ 7.78 _ 3.50 __ 11.89

1898 ___ 1.83 _ 2.11 _ 7.56 __ 8.72 _ 14.67 _ 21.78 _ 24.50 _24.06 _21.28 _15.28 _ 7.56 _ 1.44 __ 12.56

1899 ___-0.33 _-2.28 _ 3.28 _ 9.72 _16.83 _23.39 _24.56 _24.00 _ 18.94 _14.78 _ 7.78 _ 3.44 __ 12.00

1900 ___-0.11 _-0.94 _ 0.78 _ 10.00 _15.33 _21.39 _ 24.67 _24.56 _21.39 _16.28 _ 9.50 _ 2.39 __ 12.11

1901 ___ 0.28 _-3.17 _ 3.56 __ 8.78 _ 14.11 _ 21.44 _25.39 _23.89 _20.11 _ 13.28 _ 4.28 _ 2.06 __ 11.17

1902 ___-0.78 _-1.28 _ 6.89 _ 10.33 _14.94 _19.33 _22.67 _22.17 _ 19.28 _ 14.56 _10.89_ 0.28 __ 11.61

1903 ___-0.89 _ 0.67 _ 8.78 _ 11.11 _ 17.11 _ 17.89 _23.67 _ 20.61 _ 19.44 _ 14.44 _ 5.67 _-0.28 __ 11.50

1904 ___-3.72 _-3.67 _ 2.44 __ 8.11 _17.44 _21.22 _23.67 _22.78 _ 19.33 _ 12.11 __ 5.78 _ -0.94 __ 10.39

1905 ___-1.50 _-4.00 _ 4.67 __ 9.94 _16.39 _21.06 _25.06 _23.50 _20.89 _15.22 _ 6.72 _ 3.83 __ 11.83 

1906 ___ 3.56 _ 0.44 _ 2.00 _ 10.89 _17.28 _23.11 _25.06 _25.06 _21.17 _ 14.17 __ 7.50 _ 1.22 __ 12.61

1907 ___ 1.61 _-3.39 _ 5.83 __ 8.17 _ 13.44 _20.33 _25.22 _23.00 _19.39 _ 11.50 _ 7.89 _ 3.78 __ 11.39

1908 ___ 0.83 _-2.50 _ 5.22 _ 11.22 _17.44 _22.78 _26.56 _24.33 _20.33 _16.00 _ 8.22 _ 3.11 __ 12.78

1909 ___ 1.50 _ 3.17 _ 3.22 __ 9.11 _ 16.11 _ 22.28 _ 23.06 _ 22.33 _19.33 _ 12.50 _ 9.72 _ 0.22 __ 11.89

1910 ___-0.50 _-1.11 _ 6.11 _ 12.83 _ 16.11 _20.39 _ 25.11 _ 22.22 _ 20.7814.89 _ 5.72 _-1.11 __ 11.78

1911 ___ 2.39 _-0.39 _ 1.50 __ 8.78 _17.83 _21.00 _ 25.33 _22.67 _19.78 _ 13.44 _ 5.94 _ 4.11 __ 11.89

1912 ___-4.61 _-1.78 _ 3.11 _ 10.22 _16.83 _ 20.94 _24.28 _22.06 _ 19.22 _ 15.11 _ 8.78 _ 4.06 __ 11.50

1913 ___ 4.89 _-0.39 _ 7.11 _ 11.39 _15.94 _ 21.39 _24.50 _23.00 _ 18.11 _ 14.78 _ 8.50 _ 3.72 __ 12.78

1914 ___-0.28 _-3.67 _ 2.50 __ 8.83 _18.06 _20.50 _22.28 _23.67 _19.39 _15.22 _ 6.94 _-0.22 __ 11.11

1915 ___ 1.39 _ 2.17 _ 2.67 _ 12.44 _ 15.00 _20.00 _23.28 _22.00 _21.11 _ 14.28 _ 7.94 _ 0.83 __ 11.94

1916 ___ 2.22 _-2.28 _ 0.22 __ 9.11 _ 16.33 _18.72 _24.11 _ 23.78 _ 19.67 _ 14.28 _ 7.50 _ 1.11 ___ 11.22

1917 ___ 0.50 _-2.06 _ 4.06 __ 9.11 _12.39 _21.28 _24.39 _24.56 _ 17.56 _ 11.67 _ 5.33 _-3.89 __ 10.39 

1918 ___-5.72 _-0.89 _ 5.61 _ 10.39 _18.50 _19.89 _23.67 _24.72 _ 17.72 _15.00 _ 8.11 _ 4.11 __ 11.78

1919 ___ 2.00 _ 1.61 _ 6.28 _ 10.00 _16.67 _21.61 _ 23.94 _21.72 _ 19.78 _ 15.11 _ 7.33 _-1.00 __ 12.11

1920 ___-4.78 _-1.94 _ 4.39 __ 8.94 _14.89 _20.67 _23.22 _23.50 _20.28 _16.17 _ 6.89 _ 2.94 __ 11.28

1921 ___ 0.78 __ 1.11 _ 9.11 _ 13.39 _16.22 _21.78 _ 25.17 _ 22.00 _22.28 _13.50 _ 7.06 _  0.28 __ 12.72

1922 ___-2.11 _ 0.89 _ 5.00 _ 10.83 _18.11 _22.11 _ 23.17 _ 22.44 _ 20.11 _ 14.56 _ 7.61 _ 0.89 __ 11.94

1923 ___-1.11 _-3.22 _ 2.67 _10.17 _15.56 _23.00 _23.22 _ 22.56 _20.17 _ 13.33 _ 7.33 _ 5.56 __ 11.61

1924 ___ 0.39 _-1.72 _ 4.00 __ 9.50 _14.06 _19.89 _23.39 _23.50 _17.83 _ 13.94 _ 6.89 _ 1.11 __ 11.06

1925 ___-2.00 _ 3.28 _ 6.78 _ 11.00 _15.33 _23.50 _23.11 _22.94 _20.44 _10.33 _ 6.61 _ 1.56 __ 11.89

1926 ___ 0.00 _-1.56 _ 2.06 __ 8.50 _15.61 _ 19.33 _23.94 _23.33 _18.72 _ 12.83 _ 7.17 _-1.72 __ 10.67

1927 ___-0.61 _ 2.44 _ 6.11 __ 9.22 _15.00 _ 19.61 _23.33 _20.28 _19.94 _ 15.33 _ 9.56 _ 2.61 __ 11.89 

1928 ___ 1.11 __ 0.56 _ 3.78 __ 9.11 _15.22 _ 19.67 _24.39 _ 24.11 _ 18.17 _ 14.94 _ 8.56 _ 4.06 __ 12.00

1929 ___-0.06 _ 0.50 _ 7.28 _ 10.56 _16.50 _21.94 _24.39 _22.83 _20.78 _12.56 _ 7.89 _ 2.11 __ 12.28

1930 ___ 0.72 _ 2.78 _ 4.61 __ 9.11  _ 17.61 _23.06 _24.67 _23.11 _22.22 _ 13.11 _ 7.50 _ 1.44 __ 12.50

1931 ___ 0.44 _ 1.06 _ 4.61 _ 10.61 _16.39 _ 21.50 _25.28 _24.00 _22.39 _16.28 _11.06_ 5.00 __ 13.22

1932 ___ 6.22 _ 2.28 _ 2.94 __ 9.44 _16.67 _21.39 _24.50 _24.83 _20.83 _14.72 _ 6.61 _ 3.94 __ 12.89

1933 ___ 4.61 _ 1.17 _ 3.56 _ 10.22 _18.00 _22.44 _24.33 _23.83 _20.89 _13.39 _ 5.44 _ 0.39 __ 12.33

1934 ___ 1.50 _-6.72 _ 2.94 _ 10.17 _17.61 _23.22 _25.39 _22.22 _20.67 _12.50 _ 9.39 _ 0.78 __ 11.67

1935 ___-1.72 _-0.44 _ 6.33 __ 9.89 _15.50 _21.17 _25.11 _ 23.72 _ 18.50 _ 14.17 _ 9.22 _-1.11 __ 11.72

1936 ___-1.50 _-3.50 _ 7.33 __ 8.83 _18.00 _21.00 _24.56 _24.11 _20.11 _ 14.22 _ 5.94 _ 3.67 __ 11.89

1937 ___ 4.56 _ 1.56 _ 2.50 __ 9.78 _17.89 _22.11 _ 24.78 _ 24.78 _18.89 _13.00 _ 8.00 _ 1.89 __ 12.50

1938 ___ 0.06 _ 1.89 _ 6.7812.06 _16.00 _21.28 _24.78 _ 25.67 _18.89 _15.44 _ 9.06 _ 2.78 __ 12.89

1939 ___ 0.11 _ 2.78 _ 4.00 __ 9.06 _18.28 _22.78 _24.78 _ 25.61 _20.33 _14.06 _ 6.50 _ 2.72 __ 12.61

1940 ___-3.89 _ 0.50 _ 1.72 __ 8.22 _15.94 _21.33 _ 24.56 _ 21.89 _ 19.22 _ 12.11 _ 7.39 _ 3.56 __ 11.06 

1941 ___-1.44 _-0.50 _ 2.17 _ 13.83 _18.22 _22.17 _24.33 _23.33 _21.11 _ 15.94 _10.00_ 3.50 __ 12.72

1942 ___-0.72 _-1.28 _ 6.11 _ 12.11 _18.50 _ 21.67 _24.61 _ 23.11 _ 20.1714.89 _ 8.33 _-0.50 __ 12.28

1943 ___-0.67 _ 1.44 _ 4.56 __ 7.83 _17.00 _24.56 _24.94 _24.39 _19.67 _13.17 _ 7.44 __ 0.56 __ 12.06

1944 ___ 1.06 _ 0.67 _ 3.11 __ 9.39 _19.44 _22.39 _26.33 _25.44 _21.17 _13.94 _ 7.78 _ 0.22 __ 12.56 

1945 ___-3.83 _ 1.06 _10.61_ 13.11 _15.11 _ 21.61 _ 23.67 _ 23.00 _ 21.28 _13.44 _ 8.67 _-0.56 __ 12.28 

1946 ___ 1.17 _-0.17 __ 9.89 _ 10.22 _16.61 _20.94 _24.11 _21.61 _ 21.00 _ 16.50 _10.28_ 3.28 __ 12.94

1947 ___ 2.89 _-1.50 _ 3.22 _ 10.28 _15.50 _20.22 _24.17 _24.44 _20.33 _17.56 _ 6.78 _ 1.11 ___ 12.11

1948 ___-3.67 _-0.72 _ 5.61 _ 10.56 _15.67 _20.78 _25.11 _ 24.00 _21.28 _13.72 _11.33_ 3.50 __ 12.28

1949 ___ 3.67 _ 3.67 _ 6.06 _ 12.11 _17.28 _23.50 _26.44 _24.83 _19.00 _17.28 _ 7.94 _ 4.11 __ 13.83

1950 ___ 5.22 _-0.22 _ 2.44 __ 9.17 _14.89 _21.28 _ 23.89 _ 22.83 _ 18.22 _15.56 _ 9.11 _ 1.67 __ 12.00

1951 ___ 2.50 _ 2.33 _ 5.28 _ 11.67 _17.39 _21.00 _24.89 _ 23.61 _20.11 _ 14.78 _ 6.39 _ 3.67 __ 12.78

1952 ___ 2.33 _ 2.33 _ 4.56 _ 12.78 _15.94 _23.11 _26.83 _23.83 _21.06 _13.17 _ 9.22 _ 3.56 __ 13.22

1953 ___ 3.11 _ 3.56 _ 6.33 _ 11.28 _17.44 _ 23.11 _25.44 _24.33 _21.33 _15.94 _ 9.83 _ 5.17 __ 13.89

1954 ___-0.67 _4.50 _ 5.33 _ 12.11 _15.44 _ 22.00 _24.83 _22.67 _19.67 _16.50 _ 8.00 _ 2.17 __ 12.72

1955 ___-0.56 _1.67 _ 5.39 _ 11.94 _18.56 _ 20.50 _27.17 _ 25.61 _ 19.89 _15.44 _ 6.83 _-1.28 __ 12.61

1956 ___ 0.00 _ 2.56 _ 3.00 _ 9.00 _14.83 _ 21.89 _ 22.72 _23.44 _18.22 _ 14.50 _ 8.17 _ 4.94 __ 11.94

1957 ___-1.94 _ 2.94 _ 5.50 _ 11.78 _17.28 _23.50 _25.39 _23.11 _20.94 _13.44 _ 9.67 _ 4.56 __ 13.00

1958 ___-0.06 _-2.56 _ 4.61 _ 11.61 _15.06 _ 19.56 _24.50 _24.00 _ 19.78 _13.06 _ 8.83 _-1.44 __ 11.39

1959 ___-0.50 _ 0.06 _ 4.50 _ 12.11 _19.11 _ 21.78 _24.61 _ 25.28 _22.39 _15.44 _ 7.67 _ 3.56 __ 13.00

1960 ___ 1.06 _ 2.39 _ 0.72 _ 12.28 _17.00 _22.11 _23.67 _23.83 _20.00 _14.50 _ 9.83 _-0.61 __ 12.22

1961 ___-2.39 _ 2.61 _ 5.28 __ 9.44 _15.50 _22.39 _25.61 _24.67 _23.11 _ 16.17 _ 9.33 _ 1.94 __ 12.83

1962 ___ 0.33 _-0.11 _ 6.17 _ 11.83 _18.06 _22.50 _23.33 _22.44 _18.28 _ 14.11 _ 6.22 _-0.28 __ 11.89

1963 ___-1.06 _-2.06 _ 6.50 _ 12.06 _16.17 _21.61 _24.67 _22.28 _ 17.28 _ 16.56 _10.22_-0.44 __ 12.00

1964 ___ 2.06 _ 0.50 _ 6.17 __ 9.83 _18.56 _22.00 _24.11 _22.72 _19.56 _ 12.78 _ 9.67 _ 2.44 __ 12.56

1965 ___-1.28 _ 1.06 _ 4.44 _ 10.33 _ 19.11 _21.17 _23.50 _ 22.89 _ 19.72 _ 14.06 _ 8.22 _ 4.72 __ 12.33

1966 ___ 0.11 _ 1.72 _ 5.94 __ 9.83 _ 16.44 _24.11 _26.50 _24.94 _19.17 _ 13.44 _ 9.39 _ 2.06 __ 12.83

1967 ___ 3.00 _-1.56 _ 3.11 __ 9.78 _ 12.89 _22.67 _24.06 _23.28 _19.28 _14.00 _ 5.83 _ 3.44 __ 11.67

1968 ___-2.94 _-1.72 _ 6.28 _ 12.78 _15.33 _20.94 _25.17 _24.44 _21.44 _15.83 _ 8.28 _ 1.28 __ 12.28

1969 ___-0.11 _ 0.33 _ 4.50 _ 13.28 _18.50 _22.83 _23.78 _25.22 _20.56 _14.28 _ 8.00 _ 0.78 __ 12.67

1970 ___-3.83 _ 0.56 _ 3.72 _ 11.17 _17.78 _ 21.61 _ 25.06 _ 25.33 _21.56 _ 14.94 _ 9.17 _ 1.33 __ 12.39 

1971 ___-2.78 _ 1.72 _ 4.50 _ 10.44 _16.33 _23.44 _25.44 _24.39 _22.00 _ 17.06 _ 7.28 _ 4.89 __ 12.89

1972 ___ 1.72 _-0.33 _ 4.33 _ 10.06 _17.39 _19.94 _25.11 _ 24.22 _ 20.83 _ 11.94 _ 6.89 _ 3.61 __ 12.17

1973 ___ 1.94 _ 0.28 _ 8.00 _ 11.89 _15.28 _23.00 _25.22 _25.33 _20.83 _15.67 _ 9.06 _ 3.89 __ 13.39

1974 ___ 1.83 _-0.17 _ 5.61 _ 12.89 _ 16.11 _20.56 _ 25.11 _ 24.67 _ 19.28 _ 12.28 _ 9.00 _ 4.11 __ 12.61

1975 ___ 2.94 _ 2.11 _ 4.56 __ 8.83 _18.78 _21.39 _24.33 _ 23.56 _ 17.89 _ 15.11 _ 11.28 _ 2.17 __ 12.72

1976 ___-2.56 _ 4.396.89 _ 12.78 _15.67 _22.89 _23.78 _23.50 _19.22 _ 11.61 _ 5.39 _ -1.17 __ 11.89

1977 ___-5.50 _ 0.83 _ 8.22 _ 12.06 _18.33 _21.22 _26.11 _ 24.28 _20.11 _12.72 _ 8.50 _ 2.06 __ 12.39 

1978 ___-2.22 _-2.67 _ 3.89 _ 10.89 _16.39 _21.83 _ 23.56 _ 24.44 _18.33 _12.72 _ 8.78 _ 3.83 __ 11.67

1979 ___ 0.89 _-3.61 _ 8.28 _ 11.44 _18.50 _20.67 _24.94 _24.89 _21.39 _14.06 _11.39 _ 5.06 __ 13.17

1980 ___ 0.94 _-0.33 _ 5.11 _ 12.50 _18.67 _21.28 _26.28 _26.83 _21.56 _ 12.89 _ 7.00 _ 0.28 __ 12.78 

1981 ___-3.17 _ 4.06 _ 5.72 _ 13.44 _18.22 _22.78 _25.83 _24.44 _19.78 _ 12.44 _ 8.72 _ 2.50 __ 12.89

1982 ___-3.28 _ 1.83 _ 5.56 _ 10.67 _17.83 _20.33 _25.50 _22.89 _ 20.17 _ 14.72 _10.22_ 6.00 __ 12.72

1983 ___ 1.39 _ 2.446.67 _ 11.28 _15.67 _23.00 _26.39 _25.39 _22.11 _ 14.39 _ 9.39 _ 1.78 __ 13.33

1984 ___-1.17 _ 4.78 _ 2.61 _ 11.06 _ 16.44 _23.61 _23.72 _ 24.83 _18.83 _ 16.56 _ 8.50 _ 6.56 __ 13.06

1985 ___-1.78 _ 2.56 _ 7.67 _ 13.06 _18.50 _20.33 _24.56 _24.11 _21.39 _ 15.28 _10.00_ 1.22 __ 13.06

1986 ___ 1.17 _ 0.00 _ 7.28 _ 12.50 _18.89 _22.00 _24.44 _22.83 _19.94 _ 14.44 _ 7.61 _ 3.89 __ 12.94

1987 ___ 0.17 _ 0.67 _ 7.33 _ 11.89 _17.5622.67 _25.56 _23.44 _ 19.94 _ 12.11 _ 8.72 _ 4.17 __ 12.83

1988 ___-1.39 _ 1.67 _ 6.44 _ 10.67 _17.06 _22.11 _26.2826.00 _ 19.67 _ 11.56 _ 9.67 _ 2.17 __ 12.67

1989 ___ 3.00 _ 1.39 _ 5.78 _ 11.22 _16.72 _ 22.22 _23.89 _23.33 _20.06 _14.56 _ 7.61 _-3.39 __ 12.22

1990 ___ 5.22 _ 4.33 _ 7.28 _ 11.94 _15.67 _22.28 _24.89 _24.06 _19.72 _16.61 _10.22_ 5.89 __ 14.00

1991 ___ 1.61 _ 4.44 _ 7.00 _ 13.17 _20.39 _23.39 _25.39 _25.06 _19.72 _14.67 _ 9.06 _ 4.22 __ 14.00

1992 ___ 2.06 _ 2.44 _ 4.44 _ 10.28 _16.11 _21.28 _ 23.44 _ 22.78 _19.56 _ 12.50 _ 8.06 _ 3.28 __ 12.17

1993 ___ 2.39 _-0.67 _ 4.28 _ 11.83 _18.72 _22.94 _26.78 _25.11 _19.61 _ 13.33 _ 9.33 _ 2.94 __ 13.06

1994 ___-3.56 _-0.78 _ 4.83 _ 13.11 _16.56 _24.00 _26.33 _ 23.33 _19.78 _14.44 _11.11 _ 5.67 __ 12.89

1995 ___ 3.06 _-0.22 _ 7.22 _ 11.06 _16.61 _22.11 _ 26.22 _ 25.89 _20.17 _ 16.44 _ 6.44 _ 0.22 __ 12.94

1996 ___-0.83 _ 1.06 _ 3.83 _ 11.22 _ 16.17 _21.89 _ 23.00 _ 23.61 _ 20.00 _13.56 _ 6.11 _ 5.17 ___ 12.06 

1997 ___ 0.11 _ 4.44 _ 5.50 _ 10.94 _ 15.22 _21.61 _24.33 _22.94 _ 19.44 _ 13.78 _ 6.94 _ 3.50 __ 12.39

1998 ___ 4.44 _ 4.78 _ 7.44 _ 12.22 _17.94 _20.67 _24.72 _24.83 _21.22 _14.22 _ 8.94 _ 6.22 __ 14.00

1999 ___ 1.06 _ 3.83 _ 5.83 _ 11.94 _ 17.28 _22.89 _27.44 _24.17 _20.61 _13.33 _ 10.33_ 4.44 __ 13.61

2000 ___-0.39 _ 2.94 _ 8.44 _ 10.56 _17.50 _21.83 _22.39 _22.61 _ 18.89 _13.89 _ 7.39 _-0.50 __ 12.17

2001 ___ 0.89 _ 2.17 __ 4.22 _ 12.33 _ 17.67 _22.72 _22.89 _25.94 _19.83 _14.72 _11.50 _ 6.72 __ 13.50

2002 ___ 4.39 _ 4.78 _ 6.72 _ 13.39 _ 15.94 _21.89 _26.00 _25.39 _21.22 _12.89 _ 7.78 _ 2.22 __ 13.56

2003 ___-2.50 _-1.06 _ 6.17 __ 9.89 _ 14.83 _20.17 _ 24.33 _24.83 _ 19.94 _12.83 _10.00_ 3.11 __ 11.89

2004 ___-4.06 _ 1.67 _ 6.39 _ 12.00 _18.44 _21.78 _23.61 _23.44 _ 20.72 _13.33 _ 9.00 _ 3.56 __ 12.50

2005 ___-0.39 _ 2.50 _ 4.11 _ 12.83 _14.94 _ 23.33 _25.28 _26.50 _22.94 _14.39 _ 9.78 _ 1.83 __ 13.22

2006 ___ 4.94 _ 2.06 _ 6.17 _ 13.17 _17.28 _ 21.67 _ 25.50 _24.33 _ 19.22 _13.44 _ 11.06_ 6.44 __ 13.78

2007 ___ 3.06 _-2.11 _ 5.67 _ 10.17 _ 18.44 _ 21.89 _23.89 _ 23.33 _ 21.2817.56 _ 7.44 _ 2.78 __ 12.78

2008 ___ 2.50 _ 2.11 _ 5.89 _ 12.72 _15.61 _ 23.33 _25.78 _23.22 _ 20.44 _ 12.83 _ 7.67 _ 3.39 __ 12.94

2009 ___-2.28 _ 2.61 _ 5.78 _ 12.50 _16.94 _19.72 _22.61 _ 24.28 _ 19.06 _ 12.78 _ 10.67_ 2.17 __ 12.22

2010 ___ 0.28 _ 0.61 _ 9.00 _ 14.39 _18.50 _23.72 _27.39 _25.22 _ 21.72 _ 14.50 _ 8.83 _ 0.44 __ 13.72

2011 ___-1.28 _ 2.22 _ 5.72 _ 12.39 _18.06 _22.39 _26.78 _24.06 _ 21.11 _ 13.94 _ 11.06_ 6.28 __ 13.56 

2012 ___ 2.94 _ 4.94 _10.50_ 12.67 _18.39 _21.67 _26.00 _24.83 _20.44 _14.44 _ 6.61 _ 5.28 __ 14.06

2013 ___ 1.72 __ 1.06 __ 4.50 _ 11.67 _ 17.11 _22.61 _26.56 _ 23.67 _ 19.94 _ 15.67 _ 7.39 _ 3.61 __ 12.94

2014 ___-1.89 _-0.22 _ 3.17 _ 11.28 _ 17.78 _22.50 _24.50 _ 23.61 _ 20.94 _ 15.33 _ 7.39 _ 4.72 __ 12.44

2015 ___-1.17 _-4.50 _ 3.39 _ 12.39 _20.28 _21.78 _26.00 _26.11 _ 23.61 _ 14.44 _ 11.56_ 10.44__ 13.72 

2016 ___ 1.39 _ 3.17 _ 9.39 _ 11.83 _ 17.11 _22.39 _25.94 _26.22 _ 22.11 _ 14.89 _ 9.89 _ 3.50 __ 14.00

2017 ___ 3.33 _ 5.33 _ 4.00 _ 14.00 _16.17 _22.22 _24.89 _23.33 _ 21.39 _17.83 _ 8.11 __ 0.78 __ 13.50

2018 ___-0.17 _ 5.56 _ 4.50 __ 9.72 _ 19.39 _22.06 _25.33 _25.61 _21.50 _14.28 _ 6.89 _ 4.50 __ 13.28

2019 ___ 0.28 _ 2.33 _ 5.39 _ 13.06 _ 16.78 _22.06 _26.44 _24.17 _21.33 _15.50 _ 6.61 _ 3.50 __ 13.11

2020 ___ 3.94 _ 4.50 _ 8.89 _ 10.22 _ 15.72_23.17 _26.67 _ 24.94 _20.44 _14.39 _11.67 _ 4.00 __14.06

2021 ___ 1.56 __ 1.22 __ 7.67 _ 12.56 _ 17.1723.50 _24.44 _25.28_ 21.28 _16.67 _ 7.89 _ 6.56 __ 13.83

2022 ___ -0.94 _ 2.94 _7.39 _ 11.56 _ 17.78_ 21.89_ 26.39 _ 26.28 _20.83 _13.83 _ 10.50 _ 3.61 __13.50

2023 ___ 6.39 _ 5.06 _ 7.00

1981-2010

averages _0.39 _1.83 _5.83 _11.72 _16.89 _21.94 _24.72 _24.00_20.00 _13.83 _ 8.72 _3.06 __ 12.72

avgs F ___32.6 _ 35.3 _ 42.5 _ 53.1 _ 62.4 __ 71.5 _ 76.5 __ 75.2 _ 68.0 __ 56.9 _ 47.7 _ 37.5 ___ 54.9

 

1991-2020

averages _0.94 _2.17 _6.00 _12.06 _17.33 _22.22 _25.28 _24.50_20.67 _14.39 _8.89 _3.94 __ 13.11

avgs F ___33.7 _ 35.9 _ 42.8 _ 53.7 _ 63.2 __ 72.0 _ 77.5 __ 76.1 _ 69.2 __ 57.9 _ 48.0 _ 39.1 ___ 55.6

.

LONGEST INTERVALS of ABOVE NORMAL MONTHLY TEMPERATURES

(in specified intervals)

1869 to 1900: 

** 3 months warmer than 1991-2020 averages just once before 1900 (Dec 1889 to Feb 1890)

** 4 months warmer than 1981-2010 averages also once (Dec 1897 to Mar 1898)

** 4 months warmer than 1991-2020 averages from August to November 1900

**** 5 months July to November 1900 if we add on July 1900, a month that was above average then (within 0.1F of 1981-2010)

1901 to 1930: 

** 3 months warmer than 1991-2020 averages just once May to July 1908

** 6 months warmer than 1981-2010 averages twice, May to Oct 1906 and May to Oct 1908

**** 10 months May 1908 to Feb 1909 were above normal relative to that period, only Nov 1908 was below recent normals.

1931 to 1960:

** 8 months warmer than (Aug equal to) 1981-2010 averages July 1931 to Feb 1932 and

** 6 months warmer than 1991-2020 averages Sep 1931 to Feb 1932

** 6 months warmer than 1981-2010 averages May to Oct 1939 and also May 1944 to Oct 1944

** 10 months warmer than 1981-2010 (8 of them warmer than 1991-2020) Nov 1948 to Aug 1949

** 8 months warmer than 1981-2010 (7 of them warmer than 1991-2020) May to Dec 1953 ... 

**** 14 months Nov 1952 to Dec 1953 all warmer than 1931-60 averages (Apr was not warmer than 1981-2010).

1961 to 1990:

** 6 months warmer than 1991-2020 averages June to Nov 1961

** 8 months warmer than 1981-2010 averages (6 warmer than 1991-2020) June 1973 to Jan 1974 

** 7 months warmer than 1981-2010 averages (5 warmer than 1991-2020) July 1979 to Jan 1980

** 7 months warmer than 1981-2010 averages Sep 1982 to Mar 1983 (6 warmer than 1991-2020 Oct 1982 to Mar 1983)

** 6 months equal to or warmer than 1991-2020 averages June to November 1983 (one month, Oct 1983, was equal to those)

1991 to 2023:

** 11 months warmer than 1991-2020 averages Oct 1990 to Aug 1991

** 15 months warmer than 1981-2010 averages July 1998 to Sep 1999 (two equal to those averages, July 1998 and March 1999)

** 7 months warmer than 1991-2020 averages Oct 2001 to April 2002

** 8 months warmer than 1991-2020 averages Mar to Oct 2010 (9 mo warmer than 1981-2010 incl Nov 2010)

** 14 months warmer than 1981-2010 averages Apr 2011 to May 2012 (the last seven Nov 2011 to May 2012 warmer than 1991-2020)

** 20 months warmer than 1981-2010 averages July 2015 to Feb 2017 ... May 2016 and Dec 2016 were not warmer than 1991-2020

**** 10 months warmer than 1991-2020 averages July 2015 to Apr 2016 (and six more June to Nov 2016)

** 8 months warmer than 1981-2010 averages June 2020 to Jan 2021 (six of these warmer than 1991-2020)

** 10 months warmer than 1981-2010 averages July 2022 to Apr 2023 (assuming Apr 2023 stays warm enough) and eight are likely to be above 1991-2020 but the longest string of consecutive above normal relative to 1991-2020 will be four Jan to Apr 2023. 

========================================

On the flip side, the longest runs of months below 1981-2010 normal values are these (in chronological order):

23 months Feb 1874 to Dec 1875 

21 months Aug 1885 to Apr 1887

18 months July 1892 to Dec 1893

16 months Oct 1925 to Jan 1927

13 months Nov 1939 to Nov 1940

10 months Oct 1977 to July 1978

(9 months Mar 1992 to Nov 1992)

10 months Nov 1995 to Aug 1996 although 13 to Nov 1996 not above normal (Sep on the 1981-2010 average)

 9 months Mar 1997 to Nov 1997

Since then, the longest interval of below 1981-2010 average months is only five Oct 2002 to Feb 2003

and since then four (Apr to July 2003, and Jan to Apr 2014). 

The longest intervals colder than 1991-2020 averages are sometimes the same as the above list except that Apr 1871 to Dec 1873 had no month warmer but one month (July 1872) equal. That would be 33 months. Some of the other members of the above list fall between months that were above 1991-2020 normals as well as 1981-2010. except for July 1892 on, which encounters months not warmer than 1991-2020 normals until July 1895 (36 months), however March 1894 was equal to the 1991-2020 average; also July 1925 to Jan 1927 were all below 1991-2020 (19 months) . Sep 1939 to Mar 1941 (19 months) were all below 1991-2020 averages. 

Jan 1958 to Mar 1959 (did not qualify above) were all below 1991-2020 averages (15 months)

Aug 1977 to Feb 1979 (also not represented above) had 19 months below 1991-2020 averages. (three were above 1981-2010 averages)

Nov 2013 to Apr 2014 were below 1991-2020 averages. 

Since then the longest interval not above 1991-2020 averages is only four months Apr to July 2017 and this includes June equal to the average. 

The 2001-2030 normals are likely to be 0.3 F or more above the 1991-2020 averages. 

 

 

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The next 8 days are averaging      61degs.(52/70) or +4.

Month to date is      59.9[+8.9].        Should be      60.2[+7.2] by the 25th.

Reached 67 here yesterday at 5pm.

Today:     62-67, wind e. to w.-breezy, cloudy, drizzle---to p. sunny, 48 tomorrow AM.

Still BN April 24 into May:

1681711200-N7nW40uvOrE.png

56*(93%RH) here at 7am-fog, drizzle{55 overnight}.       57* at 9am.     58* at 10am.      60* at 2pm.---skies clear, sun out.       65* at 3:30pm.    67* at 4pm.      Reached 70* at 6pm.

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