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April 2023


Rtd208
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21 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

The progression of NYC's earliest 70° temperature record:

image.png.570071fc66f95cb771c8cf0c425abb23.png

It'll be late March before you know it. 

Our warm records have really been accelerating. 

We might have also shot our warm load early. EPS has a substantial cool down for late April into Mayeps_T850a_eus_fh240-360.thumb.gif.041fd5c9646118d24266456cb473651f.gif

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Low of 60 overnight after a high of 90.  Now 62 and cloudy.  Could see some breaks in clouds before pm shower/storms.   Looks to clear later Sun (4/16). Cool Mon (4/17) - Wed (4/19) before brief warm up Thu (4/20) and Fri (4/21).  Back and forth cooler and warm the last 10 days, guidance has shifted a bit cooler more towards normal overll in the period.

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The next 8 days are averaging     61degs.(54/69) or +5.

Month to date is    59.1[+8.5].     Should be    59.8[+7.2] by the 23rd.

Reached just 77 here yesterday.

Today:    64-69, wind e., cloudy,rain if any will be late, say 7pm., 58 tomorrow AM.

Clearly a BN finish making a #1 April finish----a race to the wire?.............

1681538400-aCyLM6CkUKs.png

58*(85%RH) at 7am{was 70 at midnight}.     61* at 8am.      62* at 9am, variable fog.      64* at 10am.       63* at 1pm.       70* at 3pm as sun appeared while radar had multiple cells around.       61* at 6pm.

 

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Records:

 

Highs:

 

EWR: 88 (1960)
NYC: 87 (1941)
LGA: 86 (1941)

Lows:

EWR: 25 (1943)
NYC: 28 (1943)
LGA: 28 (1943)

 

Historical:

1921 - Two mile high Silver Lake, CO, received 76 inches of snow in 24 hours, the heaviest 24 hour total of record for North America. The storm left a total of 87 inches in twenty-seven and a half hours. (David Ludlum)

1927 - New Orleans LA was drenched with 14.01 inches of rain, which established a 24 hour rainfall record for the state. (The Weather Channel)

 

1949 - A hailstone five inches by five and a half inches in size, and weighing four pounds, was measured at Troy NY. (The Weather Channel)

1958 - A tornado 300 yards in width skipped along a five mile path near Frostproof FL. A 2500 gallon water tank was found one mile from its original position (it is not known how much water was in the tank at the time). (The Weather Channel)

1987 - Thunderstorms developing along a cold front produced severe weather in the Southern Atlantic Coast Region. A tornado killed one person and injured seven others near Mount Dora FL. Drifts of hail up to two feet deep were reported in Davidson and Rowan counties in North Carolina. Myrtle Beach SC was deluged with seven inches of rain in three hours. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Death Valley, CA, was soaked with 1.53 inches of rain in 24 hours. Snow fell in the mountains of southern California. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Showers and thunderstorms soaked the eastern U.S. with heavy rain, pushing the rainfall total for the month at Cape Hatteras NC past their previous April record of 7.10 inches. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

1990 - Thunderstorms developing along a stationary front produced severe weather from west central Texas to west central Arkansas during the late afternoon and evening. Thunderstorms spawned a tornado which caused more than half a million dollars damage at Fort Stockton TX, produced wind gusts to 65 mph at Dennison TX, produced baseball size hail at Silo OK and near Capps Corner TX, and drenched southeastern Oklahoma with up to 4 inches of rain in two hours. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1998: An F3 tornado hits downtown Nashville causing extensive damage but no loss of life. An additional 62 tornadoes touched down in Arkansas, Kentucky, and Tennessee. These tornadoes caused 12 fatalities and approximately 120 injuries. 

 

2000: What a difference a day made (with the help of a strong cold front). Yesterday's 86 degrees in Goodland, Kansas, tied the record high for the date. Today's high of 29 degrees was also a date record high, but a record low high. It was a new record by 3 degrees.

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13 hours ago, donsutherland1 said:

Good charts. It's mostly climate change. I've added Climate Central's instant attribution maps to my above comment.

Don,

I think what’s even more concerning than the fact it’s warming at a rate of 5-6F/century over the last 65 years at these locations is the fact that, looking at the data, it’s clear there’s an accelerating increase. If the linear trend line was actually explaining all of the trend, you’d expect data points to be distributed equally above and below it throughout the period covered by the trend line. Instead, in recent years, the vast majority of temperatures are exceeding what would be predicted by the linear trend. Looks like we may be warming at an instantaneous rate of 7 or 8 degrees per century now. But it would take a couple decades to confirm that.

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19 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said:

Don,

I think what’s even more concerning than the fact it’s warming at a rate of 5-6F/century over the last 65 years at these locations is the fact that, looking at the data, it’s clear there’s an accelerating increase. If the linear trend line was actually explaining all of the trend, you’d expect data points to be distributed equally above and below it throughout the period covered by the trend line. Instead, in recent years, the vast majority of temperatures are exceeding what would be predicted by the linear trend. Looks like we may be warming at an instantaneous rate of 7 or 8 degrees per century now. But it would take a couple decades to confirm that.

most people alive today will be dead by the end of the century....

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Initially most of the shower and t-storm activity will be focused over Pa and western NJ but I think it will drift eastward this evening and if it doesn't wash out before it gets here most of the NYC Metro Region will get some rainfall very late this afternoon or more likely early tonight. I think tomorrow is mainly dry aside from some low clouds and patchy fog.

WX/PT

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Posting Highest Lows and Highest Highs, earliest this or latest that, 500 year droughts or floods, only proves that we are in rapidly heating earth that could become untenable for our standard of living in a person's lifetime.   

What difference does it make if your home disappears in a 100 Year Flood or a 1,000 Year Flood?      You have no home and you will soon have no available flood insurance.

What difference does it make if the government remotely turns of my AC when its 110 or just 100.     I died on the fifth day of the HW anyway.

I could go on..........but they are coming To Take Me Away, no, no................I mean they are coming to take my Gas Stove and Gas Car!

    

 

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