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Jan 31 - Feb 1 Snow/Sleet/Misery Obs & Disco


NorthArlington101
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Chuckled a little at this from Mount Holly this morning-

That brings us to the more interesting portion of this forecast period, but still not necessarily exciting. Given we have not seen measurable snowfall in significant portions of our forecast area thus far this winter, any snow might be exciting to some. As the cold and dry airmass behind the cold front continues to sink southward tonight, a wave of low pressure will track eastward across North Carolina and eventually off the coast Wednesday morning. As a shortwave trough approaches from the west, some low and mid-level frontogenesis may be just enough to act upon some limited moisture to produce light snow across portions of the forecast area tonight, especially to the southeast of I-95.

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Chuckled a little at this from Mount Holly this morning-
That brings us to the more interesting portion of this forecast period, but still not necessarily exciting. Given we have not seen measurable snowfall in significant portions of our forecast area thus far this winter, any snow might be exciting to some. As the cold and dry airmass behind the cold front continues to sink southward tonight, a wave of low pressure will track eastward across North Carolina and eventually off the coast Wednesday morning. As a shortwave trough approaches from the west, some low and mid-level frontogenesis may be just enough to act upon some limited moisture to produce light snow across portions of the forecast area tonight, especially to the southeast of I-95.
It wasn't that funny
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18 minutes ago, jayyy said:

LOL, models this AM are terrible for 90+% of us. CAPEs area has the best shot at some snow as the wave hits the water and intensifies.

Can’t even cash in on a few hours of snow. Yeesh.


.

All the 6z models are trending right 

rgem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_fh28_trend.gif

d1f2cc9e-23e2-41f9-a4a4-bbad10b3c435.gif

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32 minutes ago, jayyy said:

LOL, models this AM are terrible for 90+% of us. CAPEs area has the best shot at some snow as the wave hits the water and intensifies.

Can’t even cash in on a few hours of snow. Yeesh.


.

we could some some brief snow/sleet showers today as temps drop and precip is still in the area. appreciate what we do get! 

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3 hours ago, Ji said:
4 hours ago, CAPE said:
Chuckled a little at this from Mount Holly this morning-
That brings us to the more interesting portion of this forecast period, but still not necessarily exciting. Given we have not seen measurable snowfall in significant portions of our forecast area thus far this winter, any snow might be exciting to some. As the cold and dry airmass behind the cold front continues to sink southward tonight, a wave of low pressure will track eastward across North Carolina and eventually off the coast Wednesday morning. As a shortwave trough approaches from the west, some low and mid-level frontogenesis may be just enough to act upon some limited moisture to produce light snow across portions of the forecast area tonight, especially to the southeast of I-95.

It wasn't that funny

It's kinda entertaining when the forecasters at NWS occasionally remind us that they aren't robots lol.

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1 hour ago, H2O said:

Is it just me or not even being able to get any ice shows how bad it is here?

 

There just an amazing lack of cold air working east this winter. It refuses to come this way thanks to a SER that won’t budge. Mt Everest moves more than the SER

You're not imagining it.  It's been going on for a while now.  No its not all the time every pattern every synoptic event.  But in addition to there not being as prolific a frozen precip shield associated with mid latitude storms recently I've also noticed that south of 40* there is less ice between the rain/snow, if there is any snow at all that is.  It seems like it used to be way more common to have the traditional Snow-sleet-freezing rain-rain transition zones and recently its just rain or wet snow south of 40* and east of the Mississippi unless at elevation.  

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1 minute ago, psuhoffman said:

You're not imagining it.  It's been going on for a while now.  No its not all the time every pattern every synoptic event.  But in addition to there not being as prolific a frozen precip shield associated with mid latitude storms recently I've also noticed that south of 40* there is less ice between the rain/snow, if there is any snow at all that is.  It seems like it used to be way more common to have the traditional Snow-sleet-freezing rain-rain transition zones and recently its just rain or wet snow south of 40* and east of the Mississippi unless at elevation.  

Translation: we suck at frozen

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  • NorthArlington101 changed the title to Jan 31 - Feb 1 Snow/Sleet/Misery Obs & Disco
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