lee59 Posted April 15, 2023 Share Posted April 15, 2023 I would not be surprised if record high minimums become more numerous in Central Park, especially in the warmer months, as the UHI affect increases. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted April 15, 2023 Share Posted April 15, 2023 21 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: The progression of NYC's earliest 70° temperature record: It'll be late March before you know it. Our warm records have really been accelerating. We might have also shot our warm load early. EPS has a substantial cool down for late April into May 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted April 15, 2023 Share Posted April 15, 2023 Low of 60 overnight after a high of 90. Now 62 and cloudy. Could see some breaks in clouds before pm shower/storms. Looks to clear later Sun (4/16). Cool Mon (4/17) - Wed (4/19) before brief warm up Thu (4/20) and Fri (4/21). Back and forth cooler and warm the last 10 days, guidance has shifted a bit cooler more towards normal overll in the period. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted April 15, 2023 Share Posted April 15, 2023 The next 8 days are averaging 61degs.(54/69) or +5. Month to date is 59.1[+8.5]. Should be 59.8[+7.2] by the 23rd. Reached just 77 here yesterday. Today: 64-69, wind e., cloudy,rain if any will be late, say 7pm., 58 tomorrow AM. Clearly a BN finish making a #1 April finish----a race to the wire?............. 58*(85%RH) at 7am{was 70 at midnight}. 61* at 8am. 62* at 9am, variable fog. 64* at 10am. 63* at 1pm. 70* at 3pm as sun appeared while radar had multiple cells around. 61* at 6pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted April 15, 2023 Share Posted April 15, 2023 Records: Highs: EWR: 88 (1960) NYC: 87 (1941) LGA: 86 (1941) Lows: EWR: 25 (1943) NYC: 28 (1943) LGA: 28 (1943) Historical: 1921 - Two mile high Silver Lake, CO, received 76 inches of snow in 24 hours, the heaviest 24 hour total of record for North America. The storm left a total of 87 inches in twenty-seven and a half hours. (David Ludlum) 1927 - New Orleans LA was drenched with 14.01 inches of rain, which established a 24 hour rainfall record for the state. (The Weather Channel) 1949 - A hailstone five inches by five and a half inches in size, and weighing four pounds, was measured at Troy NY. (The Weather Channel) 1958 - A tornado 300 yards in width skipped along a five mile path near Frostproof FL. A 2500 gallon water tank was found one mile from its original position (it is not known how much water was in the tank at the time). (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Thunderstorms developing along a cold front produced severe weather in the Southern Atlantic Coast Region. A tornado killed one person and injured seven others near Mount Dora FL. Drifts of hail up to two feet deep were reported in Davidson and Rowan counties in North Carolina. Myrtle Beach SC was deluged with seven inches of rain in three hours. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Death Valley, CA, was soaked with 1.53 inches of rain in 24 hours. Snow fell in the mountains of southern California. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Showers and thunderstorms soaked the eastern U.S. with heavy rain, pushing the rainfall total for the month at Cape Hatteras NC past their previous April record of 7.10 inches. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1990 - Thunderstorms developing along a stationary front produced severe weather from west central Texas to west central Arkansas during the late afternoon and evening. Thunderstorms spawned a tornado which caused more than half a million dollars damage at Fort Stockton TX, produced wind gusts to 65 mph at Dennison TX, produced baseball size hail at Silo OK and near Capps Corner TX, and drenched southeastern Oklahoma with up to 4 inches of rain in two hours. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1998: An F3 tornado hits downtown Nashville causing extensive damage but no loss of life. An additional 62 tornadoes touched down in Arkansas, Kentucky, and Tennessee. These tornadoes caused 12 fatalities and approximately 120 injuries. 2000: What a difference a day made (with the help of a strong cold front). Yesterday's 86 degrees in Goodland, Kansas, tied the record high for the date. Today's high of 29 degrees was also a date record high, but a record low high. It was a new record by 3 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted April 15, 2023 Share Posted April 15, 2023 1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said: It'll be late March before you know it. Our warm records have really been accelerating. We might have also shot our warm load early. EPS has a substantial cool down for late April into May April will likely end cool. The GEFS appears to be too warm. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted April 15, 2023 Share Posted April 15, 2023 Some breaks of sun and not much on radar east of PA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted April 15, 2023 Share Posted April 15, 2023 Lat measurable rain was April 1st for many. April EWR: 0.26 (4/1) NYC: 0.38 (4/1) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted April 15, 2023 Share Posted April 15, 2023 1 hour ago, SACRUS said: Some breaks of sun and not much on radar east of PA. Nam doesn't bring too much to the area today. A tenth or so. Gfs and euro are a bit wetter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted April 15, 2023 Share Posted April 15, 2023 73/62 dew points up so much more muggy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted April 15, 2023 Share Posted April 15, 2023 13 hours ago, donsutherland1 said: Good charts. It's mostly climate change. I've added Climate Central's instant attribution maps to my above comment. Don, I think what’s even more concerning than the fact it’s warming at a rate of 5-6F/century over the last 65 years at these locations is the fact that, looking at the data, it’s clear there’s an accelerating increase. If the linear trend line was actually explaining all of the trend, you’d expect data points to be distributed equally above and below it throughout the period covered by the trend line. Instead, in recent years, the vast majority of temperatures are exceeding what would be predicted by the linear trend. Looks like we may be warming at an instantaneous rate of 7 or 8 degrees per century now. But it would take a couple decades to confirm that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted April 15, 2023 Share Posted April 15, 2023 19 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said: Don, I think what’s even more concerning than the fact it’s warming at a rate of 5-6F/century over the last 65 years at these locations is the fact that, looking at the data, it’s clear there’s an accelerating increase. If the linear trend line was actually explaining all of the trend, you’d expect data points to be distributed equally above and below it throughout the period covered by the trend line. Instead, in recent years, the vast majority of temperatures are exceeding what would be predicted by the linear trend. Looks like we may be warming at an instantaneous rate of 7 or 8 degrees per century now. But it would take a couple decades to confirm that. most people alive today will be dead by the end of the century.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted April 15, 2023 Share Posted April 15, 2023 75/61 here we need some rain up here. Quite a few brush fires ongoing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted April 15, 2023 Share Posted April 15, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted April 15, 2023 Share Posted April 15, 2023 4 hours ago, SnoSki14 said: It'll be late March before you know it. Our warm records have really been accelerating. We might have also shot our warm load early. EPS has a substantial cool down for late April into May Averages are increasing so this isn’t cold, probably 60-65. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted April 15, 2023 Share Posted April 15, 2023 Kinda awful bust so far. Mid 60s and dreary my ass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted April 15, 2023 Share Posted April 15, 2023 4 minutes ago, BxEngine said: Kinda awful bust so far. Mid 60s and dreary my ass. Huge bust by Earthlight 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted April 15, 2023 Share Posted April 15, 2023 Initially most of the shower and t-storm activity will be focused over Pa and western NJ but I think it will drift eastward this evening and if it doesn't wash out before it gets here most of the NYC Metro Region will get some rainfall very late this afternoon or more likely early tonight. I think tomorrow is mainly dry aside from some low clouds and patchy fog. WX/PT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted April 15, 2023 Share Posted April 15, 2023 We pray Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted April 15, 2023 Share Posted April 15, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted April 15, 2023 Share Posted April 15, 2023 got warmer this afternoon for the city then what was predicted today.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bkviking Posted April 15, 2023 Share Posted April 15, 2023 In Port Jefferson it started nice but “drizzery” is here and suddenly much cooler. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted April 15, 2023 Share Posted April 15, 2023 23 minutes ago, nycwinter said: got warmer this afternoon for the city then what was predicted today.. Big range though with the easterly flow. 74 in the Park, 63 at LGA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 15, 2023 Share Posted April 15, 2023 28 minutes ago, Allsnow said: nw of most of us imo 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted April 15, 2023 Share Posted April 15, 2023 Warmed up to 73 and now it’s 64 and raining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted April 15, 2023 Share Posted April 15, 2023 Atmosphere has popped directly over me and it’s pouring. Models since yesterday have been insistent on at least a half inch of rain here with some calling for over an inch. I am already at a half inch with this downpour. Mt. Holly has issued a SSW for my area. Just some rumbles currently. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted April 15, 2023 Share Posted April 15, 2023 Now under a FFW for the training cells in my area. Apparently there are radar estimates of 2 - 2.5” having already fallen with another 1 - 2” possible. The axis of this is just a couple of miles to my west. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted April 15, 2023 Share Posted April 15, 2023 This is the cell just to my SW. There is radar indicated hail with this. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted April 15, 2023 Share Posted April 15, 2023 Hearing thunder from the cell to my south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted April 15, 2023 Share Posted April 15, 2023 Posting Highest Lows and Highest Highs, earliest this or latest that, 500 year droughts or floods, only proves that we are in rapidly heating earth that could become untenable for our standard of living in a person's lifetime. What difference does it make if your home disappears in a 100 Year Flood or a 1,000 Year Flood? You have no home and you will soon have no available flood insurance. What difference does it make if the government remotely turns of my AC when its 110 or just 100. I died on the fifth day of the HW anyway. I could go on..........but they are coming To Take Me Away, no, no................I mean they are coming to take my Gas Stove and Gas Car! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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