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January 25, 2023 Front End Frozen Chance


WxUSAF
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28 degrees coming over the Catoctins about 30 minutes ago.

31 in Smithsburg.

00z model suite a little more generous for M/D line. Especially areas with elevation.

Wouldn't shock me for the Blue ridge summit area/ Catoctins above 1200 ft to have several inches of snow tomorrow morning.

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Welp, unless we cool off a bit. Amazing year to say the least. Went to bed at midnight with 28.5/22.8 and skies just starting to cloud over. Woke this morning at 6 to 33.5/25.4 and a light RAIN and sleet mix falling. Sheesh. Currently 33.1/26.0 at 7:45 with said light  rain/sleet mix. 

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18 minutes ago, Chris78 said:

33 in Smithsburg 

Dew of 21 so should be able to get the temp to drop a little with onset of precip 

Same obs here as well.  Maybe it is just wishful thinking but with the look of radar and current dryish air I am feeling a bit more confident in something other than a slushy coating.  I guess we will know in the next couple of hours.

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34 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

Sounds good enough for quick burst at least. But guess we will see. Looks like some pretty heavy echos moving this way. 

You're right, I shouldn't be so pessimistic. I think I could still see a small window of snow even if it melts on contact. 

30 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said:

How far north would I hypothetically have to go to actually see some snow? North of York? All the way to Harrisburg?

I think we could still see some snow falling, though it will just be slush. I think Harrisburg and further north will have the higher chances for actual accumulation. 

see CTP's map

https://www.weather.gov/ctp/winter

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8 minutes ago, clskinsfan said:

LOL. This trainwreck has been unpinned. Fitting. It is lightly snowing here though. 

This ‘trainwreck’ is much appreciated, though. Lol. First time I have seen accumulating snow (rather than accumulating sleet) this winter.  It also gives my family of four a much needed break from the daily routine and school since my wife and I are both teachers.  Time to get the wood stove roaring and watch light snow falling from the sky.

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37 minutes ago, mappy said:

You're right, I shouldn't be so pessimistic. I think I could still see a small window of snow even if it melts on contact. 

I think we could still see some snow falling, though it will just be slush. I think Harrisburg and further north will have the higher chances for actual accumulation. 

see CTP's map

https://www.weather.gov/ctp/winter

Much appreciated friend. Trying to figure out if I can make a run just to see some snow fall and stick for a bit. Would be nice to see that can still be a thing. 

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