Very persistent signal for moderate snow and ice impact between "Wed night" and "Thur night" this week

[Sey-Mour Snow]

5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Hrrr with a violent tuck.

 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

5 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

NAM is a mid-level torch. Not backing down. 

Oops I was looking at 18z.  0z might be a bit better...

[CoastalWx]

6 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

NAM is a mid-level torch. Not backing down. 

It definitely went south again. 

[dendrite]

3k ticking cooler

[HIPPYVALLEY]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

It definitely went south again. 

Yeah, I just saw that toggling 18z and 0z.  Baby steps.  Definitely lays down several inches along Rt2 corridor.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

20 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Bob what is your take on the early March pattern right now , potential wise 

[wx2fish]

Nam is quite a bit colder with the cold tuck Thurs

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, wx2fish said:

Nam is quite a bit colder with the cold tuck Thurs

Yeah almost like HRRR

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, wx2fish said:

Nam is quite a bit colder with the cold tuck Thurs

Glad I went with the EURO on that

[CoastalWx]

Nobody on media really talking about it. Pretty light with snows too up to SNH. Must be winter fatigue. 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Nobody on media really talking about it. Pretty light with snows too up to SNH. Must be winter fatigue. 

Hopefully picks up some steam tomorrow. Haven’t had a day off all winter, would be nice to have a weather day.

[NorEastermass128]

2” of snow, following by IP and ZR that gets locked in with a cold tuck into the teens will feel KU-like. 

[ma blizzard]

4 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said:

2” of snow, following by IP and ZR that gets locked in with a cold tuck into the teens will feel KU-like. 

no kidding .. has a chance to be the "best" event of the winter!

[Typhoon Tip]

It would be neat to see if we were getting like moderate freezing rain at 31.8 and then all the sudden it was 19 with moderate freezing rain

[TalcottWx]

30 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Nobody on media really talking about it. Pretty light with snows too up to SNH. Must be winter fatigue. 

What does it seem like for here? 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

4 minutes ago, TalcottWx said:

What does it seem like for here? 

Heavy edibles advised until about later Thursday 

[CoastalWx]

6 minutes ago, TalcottWx said:

What does it seem like for here? 

Sleet and zr risk. May get tucked too. 
 

[dryslot]

7 minutes ago, TalcottWx said:

What does it seem like for here? 

Beer?

[powderfreak]

3km NAM is good up this way, the blocked SE flow and then unblocked westerly flow helps on the east slopes throughout NNE.

[Cyclone-68]

A bit off topic but watching a couple of YouTube videos about the 25th anniversary of the central FL tornado outbreak that occurred after midnight and killed over 40 people. How frightening that must have been…

[qg_omega]

2 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

3km NAM is good up this way, the blocked SE flow and then unblocked westerly flow helps on the east slopes throughout NNE.

Wow that’s really north

[dmcginvt]

6 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

3km NAM is good up this way, the blocked SE flow and then unblocked westerly flow helps on the east slopes throughout NNE.

Got me near a foot, will not push out of bed  Isnt the nam a little overboard with qpf?  NWS does say anomoulous qpf though

 

 

 

 

[powderfreak]

5 minutes ago, qg_omega said:

Wow that’s really north

Yeah probably a lot of sleet on that run for your Lake George area.  It’s definitely too far north, no way the globals are that far off.

Its a solid correction south from the 12z run. The mesos and globals will meet in the middle.

[dendrite]

6 minutes ago, qg_omega said:

Wow that’s really north

It came a bit south lol.

[qg_omega]

3 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Yeah probably a lot of sleet on that run for your Lake George area.  It’s definitely too far north, no way the globals are that far off.

Its a solid correction south from the 12z run. The mesos and globals will meet in the middle.

Ya I’m def expecting sleet but hopefully 4 to 6 inches of snow before the switch

[HIPPYVALLEY]

I'm guessing 2-3" here and then we scalp. 

[powderfreak]

4 minutes ago, qg_omega said:

Ya I’m def expecting sleet but hopefully 4 to 6 inches of snow before the switch

Valid expectations, it was always a 3-6/4-8” zone in these situations when I was growing up near ALB.  Warren County was winter with several inches then mixed, while we were happy with an inch or two of wet white material.

00z Reggie was south of NAM.

[HoarfrostHubb]

3 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

I'm guessing 2-3" here and then we scalp. 

Same.  It’s looked like that for a while.  Maybe add an inch or two out here but leaning lower

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Gfs more meh looking